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12040 Mccormick Dr
F Composite 33.24
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$190,000

12040 Mccormick Dr · Maxton, NC 28364
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,728 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1977 0.69 ac lot Est $154k · 24% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 3 bed 2.5 bath home with recently remodeled kitchen and open floor plan. Extra storage and a 3 car carport with lighting and electric. This home is also outfitted with a direct hook up for a generator. The backyard is partially fenced in.

Key facts

  • Large granite island
  • Updated kitchen
  • Side porch

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTUPDATED KITCHENLARGE GRANITE ISLANDSIDE PORCH12 X 24 STORAGE BUILDINGQUIET NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 3 spaces; Additional gravel off-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Entry level: 2; Two-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered porch and side porch; Storage structure; Workshop; Shingle roof; Has view

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Fireplace(s); Central air conditioning; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Window coverings; Partially furnished; Vented exhaust fan; Electric water heater; Gas log fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (8.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (27.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (27.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#434 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Scotland County Schools (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #160 of 178 in NC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: South Johnson Elementary (math 28% / reading 35%, grade F, #945 of 1,410 statewide, top 68%, 672 students, 100% FRL); Spring Hill Middle (math 25% / reading 29%, grade F, #374 of 475 statewide, top 80%, 643 students, 99% FRL); Scotland High School (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,445 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Scotland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
  • Scotland County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $157k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $137,537 (27.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
5.72%
Cash-on-cash
-2.05%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
11.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$153,792
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12081 Hoyle Cir 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,725 (-0%) 22mo $130,000 $75 79
22580 Hoyl Cir 0.09mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (-7%) 20mo $142,000 $89 61
21681 Old Maxton Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,520 (-12%) 19mo $247,500 $163 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.03% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$27,600
Equity at exit
$96,668
10-year hold
IRR
10.6%
Equity multiple
2.76×
Total profit
$93,821
Equity at exit
$158,376

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28364

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
4
Price-to-rent
11.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,375 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,222/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$-91

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,490
Max offer price $173,949
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $17 -5% $-37 +0% $-91 +5% $-145 +10% $-198
Rent -10% $-200 -5% $-145 +0% $-91 +5% $-37 +10% $18
Rate -1.0pp $5 -0.5pp $-43 base $-91 +0.5pp $-140 +1.0pp $-190

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $190,000 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $190,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $190,000 Active 2 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  10. 2026-06-09
    listed $190,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,222 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,558 · $130/mo
Expected delta
+$336/yr (+$28/mo · 27.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,504
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$1,222
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,320
− Management
−$1,320
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable loss
−$4,479
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,075
After-tax cash flow
$-15/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Scotland County Schools
NCES district ID
3704200
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$31,203
Composite
20.66/100
National rank
#8536
State rank
#160 of 178 in NC

Livability — Maxton

Score
63/100
State rank
#434
US rank
#16047

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Maxton, NC
Population (ZIP)
13,184

Population outlook (Scotland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,331 people
By 2030
32,017 · -3.9%
By 2040
29,290 · -12.1%
By 2050
26,554 · -20.3%
By 2075
19,857 · -40.4%
By 2100
13,851 · -58.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.96)
Race & ethnicity
Native American 68% Black 19% White 8% Two or more races 2% Asian 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Scotland

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.9) · D 46.2% · R 53.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -6.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.9 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+7.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+15.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.03%
Current HPI
182.0542
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+13.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $190,000 Hive MLS
  • 2022-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $161,000 Public Records
  • 2022-08-04 Sold (MLS) $157,000 Hive MLS
  • 2022-06-19 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2022-06-14 Listed $167,500 Hive MLS

Property tax history

-0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,222 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…