3935 E Rough Rider Rd #1373 · Phoenix, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- ARV discount +8.2/15.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$475,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautifully furnished 3 bed, 2 bath condo in a prime North Phoenix location in the highly desirable Villages at Aviano! This modern two-story offers a private courtyard entry w/ covered patio & an oversized garage w/ epoxy floors. Open-concept layout w/ plank wood-look tile throughout. The kitchen features slab granite, tile backsplash, upgraded maple cabinets, & stainless appliances, all opening to the spacious great room. Split floor plan w/ a large primary suite showcasing a stunning stone walk-in shower. One guest bedroom includes a private balcony w/ mountain views. Upgrades throughout w/ granite/quartz surfaces, upstairs laundry, extra storage. Enjoy resort-style amenities including 2 heated pools, spa, tennis, fitness center, & scenic trails. A+ Paradise Valley District Schools.
Key facts
- Covered patio
- Slab granite
- Plank wood-look tile
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/4.0-bath condo listed at $475k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-229 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $435k (8.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $404k (15.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $404k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 3.3% in Phoenix — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#16 in AZ, #3,924 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F.
- Paradise Valley Unified District (4241) (urban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #56 of 249 in AZ (top 22%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 218 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($140k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($446k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 15% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.06%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $482,867
- List price
- $475,000
- Delta
- -1.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-95,505
- Equity at exit
- $70,824
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.11×
- Total profit
- $-117,839
- Equity at exit
- $41,069
Cash invested: $133,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85050
- Home prices YoY
- -21.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 218
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,039 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,491
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,157/yr
- Insurance
- −$198
- HOA
- −$551
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$848
- Net cashflow
- $-229
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $118,750
- Closing costs
- $14,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 25 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3935 E Rough Rider Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5–3.0 | 1490 | $4,750 | $3.19 | 43d | 2 | 0.07mi |
| 3935 E Rough Rider Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1405 | $6,000 | $4.27 | 17d | 3 | 0.07mi |
| 3935 E Rough Rider Rd Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1383 | $4,350 | $3.15 | 17d | 2 | 0.07mi |
| 4066 E Melinda Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1269 | $3,500 | $2.76 | 43d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 4512 E Mossman Rd Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2041 | $3,600 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 4517 E Melinda Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1663 | $3,100 | $1.86 | 14d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4509 E Lone Cactus Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1663 | $4,500 | $2.71 | 43d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 4211 E Kirkland Rd Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $10,000 | $5.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4211 E Kirkland Rd Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $5,000 | $2.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 21624 N 46th Pl Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $3,200 | $2.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 4632 E Mossman Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $3,800 | $2.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4726 E Mossman Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1610 | $2,500 | $1.55 | 7d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 21150 N Tatum Blvd Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1136 | $2,495 | $2.20 | 1d | 26 | 0.77mi |
| 4723 E Weaver Rd Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1663 | $2,595 | $1.56 | 13d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 22410 N 46th Pl Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2089 | $4,500 | $2.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4847 E Abraham Ln Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $4,500 | $2.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 21611 N 48th Pl Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $2,650 | $1.74 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4900 E Deer Valley Dr Phoenix, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1404 | $3,445 | $2.45 | 4d | 9 | 0.99mi |
| 20660 N 40th St Phoenix, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $3,500 | $2.64 | 17d | 4 | 1.08mi |
| 20660 N 40th St #2137 Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1131 | $3,500 | $3.09 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 20729 N 37th Way Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $3,000 | $1.80 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3626 E Potter Dr Phoenix, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1519 | $2,500 | $1.65 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3706 E Potter Dr Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $2,550 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3706 E Potter Dr Phoenix, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1782 | $2,550 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5350 E Deer Valley Dr Unit 1545730P Phoenix, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $2,341 | $1.89 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $551 · $6,612/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-17status $475,000 Pending 74 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $475,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $475,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $475,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $475,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $475,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $475,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $475,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $475,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $475,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $475,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $475,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $475,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $475,000 809-char remark
Show marketing remark (809 chars)
Beautifully furnished 3 bed, 2 bath condo in a prime North Phoenix location in the highly desirable Villages at Aviano! This modern two-story offers a private courtyard entry w/ covered patio & an oversized garage w/ epoxy floors. Open-concept layout w/ plank wood-look tile throughout. The kitchen features slab granite, tile backsplash, upgraded maple cabinets, & stainless appliances, all opening to the spacious great room. Split floor plan w/ a large primary suite showcasing a stunning stone walk-in shower. One guest bedroom includes a private balcony w/ mountain views. Upgrades throughout w/ granite/quartz surfaces, upstairs laundry, extra storage. Enjoy resort-style amenities including 2 heated pools, spa, tennis, fitness center, & scenic trails. A+ Paradise Valley District Schools.
