865 Regal Ave NE · Palm Bay, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +2.2/10.0
$169,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated Sellers! Great price in POPULAR Country Club Vista! Very well maintained. BRAND NEW ROOF! All appl. stay/ all convey. Ceiling fans. Located on quiet dead end, EZ WALK to heated comunity. pool, active clubhouse. Walk to stores, restaurants, medical offices. Pass thru breakfast bar to dining area. Master walk-in closet. Extra long garage affords plentiful storage. 20 minute drive to the beach. Motivated seller! CALL for details.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Tiled roof
- Natural views
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community association (Country Club Vista, Vesta Property Management); Annual association fee; Association amenities include barbecue, park, shuffleboard court, tennis courts; Association fee covers grounds maintenance
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Sewer connected
- Home design: Townhouse; One level; West-facing; Attached property
- Construction: Frame and stucco construction; Tile roof
- Exterior features: Storm shutters; Patio; Rear porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Breakfast nook; Ceiling fans; Open floorplan; Primary bathroom with shower (no tub); Primary bedroom on main level; Walk-in closet(s); Accessible central living area; Accessible full bath
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in garage
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $112 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#366 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, health & safety D-.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Riviera Elementary School (math 56% / reading 48%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 696 students, 72% FRL); Stone Magnet Middle School (math 33% / reading 35%, grade F, #426 of 571 statewide, top 75%, 670 students, 69% FRL); Palm Bay Magnet Senior High School (math 25% / reading 37%, grade F, #429 of 667 statewide, top 65%, 1,486 students, 63% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 43% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 39% at this address vs 55% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Brevard average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 321 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $135k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.81%
- DSCR
- 1.13
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-25,391
- Equity at exit
- $25,333
- IRR
- -13.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-32,138
- Equity at exit
- $14,690
Cash invested: $47,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32905
- Home prices YoY
- -1.8%
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 321
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,719 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,242/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$181
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $112
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $208 | -5% $160 | +0% $112 | +5% $64 | +10% $15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-24 | -5% $44 | +0% $112 | +5% $179 | +10% $247 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $197 | -0.5pp $155 | base $112 | +0.5pp $68 | +1.0pp $23 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,475
- Closing costs
- $5,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1635 Par St NE Unit 2103 Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $2,100 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 1605 Par St NE Unit 3102 Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $2,100 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 1625 Par St NE Unit 1107 Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $1,875 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1625 Par St NE Unit 1104 Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $2,100 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1698 Sunny Brook Ln NE Unit G109 Palm Bay, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 658 | $1,200 | $1.82 | 20d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 1687 Avery Rd NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 876 | $1,800 | $2.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1656 Sunny Brook Ln NE Unit L102 Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 914 | $1,690 | $1.85 | 22d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1608 Sunny Brook Ln Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1040 | $1,412 | $1.36 | 25d | 6 | 0.28mi |
| 1641 Sunny Brook Ln NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 862 | $1,500 | $1.74 | 15d | 3 | 0.38mi |
| 1625 Sunny Brook Ln NE Unit G103 Palm Bay, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 914 | $1,700 | $1.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1601 Sunny Brook Ln NE Unit D101 Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 846 | $1,550 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 1649 Sunny Brook Ln NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 760 | $1,950 | $2.57 | 15d | 2 | 0.38mi |
| 2100 Forest Knoll Dr NE #202 Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1069 | $1,600 | $1.50 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2130 Forest Knoll Dr NE #202 Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1069 | $1,450 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1123 Tree Ridge Ln NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,350 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2160 Forest Knoll Dr NE Unit 60-102 Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1069 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 25d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 2190 Forest Knoll Dr NE Unit 90-202 Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1069 | $1,400 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1701 Forest Knoll Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,499 | $1.25 | 15d | 5 | 0.52mi |
| 1000 Palm Place Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 884 | $2,185 | $2.47 | 22d | 8 | 0.78mi |
| 1311 Cindy Cir NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 865 | $1,700 | $1.97 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 331 Holiday Park Blvd NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,350 | $1.47 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1635 Monterey Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 581 | $1,276 | $2.20 | 15d | 22 | 1.24mi |
