617 Autumn Pl · Fountain, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
A 3 bedroom- 1 bathroom home near Ft. Carson! It features living room with vaulted ceilings, a kitchen with granite countertops, and a walk-out dining area. Upstairs, you'll find 2 bedrooms and a full bath. The lower level offers nice sized family room and the third bedroom. A spacious fenced yard with plenty of storage and RV parking. The parks, schools, and shops are nearby. It is in move-in condition.
Key facts
- Rv parking
- Fenced yard
- Kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Accepted financing: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA, VA Vendee
- HOA & community: No HOA covenants; No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: No garage remotes listed
- Utilities: Water provided by an association/district; Cable available; Electricity available; Telephone available
- Home design: Single family property; Existing home
- Construction: Wood frame structure; Wood siding; Composite shingle roof; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Concrete patio; Rear fence; Storage shed; Level lot; Near hiking trail, park, public transit, and schools; Concrete driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range oven (gas/electric); Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom located on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl/Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Cooling: Other
- Interior features: Carpet and vinyl/linoleum flooring; Vinyl/linoleum entry; 220v outlet in kitchen; Forced air heating; Cooling: Other
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located on upper level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $249k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($735/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (20.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $199k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 4.3% in Fountain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#300 in CO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, schools D+, crime D-.
- Fountain School District No. 8 In The County Of El Paso An (suburban): math 22% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #47 of 86 in CO (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 233 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,906 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (872 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- El Paso County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.05%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $346,192
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 579 Blossom Field Rd | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,251 (+2%) | 2mo | $360,000 | $288 | 85 |
| 505 Blossom Field Rd | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,195 (-3%) | 10mo | $235,500 | $197 | 78 |
| 502 Fountain Mesa Rd | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,170 (-5%) | 11mo | $370,000 | $316 | 73 |
| 685 Autumn Pl | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,138 (-8%) | 10mo | $352,000 | $309 | 71 |
| 702 Blossom Field Rd | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,174 (-5%) | 11mo | $345,000 | $294 | 67 |
| 205 Lark St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,295 (+5%) | 2mo | $351,000 | $271 | 67 |
| 705 Blossom Field Rd | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,118 (-9%) | 10mo | $335,000 | $300 | 59 |
| 508 E Ohio Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,410 (+14%) | 3mo | $295,000 | $209 | 52 |
| 305 Rosewood Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+6%) | 12mo | $345,000 | $265 | 48 |
| 973 Desert Cir | 0.75mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (+5%) | 0mo | $300,000 | $231 | 47 |
| 321 Rosewood Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-9%) | 9mo | $315,000 | $281 | 42 |
| 404 Columbine St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,128 (-8%) | 8mo | $270,000 | $239 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-37,284
- Equity at exit
- $37,127
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-30,853
- Equity at exit
- $21,529
Cash invested: $69,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80817
- Home prices YoY
- -30.8%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 233
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,986 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,306
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,178/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $61
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,250
- Closing costs
- $7,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 722 Blossom Field Rd Fountain, CO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1478 | $2,099 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 377 E Missouri Ave Unit 323 Fountain, CO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1384 | $1,760 | $1.27 | 19d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 323 E Missouri Ave Fountain, CO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1384 | $1,760 | $1.27 | 19d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 9429 Fence Post Ct Fountain, CO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1302 | $1,750 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 7350 Country Side Grv Fountain, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $1,875 | $1.45 | 3d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 10574 Country Park Pt Fountain, CO | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1306 | $1,650 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 909 Grinde Dr Fountain, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $814 | $1.16 | 10d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1019 Grinde Dr Fountain, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1065 | $2,070 | $1.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 404 Sunny Ln Unit 404 Fountain, CO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,275 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 406 Sunny Ln Unit 1 Fountain, CO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,313 | $1.68 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1143 White Stone Way Fountain, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $2,100 | $1.70 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 767 Descendant Dr Fountain, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,895 | $1.86 | 3d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 8739 Langford Dr Fountain, CO | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1448 | $2,225 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6519 Sweet Home GRV Fountain, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1035 | $2,672 | $2.58 | 3d | 18 | 1.43mi |
| 8405 Sunbow Ct Fountain, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $2,189 | $1.65 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-14$249,000 Active
-
2025-12-31price $315,000
-
2023-02-14soldstatus $339,500
-
2022-11-29soldstatus $250,000
-
2018-06-22soldstatus $215,000
-
2014-08-05soldstatus $129,900
-
1997-09-25soldstatus $93,900
-
1986-08-14soldstatus $60,000
-
1986-08-13soldstatus $29,100
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,178 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,370 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$191/yr (+$16/mo · 16.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,833
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,948
- − Property taxes
- −$1,178
- − Insurance
- −$1,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,907
- − Management
- −$1,907
- − Depreciation
- −$7,244
- Taxable loss
- −$3,595
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$863
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,598/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fountain School District No. 8 In The County Of El Paso An
- NCES district ID
- 0804080
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,860
- Composite
- 27.55/100
- National rank
- #6943
- State rank
- #47 of 86 in CO
Livability — Fountain
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #300
- US rank
- #21054
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fountain, CO
- County
- El Paso County · 689,348 people
- City population
- 31,241
- Metro
- Colorado Springs, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,241
- Household income
- $86,543
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 869.0
Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 768,926 people
- By 2030
- 815,739 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 903,489 · +17.5%
- By 2050
- 981,204 · +27.6%
- By 2075
- 1,155,542 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 1,202,070 · +56.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 14% Black 9% Asian 3% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · El Paso
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.8) · D 43.8% · R 53.5% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -9.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.8 2020: R+10.8 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+21.4 2008: R+18.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.77%
- Current HPI
- 267.231
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Colorado Springs, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+755.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $249,000 elevateMLS
- 2025-12-31 Price Changed $315,000 elevateMLS
- 2023-02-14 Sold (Public Records) $339,500 Public Records
- 2022-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
- 2018-06-22 Sold (Public Records) $215,000 Public Records
- 2014-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $129,900 Public Records
- 1997-09-25 Sold (Public Records) $93,900 Public Records
- 1986-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 1986-08-13 Sold (Public Records) $29,100 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2024): $1,178 · +14.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…