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517 Belvedere Dr
B Composite 70.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.8/10.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$119,000

517 Belvedere Dr · Belleville, IL 62223
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1950 0.26 ac lot Est $160k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the charm of 517 Belvedere DR , a single-family residence built in 1950 with Three Bedrooms/ One Bathroom and a laundry Room. The ranch-style exterior welcomes you, hinting at the ease of single-level living within. Step outside to a private yard, offering a serene space for relaxation or outdoor activities. Practicality meets convenience with an attached carport, providing shelter for your vehicle, and a dedicated laundry room that simplifies daily chores. Enjoy peaceful moments on the porch, a perfect spot to unwind. This property is an exceptional offering that invites you to envision your new chapter. This is a great Investment property to add to your portfolio, already produci

Key facts

  • 0.26 acre lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1950

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area reported by assessor; Lot dimensions 80 x 140; Lot size approximately 0.26 acre; No pool; No other structures
  • Financial info: Lease not considered; No second mortgage indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport (1 space); Driveway; Total parking spaces: 1
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity connected; water and sewer available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level; Updated/remodeled; Private ownership; Entry/structure: Raised foundation; Facing/road frontage: County road
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Raised foundation; Built information from assessor
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Deck; Panel doors

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Display window(s); Updated/remodeled condition
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry appliances listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $183 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $119k).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Belleville High School-West (math 19% / reading 26%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 2,234 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($823 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (9.5% local appreciation)).
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (9.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $117,215 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
8.14%
Cash-on-cash
6.61%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$159,936
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
100 Cascade Dr 0.29mi 3/1.0 1,164 (-1%) 1mo $59,900 $51 80
524 Pembroke Dr 0.05mi 3/1.0 1,161 (-1%) 18mo $100,000 $86 76
512 Pembroke Dr 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,069 (-9%) 10mo $160,000 $150 75
217 Cascade Dr 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,164 (-1%) 11mo $125,000 $107 70
19 Cascade Dr 0.28mi 3/2.0 1,236 (+5%) 18mo $184,900 $150 63
21 Richard Pl 0.43mi 3/1.0 1,104 (-6%) 4mo $150,000 $136 62
29 Villa Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-5%) 18mo $149,000 $133 59
621 Eiler Rd 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,272 (+8%) 7mo $176,900 $139 58
631 Monica 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,057 (-10%) 7mo $145,999 $138 55
540 Valencia Dr 0.24mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,050 (-11%) 13mo $82,500 $79 55
107 Howard Dr 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,352 (+15%) 4mo $155,000 $115 45
8317 Old Saint Louis Rd 0.68mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,060 (-10%) 12mo $180,000 $170 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
28.1%
Equity multiple
3.18×
Total profit
$72,496
Equity at exit
$102,888
10-year hold
IRR
24.7%
Equity multiple
7.11×
Total profit
$203,438
Equity at exit
$217,445

Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62223

Home prices YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,349 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$624
Tax from tax record
$208 /mo · $2,500/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$283
Net cashflow
$183

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,116
Max offer price $119,000
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,750
Closing costs
$3,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7235 Westfield Plaza Dr Belleville, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 795 $975 $1.23 2d 1 1.32mi
920 S 74th St Belleville, IL 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 12d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,000 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-05-22
    historical $119,000
  14. 2025-09-15
    listed $134,999 Active
  15. 2025-06-11
    price $149,999
  16. 2025-02-10
    listed $154,900 Active
  17. 2023-07-17
    soldstatus $125,000
  18. 2023-07-17
    soldstatus $1,369,000
  19. 2023-05-01
    soldstatus $114,667
  20. 2023-04-28
    status Pending
  21. 2023-04-28
    soldstatus Closed
  22. 2023-04-21
    listed $89,900
  23. 2023-04-21
    listed Active Under Contract
  24. 2015-09-14
    soldstatus $300,000
  25. 2006-09-28
    soldstatus $24,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,500 · $208/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,601 · $217/mo
Expected delta
+$101/yr (+$8/mo · 4.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,184
− Mortgage interest
−$6,666
− Property taxes
−$2,500
− Insurance
−$595
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,295
− Management
−$1,295
− Depreciation
−$3,462
Taxable income
$372
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$89
After-tax cash flow
$2,112/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
16,269
Household income
$73,700
Rent vs Own
23.6% rent · 76.4% own
Severe rent burden
656.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Guatemala
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.50%
Current HPI
259.15
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+385.7% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $119,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-15 Listed $134,999 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-11 Price Changed $149,999 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-10 Listed $154,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $1,369,000 Public Records
  • 2023-07-17 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
  • 2023-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $114,667 Public Records
  • 2023-04-28 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-28 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-21 Listed MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-04-21 Listed $89,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-09-14 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
  • 2006-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $24,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,500 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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