-
2026-04-03$499,000 Active 809-char remark
Show marketing remark (809 chars)
Beautifully furnished 3 bed, 2 bath condo in a prime North Phoenix location in the highly desirable Villages at Aviano! This modern two-story offers a private courtyard entry w/ covered patio & an oversized garage w/ epoxy floors. Open-concept layout w/ plank wood-look tile throughout. The kitchen features slab granite, tile backsplash, upgraded maple cabinets, & stainless appliances, all opening to the spacious great room. Split floor plan w/ a large primary suite showcasing a stunning stone walk-in shower. One guest bedroom includes a private balcony w/ mountain views. Upgrades throughout w/ granite/quartz surfaces, upstairs laundry, extra storage. Enjoy resort-style amenities including 2 heated pools, spa, tennis, fitness center, & scenic trails. A+ Paradise Valley District Schools.
-
2021-05-06soldstatus $435,000 Closed 840-char remark
Show marketing remark (840 chars)
LIKE NEW 3 BDR.& MOVE-IN READY! ONLY USED 3 WINTERS. PRIVATE & QUIET COURTYARD ENTRY W/ COVERED PATIO, GREAT FOR ENTERTAINING!. FLOORS ARE ''PLANK-WOOD LOOK'' CERAMIC TILE & QUALITY SCULPTED CARPET IN BDRS. KITCHEN IS OPEN TO GREAT ROOM W/ SLAB GRANITE & FULL DECO BACKSPLASH. UPGRADED MAPLE CABINETS W/CHERRY FINISH & STAINLESS APPLIANCES. HIGH QUALITY LIGHTING THRU-OUT. UNIT IS LIGHT & BRIGHT W/ NEUTRAL COLORS. LARGE MASTER (WITH OUTRAGEOUS STONE WALK-IN SHOWER) IS SPLIT FROM OTHER 2 BEDROOMS. 1 GUEST ROOM HAS PRIVATE BALCONY W/MTN. VIEWS. GRANITE & QUARTZ IN ALL 3 BATHROOMS. EXTRA LINEN CLOSETS & UPSTAIRS LAUNDRY FOR CONVENIENCE. GORGEOUS EPOXY FLOOR IN OVERSIZED GARAGE. EXTRA STORAGE ROOM & SOFT WATER LOOP TOO. COMMUNITY AMMENITIES INCLUDE HEATED POOLS, TENNIS, TRAILS, FITNESS & MUCH MOR
-
2021-05-06soldstatus $435,000
Show marketing remark (840 chars)
LIKE NEW 3 BDR.& MOVE-IN READY! ONLY USED 3 WINTERS. PRIVATE & QUIET COURTYARD ENTRY W/ COVERED PATIO, GREAT FOR ENTERTAINING!. FLOORS ARE ''PLANK-WOOD LOOK'' CERAMIC TILE & QUALITY SCULPTED CARPET IN BDRS. KITCHEN IS OPEN TO GREAT ROOM W/ SLAB GRANITE & FULL DECO BACKSPLASH. UPGRADED MAPLE CABINETS W/CHERRY FINISH & STAINLESS APPLIANCES. HIGH QUALITY LIGHTING THRU-OUT. UNIT IS LIGHT & BRIGHT W/ NEUTRAL COLORS. LARGE MASTER (WITH OUTRAGEOUS STONE WALK-IN SHOWER) IS SPLIT FROM OTHER 2 BEDROOMS. 1 GUEST ROOM HAS PRIVATE BALCONY W/MTN. VIEWS. GRANITE & QUARTZ IN ALL 3 BATHROOMS. EXTRA LINEN CLOSETS & UPSTAIRS LAUNDRY FOR CONVENIENCE. GORGEOUS EPOXY FLOOR IN OVERSIZED GARAGE. EXTRA STORAGE ROOM & SOFT WATER LOOP TOO. COMMUNITY AMMENITIES INCLUDE HEATED POOLS, TENNIS, TRAILS, FITNESS & MUCH MOR
-
2021-04-05historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 840-char remark
Show marketing remark (840 chars)
