5529 Beechwood Dr · Struthers, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.7/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1948
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $149k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $448 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 6.4% in Struthers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#418 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: commute C-, amenities F, employment F.
- Struthers City (suburban): math 45% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #475 of 656 in OH (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 147 units permitted in Mahoning County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mahoning County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.87%
- DSCR
- 1.57
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,388
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2370 Lyon Blvd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (-0%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $124 | 89 |
| 2307 Hamilton Ave | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,419 (+0%) | 4mo | $209,000 | $147 | 83 |
| 91 Hamilton Ave | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,317 (-7%) | 2mo | $225,000 | $171 | 63 |
| 2273 Lyon Blvd | 0.24mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,524 (+8%) | 7mo | $145,000 | $95 | 63 |
| 2451 W Manor Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,245 (-12%) | 2mo | $209,900 | $169 | 60 |
| 2153 Lyon Blvd | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,268 (-10%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $130 | 59 |
| 2739 Algonquin Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,351 (-4%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $200 | 58 |
| 2985 Algonquin Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-1%) | 6mo | $232,500 | $166 | 57 |
| 6074 Frontier Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,312 (-7%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $206 | 55 |
| 34 Venloe Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (-8%) | 5mo | $124,000 | $96 | 53 |
| 556 Idora Ln | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 | 1,326 (-6%) | 1mo | $198,000 | $149 | 52 |
| 43 Venloe Dr | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,296 (-8%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $123 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.10×
- Total profit
- $4,371
- Equity at exit
- $22,216
- IRR
- 12.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $40,553
- Equity at exit
- $12,883
Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44514
- Home prices YoY
- -23.8%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,833 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$781
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,887/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $448
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $532 | -5% $490 | +0% $448 | +5% $405 | +10% $363 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $303 | -5% $375 | +0% $448 | +5% $520 | +10% $592 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $523 | -0.5pp $485 | base $448 | +0.5pp $409 | +1.0pp $370 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,250
- Closing costs
- $4,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 465 W Omar St Struthers, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1544 | $1,800 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2670 Center Rd Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1722 | $2,500 | $1.45 | 21d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1750 Nova Ln Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $1,700 | $1.11 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4807 Sheridan Rd Youngstown, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1586 | $1,750 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 610 Elm St Struthers, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,500 | $1.43 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-26$149,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,887 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,106 · $175/mo
- Expected delta
- +$219/yr (+$18/mo · 11.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,999
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,346
- − Property taxes
- −$1,887
- − Insurance
- −$745
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,760
- − Management
- −$1,760
- − Depreciation
- −$4,335
- Taxable income
- $3,166
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$760
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,611/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Struthers City
- NCES district ID
- 3904485
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,753
- Composite
- 40.35/100
- National rank
- #3742
- State rank
- #475 of 656 in OH
Livability — Struthers
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #418
- US rank
- #6867
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Mahoning County · 84,956 people
- City population
- 10,296
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,917
- Household income
- $79,808
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 411.0
Population outlook (Mahoning County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 223,932 people
- By 2030
- 218,387 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 205,367 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 193,606 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 173,694 · -22.4%
- By 2100
- 151,147 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mahoning
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.9% · R 54.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.1pp toward R · 2008: 26.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.4 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+3.0 2012: D+27.7 2008: D+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -65.78%
- Current HPI
- 210.5511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Youngstown-Warren-Boardman, OH-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-26 Listed $149,000 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,887 · -20.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…