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148 Morning Dr
B- Composite 66.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,999

148 Morning Dr · Austin, IN 47102
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,540 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1940 7,405 sqft lot $42/sqft · 63% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Home centrally located in Austin. Great location. Home in disrepair. Not livable. Sold As is. Side lot not included.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 23 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water connected; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; 1,540 above-grade finished area
  • Construction: Assessor-listed lot size of 0.17 acres; Property classified as residential
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Residential zoning

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: Resale condition

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($928 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 4.2% in Austin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#523 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Scott County School District 1 (town): math 16% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #274 of 301 in IN (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 73 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Scott County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $64,024 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
11.40%
Cash-on-cash
18.22%
DSCR
1.81
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,141
List price
$64,999
Delta
-63.10%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
255 Church St 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,483 (-4%) 5mo $167,000 $113 76
232 E Main St 0.15mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,431 (-7%) 4mo $209,900 $147 69
41 Rural St 0.72mi 2/1.0 1,608 (+4%) 2mo $130,000 $81 57
92 W Stoneybrook Rd 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,347 (-12%) 1mo $269,000 $200 55
377 S Second St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,475 (-4%) 2mo $160,000 $108 52
264 Audrey (lot 61) Ln 0.26mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,310 (-15%) 6mo $210,000 $160 49
746 Goodin Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,343 (-13%) 5mo $180,000 $134 49
1154 Clay St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,456 (-6%) 4mo $90,000 $62 48
748 Goodin Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,343 (-13%) 6mo $164,000 $122 47
982 N Third St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,340 (-13%) 1mo $184,900 $138 42
161 S Fifth St 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,350 (-12%) 1mo $201,900 $150 41
521 W Maple St 0.54mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,320 (-14%) 4mo $219,000 $166 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.1%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$2,898
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
13.7%
Equity multiple
2.10×
Total profit
$19,983
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47102

Home prices YoY
-8.9%
Active inventory
54
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$928 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,061/yr
Insurance
$27
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $662
Max offer price $64,999
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20 Red Oak Way Austin, IN 2.0 2.0 1080 $929 $0.86 43d 1 0.33mi
527 W Cherry St Austin, IN 2.0 1.0 1080 $925 $0.86 43d 1 0.61mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,999 Active 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,999 Active 22 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,999 Active 21 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,999 Active 20 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,999 Active 18 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $64,999 Active 17 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,999 Active 14 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,999 Active 13 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,999 Active 12 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $64,999 Active 10 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $64,999 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,999 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,999 Active 6 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,999 Active 5 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,999 Active 4 DOM
  16. 2026-05-11
    status Active 116-char remark
  17. 2026-04-21
    historical 116-char remark
  18. 2026-03-31
    listed $64,999 Active 116-char remark
  19. 2012-07-26
    soldstatus $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,061 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,061 · $88/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,131
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,061
− Insurance
−$1,122
− Repairs & maintenance
−$890
− Management
−$890
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$1,634
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$392
After-tax cash flow
$2,127/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scott County School District 1
NCES district ID
1809990
Math proficiency
16% ▼ -21.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$36,972
Composite
17.46/100
National rank
#9062
State rank
#274 of 301 in IN

Livability — Austin

Score
60/100
State rank
#523
US rank
#18774

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B- Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Austin, IN
City population
6,647
Population (ZIP)
6,647

Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
22,525 people
By 2030
21,609 · -4.1%
By 2040
19,536 · -13.3%
By 2050
17,370 · -22.9%
By 2075
12,862 · -42.9%
By 2100
9,340 · -58.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada

Political lean MEDSL · Scott

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.5) · D 23.4% · R 74.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-49.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: -51.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.5 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+37.9 2012: R+6.2 2008: R+2.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -25.77%
Current HPI
263.604
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+4.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Listed $64,999 SIRA
  • 2012-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+48.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,061 · -8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…