LIKE NEW 3 BDR.& MOVE-IN READY! ONLY USED 3 WINTERS. PRIVATE & QUIET COURTYARD ENTRY W/ COVERED PATIO, GREAT FOR ENTERTAINING!. FLOORS ARE ''PLANK-WOOD LOOK'' CERAMIC TILE & QUALITY SCULPTED CARPET IN BDRS. KITCHEN IS OPEN TO GREAT ROOM W/ SLAB GRANITE & FULL DECO BACKSPLASH. UPGRADED MAPLE CABINETS W/CHERRY FINISH & STAINLESS APPLIANCES. HIGH QUALITY LIGHTING THRU-OUT. UNIT IS LIGHT & BRIGHT W/ NEUTRAL COLORS. LARGE MASTER (WITH OUTRAGEOUS STONE WALK-IN SHOWER) IS SPLIT FROM OTHER 2 BEDROOMS. 1 GUEST ROOM HAS PRIVATE BALCONY W/MTN. VIEWS. GRANITE & QUARTZ IN ALL 3 BATHROOMS. EXTRA LINEN CLOSETS & UPSTAIRS LAUNDRY FOR CONVENIENCE. GORGEOUS EPOXY FLOOR IN OVERSIZED GARAGE. EXTRA STORAGE ROOM & SOFT WATER LOOP TOO. COMMUNITY AMMENITIES INCLUDE HEATED POOLS, TENNIS, TRAILS, FITNESS & MUCH MOR
-
2021-03-19$430,000 Active 840-char remark
Show marketing remark (840 chars)
LIKE NEW 3 BDR.& MOVE-IN READY! ONLY USED 3 WINTERS. PRIVATE & QUIET COURTYARD ENTRY W/ COVERED PATIO, GREAT FOR ENTERTAINING!. FLOORS ARE ''PLANK-WOOD LOOK'' CERAMIC TILE & QUALITY SCULPTED CARPET IN BDRS. KITCHEN IS OPEN TO GREAT ROOM W/ SLAB GRANITE & FULL DECO BACKSPLASH. UPGRADED MAPLE CABINETS W/CHERRY FINISH & STAINLESS APPLIANCES. HIGH QUALITY LIGHTING THRU-OUT. UNIT IS LIGHT & BRIGHT W/ NEUTRAL COLORS. LARGE MASTER (WITH OUTRAGEOUS STONE WALK-IN SHOWER) IS SPLIT FROM OTHER 2 BEDROOMS. 1 GUEST ROOM HAS PRIVATE BALCONY W/MTN. VIEWS. GRANITE & QUARTZ IN ALL 3 BATHROOMS. EXTRA LINEN CLOSETS & UPSTAIRS LAUNDRY FOR CONVENIENCE. GORGEOUS EPOXY FLOOR IN OVERSIZED GARAGE. EXTRA STORAGE ROOM & SOFT WATER LOOP TOO. COMMUNITY AMMENITIES INCLUDE HEATED POOLS, TENNIS, TRAILS, FITNESS & MUCH MOR
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,157 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,135 · $261/mo
- Expected delta
- +$978/yr (+$82/mo · 45.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,467
- − Mortgage interest
- −$26,607
- − Property taxes
- −$2,157
- − Insurance
- −$2,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,877
- − Management
- −$3,877
- − HOA
- −$6,612
- − Depreciation
- −$13,818
- Taxable loss
- −$10,857
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,606
- After-tax cash flow
- $-141/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paradise Valley Unified District (4241)
- NCES district ID
- 0405930
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,106
- Composite
- 37.89/100
- National rank
- #4316
- State rank
- #56 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Phoenix
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #16
- US rank
- #3924
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phoenix, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 1,500,198
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,118
- Household income
- $139,836
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 432.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Asian 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.38%
- Current HPI
- 308.7483
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
+10.5% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $475,000 ARMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $499,000 ARMLS
- 2021-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $435,000 Public Records
- 2021-05-06 Sold (MLS) $435,000 ARMLS
- 2021-04-05 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2021-03-19 Listed $430,000 ARMLS
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,157 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…