2204 Redd St · Richmond, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$250,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New Price! Two story home located just off Mechanicsville Turnpike on a corner lot. Three bedrooms, living room, dining room, needs a new new kitchen, utility room, storage building. This property is being sold subject to 24 CFR 206.125.
Key facts
- Numerous renovations
- Corner lot
- 6,115 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Resale property
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story home; Approximate year built; R-6 zoning
- Construction: Aluminum siding and frame construction; Partial finished basement area below grade (unfinished area present)
- Exterior features: Front porch; Porch; Shed(s); Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooking
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom with tub and shower; 1 half bathroom (first level)
- Heating & cooling: Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Wood flooring; Partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $337 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $231k (7.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $231k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.3% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#33 in VA, #793 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-.
- Richmond City Public School District (urban): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #123 of 131 in VA (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.4%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,540 units permitted in Richmond city in 2024 (2,077 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,315/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($56k/yr) (locally 3530% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.4% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $250k implies a 1371% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.93% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.77%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $295,570
- List price
- $250,000
- Delta
- -15.42%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1311 N 22nd St | 0.38mi | 4/2.5 | 1,584 (+1%) | 1mo | $329,900 | $208 | 78 |
| 1724 N 20th St | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,600 (+2%) | 2mo | $375,000 | $234 | 71 |
| 1109 N 20th St | 0.32mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,477 (-6%) | 1mo | $335,000 | $227 | 69 |
| 1110 N 23rd St | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,670 (+6%) | 0mo | $382,500 | $229 | 61 |
| 1722 N 20th St | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,722 (+10%) | 1mo | $349,950 | $203 | 59 |
| 2000 Selden St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,604 (+2%) | 2mo | $242,500 | $151 | 59 |
| 2012 Venable St | 0.53mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,472 (-6%) | 0mo | $410,000 | $279 | 58 |
| 1516 N 22nd St | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,792 (+14%) | 1mo | $399,900 | $223 | 51 |
| 1500 N 23rd St | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,764 (+12%) | 2mo | $427,500 | $242 | 49 |
| 2315 Carrington St | 0.51mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,779 (+14%) | 2mo | $415,000 | $233 | 48 |
| 2402 Carrington St | 0.51mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,800 (+15%) | 1mo | $445,000 | $247 | 44 |
| 509 Mosby St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,744 (+11%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $206 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.84×
- Total profit
- $-11,044
- Equity at exit
- $37,276
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $53,346
- Equity at exit
- $21,615
Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23223
- Rents YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 337
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,315 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$77 /mo · $924/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$486
- Net cashflow
- $337
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,500
- Closing costs
- $7,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 31 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1313 N 20th St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,045 | $1.02 | 11d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1806 Sussex St Richmond, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $2,500 | $2.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1617 N 21st St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1157 | $1,825 | $1.58 | 4d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1004 1/2 N 21st St Unit A Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $2,195 | $1.76 | 17d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1427 N 22nd St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1764 | $2,700 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 2209 Fairmount Ave Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1652 | $2,500 | $1.51 | 43d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1614 N 19th St Richmond, VA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1584 | $2,395 | $1.51 | 4d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1308 N 23rd St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2052 | $2,900 | $1.41 | 17d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2106 Newbourne St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1172 | $1,875 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2003 Cedar St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $2,200 | $1.55 | 43d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1221 N 26th St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,700 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1920 Princess Anne Ave Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,595 | $1.30 | 4d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1107 N 27th St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1792 | $2,600 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 901 N 27th St Apt 1 Richmond, VA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1240 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 17d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1903 E Marshall St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 723 | $1,799 | $2.49 | 1d | 57 | 0.79mi |
| 2820 Q St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1523 | $2,195 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1404 N 30th St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1700 | $2,195 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3018 S St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1786 | $2,645 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1901 E Franklin St Apt 5 Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1530 | $1,850 | $1.21 | 23d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2201 E Franklin St Richmond, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 905 | $2,349 | $2.59 | 3d | 7 | 1.06mi |
| 724 N 1st St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1704 | $3,000 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 113 E Leigh St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1206 | $2,099 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 207 Welford St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1348 | $1,850 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 326 E Broad St Richmond, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 925 | $2,199 | $2.38 | 2d | 4 | 1.12mi |
| 307 N 29th St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1992 | $2,900 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 811 N 33rd St Unit A Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1315 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 17d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 811 N 33rd St Unit A Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1315 | $1,900 | $1.44 | 4d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 200 Minor St Unit A Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 823 E Main St Richmond, VA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1178 | $2,687 | $2.28 | 1d | 14 | 1.18mi |
| 2 S 25th St Richmond, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $2,360 | $2.25 | 2d | 69 | 1.21mi |
| 1601 Roane St Richmond, VA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 914 | $2,100 | $2.30 | 1d | 28 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $250,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $250,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $250,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $250,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $250,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $250,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $250,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $250,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $250,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $250,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $250,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $250,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $250,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-04-29$250,000 Active 206-char remark
-
2012-12-05soldstatus $17,000 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
New Price! Two story home located just off Mechanicsville Turnpike on a corner lot. Three bedrooms, living room, dining room, needs a new new kitchen, utility room, storage building. This property is being sold subject to 24 CFR 206.125.
-
2012-10-04historical 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
New Price! Two story home located just off Mechanicsville Turnpike on a corner lot. Three bedrooms, living room, dining room, needs a new new kitchen, utility room, storage building. This property is being sold subject to 24 CFR 206.125.
-
2012-05-17$17,000 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
New Price! Two story home located just off Mechanicsville Turnpike on a corner lot. Three bedrooms, living room, dining room, needs a new new kitchen, utility room, storage building. This property is being sold subject to 24 CFR 206.125.
-
2006-01-31soldstatus $43,000
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2006-01-31soldstatus $43,000
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2005-08-09$49,950
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2005-08-09$49,950
-
1971-03-16soldstatus $9,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $924 · $77/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,050 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,126/yr (+$94/mo · 121.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,779
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,004
- − Property taxes
- −$924
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,222
- − Management
- −$2,222
- − Depreciation
- −$7,273
- Taxable loss
- −$116
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$28
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,067/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103240
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,276
- Composite
- 33.09/100
- National rank
- #5564
- State rank
- #123 of 131 in VA
Livability — Richmond
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #33
- US rank
- #793
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Richmond, VA
- County
- Henrico County · 334,490 people
- City population
- 287,109
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,659
- Household income
- $55,731
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3530.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 262,263 people
- By 2030
- 284,503 · +8.5%
- By 2040
- 327,353 · +24.8%
- By 2050
- 367,946 · +40.3%
- By 2075
- 449,560 · +71.4%
- By 2100
- 500,301 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+66.3) · D 82.0% · R 15.8% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: 59.1pp · 2024: 66.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+66.3 2020: D+68.0 2016: D+63.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+59.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -257.81%
- Current HPI
- 324.0589
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.38%
- Metro
- Richmond, VA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
+2531.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Listed $250,000 CVRMLS
- 2012-12-05 Sold (MLS) $17,000 CVRMLS
- 2012-10-04 Listing Removed — CVRMLS
- 2012-05-17 Listed $17,000 CVRMLS
- 2006-01-31 Sold (MLS) $43,000 CVRMLS
- 2006-01-31 Sold (MLS) $43,000 CVRMLS
- 2005-08-09 Listed $49,950 CVRMLS
- 2005-08-09 Listed $49,950 CVRMLS
- 1971-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-9.6%/yrLatest (2022): $924 · +44.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…