10 Bell Ln · McLean, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$97,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well-maintained and tastefully updated, this spacious 1,650 sq ft mobile home offers comfortable, move-in ready living! Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, the home has been meticulously cared for with numerous recent improvements throughout. Enjoy a bright and inviting interior with updated flooring, custom window blinds, replacement windows with a transferable warranty, and new exterior doors. Major mechanical updates include a new furnace and central air conditioning for year-round comfort. Outside, you’ll find a large rear deck—perfect for relaxing or entertaining—along with a blacktop driveway for easy parking. Additional storage is provided by an 8x10 shed with a
Key facts
- New furnace
- New exterior doors
- Custom window blinds
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath manufactured listed at $98k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $502 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Dryden Central School District (rural): math 38% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #443 of 590 in NY (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 382 units permitted in Tompkins County in 2024 (208 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $677 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tompkins County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.98%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.59×
- Total profit
- $16,130
- Equity at exit
- $14,597
- IRR
- 23.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $55,307
- Equity at exit
- $8,465
Cash invested: $27,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13068
- Home prices YoY
- -13.6%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,492 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$513
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$313
- Net cashflow
- $502
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,475
- Closing costs
- $2,937
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-25status Pending
-
2026-04-15historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-11$97,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,902
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,484
- − Property taxes
- −$1,468
- − Insurance
- −$490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,432
- − Management
- −$1,432
- − Depreciation
- −$2,848
- Taxable income
- $4,748
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,139
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,884/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 14 photos
This well-maintained and tastefully updated mobile home offers comfortable, move-in ready living with numerous recent improvements throughout.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen flooring — The flooring in the kitchen appears worn and could benefit from replacement.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Painting the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value.
- Resale Replacing the worn kitchen flooring — Replacing the worn kitchen flooring can improve the home's overall condition and increase its resale value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen flooring · The flooring in the kitchen appears worn and could benefit from replacement. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 1 items | $500–3,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Painting the exterior siding — Painting the exterior siding can enhance the home's curb appeal and increase its resale value. ↑
- Resale Replacing the worn kitchen flooring — Replacing the worn kitchen flooring can improve the home's overall condition and increase its resale value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dryden Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609330
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 13.00%
- Median HH income
- $56,766
- Composite
- 39.65/100
- National rank
- #3914
- State rank
- #443 of 590 in NY
Livability — McLean
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- McLean, NY
- City population
- 67
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,464
Population outlook (Tompkins County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 113,958 people
- By 2030
- 118,774 · +4.2%
- By 2040
- 125,927 · +10.5%
- By 2050
- 133,599 · +17.2%
- By 2075
- 156,759 · +37.6%
- By 2100
- 169,896 · +49.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tompkins
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+50.6) · D 75.3% · R 24.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 50.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+50.6 2020: D+49.2 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+39.8 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.59%
- Current HPI
- 366.6033
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-04-15 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2026-04-11 Listed $97,900 CNYIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…