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4646 Pacific St
C+ Composite 64.56
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$159,900

4646 Pacific St · Detroit, MI 48204
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,238 sqft · Townhouse public records · 193 Days on market
Built 1916 3,920 sqft lot $71/sqft · 130% above area ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover a fully remodeled duplex in the heart of Detroit, perfect for investors seeking immediate cash flow. This well-maintained property features two spacious units. Strong rental history, separate utilities, and solid returns make this an excellent addition to any investment portfolio. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and public transit.

Key facts

  • Two spacious units
  • Separate utilities
  • Solid returns

Tags

FULLY OCCUPIED DUPLEXTWO SPACIOUS UNITSRELIABLE LONG TERM TENANTSSTRONG RENTAL HISTORYSEPARATE UTILITIESSOLID RETURNS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $310 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 248 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,680/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1418% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $17k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$43k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 193 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $140,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 193 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.31%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$69,479
List price
$159,900
Delta
130.14%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.3%
Equity multiple
3.39×
Total profit
$106,815
Equity at exit
$144,051
10-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
7.68×
Total profit
$298,957
Equity at exit
$310,651

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,680 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$112 /mo · $1,341/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$353
Net cashflow
$310

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,287
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $401 -5% $355 +0% $310 +5% $265 +10% $220
Rent -10% $178 -5% $244 +0% $310 +5% $377 +10% $443
Rate -1.0pp $391 -0.5pp $351 base $310 +0.5pp $269 +1.0pp $227

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5315 Spokane St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 2110 $1,200 $0.57 17d 1 0.35mi
3799 W Philadelphia St Detroit, MI 5.0 2.0 2200 $1,650 $0.75 17d 1 0.55mi
3786 Carter St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,100 $0.79 25d 1 0.68mi
4426 McGraw Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 44d 1 0.82mi
2504 W Euclid St Unit 2504 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1475 $1,650 $1.12 44d 1 1.16mi
2506 W Euclid St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1475 $1,675 $1.14 44d 1 1.16mi
2504 W Euclid St Unit 2506 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1475 $1,675 $1.14 44d 1 1.17mi
2509 Gladstone St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 3000 $2,650 $0.88 2d 1 1.23mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Unit NA Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 11d 1 1.37mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 4.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 2d 1 1.37mi
8951 La Salle Blvd Detroit, MI 5.0 2.5 2440 $2,500 $1.02 16d 1 1.37mi
2302 Hazelwood St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1550 $1,273 $0.82 25d 1 1.41mi
2047 Seward St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1421 $1,523 $1.07 6d 1 1.44mi
2925 Calvert St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 17d 1 1.49mi
2080 Gladstone St #1 Detroit, MI 4.0 2.0 2426 $3,000 $1.24 2d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $159,900 Active 193 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 190 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 189 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 187 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 185 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 184 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 181 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 180 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 179 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $159,900 Active 176 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $159,900 Active 175 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 173 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 172 DOM
  14. 2026-05-05
    price $159,900 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    Discover a fully remodeled duplex in the heart of Detroit, perfect for investors seeking immediate cash flow. This well-maintained property features two spacious units. Strong rental history, separate utilities, and solid returns make this an excellent addition to any investment portfolio. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and public transit.

  15. 2026-05-04
    price $159,900 360-char remark
    Show marketing remark (360 chars)

    Discover a fully remodeled duplex in the heart of Detroit, perfect for investors seeking immediate cash flow. This well-maintained property features two spacious units. Strong rental history, separate utilities, and solid returns make this an excellent addition to any investment portfolio. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and public transit.

  16. 2026-03-08
    price $169,900 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    Discover a fully remodeled duplex in the heart of Detroit, perfect for investors seeking immediate cash flow. This well-maintained property features two spacious units. Strong rental history, separate utilities, and solid returns make this an excellent addition to any investment portfolio. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and public transit.

  17. 2026-03-07
    price $169,900 360-char remark
    Show marketing remark (360 chars)

    Discover a fully remodeled duplex in the heart of Detroit, perfect for investors seeking immediate cash flow. This well-maintained property features two spacious units. Strong rental history, separate utilities, and solid returns make this an excellent addition to any investment portfolio. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and public transit.

  18. 2025-12-10
    listed $180,000 Active 360-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    Discover a fully remodeled duplex in the heart of Detroit, perfect for investors seeking immediate cash flow. This well-maintained property features two spacious units. Strong rental history, separate utilities, and solid returns make this an excellent addition to any investment portfolio. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and public transit.

  19. 2025-12-10
    listed $180,000 Active 359-char remark
    Show marketing remark (359 chars)

    Discover a fully remodeled duplex in the heart of Detroit, perfect for investors seeking immediate cash flow. This well-maintained property features two spacious units. Strong rental history, separate utilities, and solid returns make this an excellent addition to any investment portfolio. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, and public transit.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,341 · $112/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,902 · $158/mo
Expected delta
+$561/yr (+$47/mo · 41.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,159
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$1,341
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,613
− Management
−$1,613
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$1,184
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$284
After-tax cash flow
$3,438/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $159,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-08 Price Changed $169,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Price Changed $169,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $180,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-12-10 Listed $180,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,341 · -8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…