97 N Pearl St · Sun River Terrace, IL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bed 1 1/2 bath 1 car garage ready for you to rehab. Gas stove. Natural gas service. Well and septic. Room measurements are approximations. House roof is 5 years old. Home is being sold AS IS. No inspections will be completed by seller. Some AI pictures are included so you can get a vision for your design.
Key facts
- 6,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1965
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $264 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 55/100 on livability (#1,234 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, crime D-.
- Kankakee SD 111 (urban): math 6% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #584 of 620 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 145 units permitted in Kankakee County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kankakee County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; flood insurance adds $460/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.77% ✓
- Cap rate
- 22.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 56.48%
- DSCR
- 3.51
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $164,164
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6441 E Flora St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,100 (+3%) | 9mo | $228,000 | $207 | 74 |
| 96 S Lillie St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 1,144 (+7%) | 18mo | $119,900 | $105 | 62 |
| 6315 E Flora St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,184 (+11%) | 13mo | $180,000 | $152 | 61 |
| 6362 E Flora St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+13%) | 21mo | $185,000 | $154 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.38% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $10,437
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $41,304
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60901
- Home prices YoY
- -32.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,522 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$166 /mo · $1,996/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $264
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $296 | -5% $280 | +0% $264 | +5% $249 | +10% $233 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $144 | -5% $204 | +0% $264 | +5% $325 | +10% $385 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $292 | -0.5pp $278 | base $264 | +0.5pp $250 | +1.0pp $236 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2025-10-31$55,000
-
2025-10-31historical
-
2025-06-30status Pending
-
2025-06-27historical
-
2025-06-26price
-
2025-06-10status Active
-
2025-05-30Contingent - No Showings
-
2025-05-29
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,996 · $166/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,996 · $166/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,266
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$1,996
- − Insurance
- −$5,800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,461
- − Management
- −$1,461
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $2,867
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$688
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,485/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kankakee SD 111
- NCES district ID
- 1720760
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,968
- Composite
- 8.03/100
- National rank
- #9921
- State rank
- #584 of 620 in IL
Livability — Sun River Terrace
- Score
- 55/100
- State rank
- #1234
- US rank
- #23119
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kankakee County · 61,801 people
- Metro
- Kankakee, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,128
- Household income
- $58,309
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1317.0
Population outlook (Kankakee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 105,479 people
- By 2030
- 101,792 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 93,479 · -11.4%
- By 2050
- 85,061 · -19.4%
- By 2075
- 67,314 · -36.2%
- By 2100
- 52,439 · -50.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 30% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 16%
Political lean MEDSL · Kankakee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 38.7% · R 59.5% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.5 2016: R+13.3 2012: R+3.4 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.12%
- Current HPI
- 190.8755
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.38%
- Metro
- Kankakee, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
8 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-31 Listed $55,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-30 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-27 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-26 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-10 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-30 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-29 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.0%/yrLatest (2024): $1,996 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…