| 1501 Harvard Cir Melbourne, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1075 | $1,765 | $1.64 | 25d | 3 | 1.25mi |
| 1440 Sheafe Ave NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 793 | $1,500 | $1.89 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1440 Sheafe Ave NE #112 Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 793 | $1,500 | $1.89 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1245 Palm Bay Rd Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 807 | $1,425 | $1.76 | 25d | 6 | 1.32mi |
| 4881 Dairy Rd Melbourne, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 954 | $2,491 | $2.61 | 15d | 12 | 1.34mi |
| 993 Sonesta Ave NE Unit A-103 Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 825 | $1,350 | $1.64 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3016 Pinewood Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,103 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1030 Luminary Cir Unit 106 Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,800 | $1.79 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 987 Sonesta Ave NE #207 Palm Bay, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $1,200 | $1.86 | 15d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 100 Larch Cir NE Palm Bay, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $1,775 | $1.75 | 15d | 16 | 1.43mi |
| 1070 Luminary Cir #104 Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,850 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 915 Sonesta Ave NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 825 | $1,425 | $1.73 | 22d | 2 | 1.48mi |
| 4001 Pinewood Dr NE Palm Bay, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1036 | $1,269 | $1.22 | 25d | 5 | 1.48mi |
| 969 Sonesta Ave NE #208 Palm Bay, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 624 | $1,475 | $2.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $181 · $2,172/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $169,900 Pending 3 DOM
-
2026-05-27$169,900 Active
-
2019-10-09soldstatus $135,000
-
2019-10-08soldstatus $135,000 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Motivated Sellers! Great price in POPULAR Country Club Vista! Very well maintained. BRAND NEW ROOF! All appl. stay/ all convey. Ceiling fans. Located on quiet dead end, EZ WALK to heated comunity. pool, active clubhouse. Walk to stores, restaurants, medical offices. Pass thru breakfast bar to dining area. Master walk-in closet. Extra long garage affords plentiful storage. 20 minute drive to the beach. Motivated seller! CALL for details.
-
2019-07-19$137,000 442-char remark
Show marketing remark (442 chars)
Motivated Sellers! Great price in POPULAR Country Club Vista! Very well maintained. BRAND NEW ROOF! All appl. stay/ all convey. Ceiling fans. Located on quiet dead end, EZ WALK to heated comunity. pool, active clubhouse. Walk to stores, restaurants, medical offices. Pass thru breakfast bar to dining area. Master walk-in closet. Extra long garage affords plentiful storage. 20 minute drive to the beach. Motivated seller! CALL for details.
-
2007-07-27soldstatus $115,000
-
2007-07-20soldstatus $115,000 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Great price in POPULAR Country Club Vista! Very well maintained. All appl. are newer/ all convey. Complete A/C system replaced 05/07., HW htr 04. 3 ceiling fans. Located on quiet dead end, EZ WALK to heated comm. pool, active clubhouse. Walk to stores, restaurants, medical offices. Pass thru breakfast bar to dining area. Master walk-in closet. Extra long garage affords plentiful storage. Plywood hurricane panels stay. Available for Lease Purchase or FOR RENT!! CALL for details.
-
2006-03-28$128,900 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Great price in POPULAR Country Club Vista! Very well maintained. All appl. are newer/ all convey. Complete A/C system replaced 05/07., HW htr 04. 3 ceiling fans. Located on quiet dead end, EZ WALK to heated comm. pool, active clubhouse. Walk to stores, restaurants, medical offices. Pass thru breakfast bar to dining area. Master walk-in closet. Extra long garage affords plentiful storage. Plywood hurricane panels stay. Available for Lease Purchase or FOR RENT!! CALL for details.
-
2004-09-09soldstatus $109,900
-
2004-08-26soldstatus $109,900
-
2004-07-05$109,900
-
2001-09-21soldstatus $64,500
-
1986-10-01soldstatus $53,500
-
1981-05-01soldstatus $62,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,242 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,410 · $118/mo
- Expected delta
- +$169/yr (+$14/mo · 13.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,625
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,517
- − Property taxes
- −$1,242
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,650
- − Management
- −$1,650
- − HOA
- −$2,172
- − Depreciation
- −$4,943
- Taxable loss
- −$1,398
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$335
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,675/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — Palm Bay
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #366
- US rank
- #6458
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Palm Bay, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- City population
- 132,211
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,792
- Household income
- $56,411
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1962.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Hispanic / Latino 16% Black 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Hispanic 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 12% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.59%
- Current HPI
- 309.8748
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.52%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+171.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $169,900 SCMLS
- 2019-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
- 2019-10-08 Sold (MLS) $135,000 SCMLS
- 2019-07-19 Listed $137,000 SCMLS
- 2007-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2007-07-20 Sold (MLS) $115,000 SCMLS
- 2006-03-28 Listed $128,900 SCMLS
- 2004-09-09 Sold (Public Records) $109,900 Public Records
- 2004-08-26 Sold (MLS) $109,900 SCMLS
- 2004-07-05 Listed $109,900 SCMLS
- 2001-09-21 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
- 1986-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
- 1981-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $62,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,242 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…