158 Joy Ave Ave · Cowpens, SC 29340

$129,900

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,456 sqft · Manufactured public records · 31 Days on market

Built 1998 1.69 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +4.3/10.0
• 1% rule +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Schools +2.8/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Whether you’re seeking privacy, a smart investment, or a renovation project, this one is ready and waiting for you. This property is conveniently located just off Hwy 29, near Cowpens and Spartanburg. This would make a great home with some TLC and yard clean up. Utilities are not on. DO NOT WALK ON REAR DECK!!!!!! Looking for a cash buyer. Being sold in As-IS condition.

Key facts

• 1.69 acre lot
• Built 1998
• Listed 31 days

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Gravel driveway
• Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
• Home design: Single-story mobile home; Vinyl siding exterior
• Construction: Clayton model; One level
• Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Storm door(s); Sloped lot; Cul-de-sac lot; Wooded lot

Interior

• Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Heat pump and electric heating; Heat pump and electric cooling
• Interior features: Laminate counters; Electric water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $130k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $19 ($229/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (10.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $116k (10.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.8% in Cowpens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#213 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• Cherokee 01 (rural): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #47 of 80 in SC (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: John E. Ewing Middle (math 18% / reading 30%, grade F, #167 of 229 statewide, top 74%, 486 students, 100% FRL); Gaffney High (math 40% / reading 75%, grade C, #116 of 196 statewide, top 59%, 1,838 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 64% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 200 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $116,046 (10.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.89% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.47%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.63%
• DSCR: 1.03
• GRM: 9.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $77,168
• Comps found: 1

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
158 Joy Ave Ave	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,389 (-5%)	1mo	$73,500	$53	92

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -15.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.46×
• Total profit: $-19,818
• Equity at exit: $19,369

10-year hold

• IRR: -6.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.57×
• Total profit: $-15,624
• Equity at exit: $11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29340

• Home prices YoY: -29.7%
• Active inventory: 160
• Price-to-rent: 9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,160 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$681
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$162 /mo · $1,948/yr
• Insurance: −$54
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$244
• Net cashflow: $19

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,136

Max offer price $129,900

Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $109	-5% $64	+0% $19	+5% $-26	+10% $-71
Rent	-10% $-73	-5% $-27	+0% $19	+5% $65	+10% $111
Rate	-1.0pp $84	-0.5pp $52	base $19	+0.5pp $-15	+1.0pp $-49

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $32,475
• Closing costs: $3,897
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-15
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-16
   listed $129,900 Active
3. 2026-04-14
   listed $129,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,926
• − Mortgage interest: −$7,276
• − Property taxes: −$1,948
• − Insurance: −$650
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,114
• − Management: −$1,114
• − Depreciation: −$3,779
• Taxable loss: −$1,956
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$469
• After-tax cash flow: $698/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Cherokee 01
• NCES district ID: 4501500
• Math proficiency: 29% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 40% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $34,262
• Composite: 28.39/100
• National rank: #6768
• State rank: #47 of 80 in SC

Livability — Cowpens

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #213
• US rank: #17912

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Cherokee County · 41,410 people
• Metro: Gaffney, SC
• Population (ZIP): 20,763
• Household income: $44,123
• Rent vs Own: 24.2% rent · 75.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 257.0

Population outlook (Cherokee County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 58,602 people
• By 2030: 59,336 · +1.3%
• By 2040: 60,266 · +2.8%
• By 2050: 60,314 · +2.9%
• By 2075: 59,276 · +1.2%
• By 2100: 53,788 · -8.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (71%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 71% Black 22% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Cherokee

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.9% · R 75.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.0pp toward R · 2008: -29.3pp · 2024: -51.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+43.8 2016: R+41.7 2012: R+29.3 2008: R+29.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -85.24%
• Current HPI: 201.4272
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Gaffney, SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

+0.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-15 Pending — SPMLS
• 2026-04-16 Listed $129,900 CCMLS
• 2026-04-14 Listed $129,900 SPMLS

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2022): $165 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.