12040 Mccormick Dr · Maxton, NC
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 77.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 3 bed 2.5 bath home with recently remodeled kitchen and open floor plan. Extra storage and a 3 car carport with lighting and electric. This home is also outfitted with a direct hook up for a generator. The backyard is partially fenced in.
Key facts
- Large granite island
- Updated kitchen
- Side porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 3 spaces; Additional gravel off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Sewer available; Septic tank
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels; Entry level: 2; Two-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Brick/mortar foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch and side porch; Storage structure; Workshop; Shingle roof; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Self-cleaning oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Flooring: Carpet
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Electric heating; Fireplace(s); Central air conditioning; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Window coverings; Partially furnished; Vented exhaust fan; Electric water heater; Gas log fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $174k (8.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (27.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $138k (27.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#434 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Scotland County Schools (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #160 of 178 in NC (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: South Johnson Elementary (math 28% / reading 35%, grade F, #945 of 1,410 statewide, top 68%, 672 students, 100% FRL); Spring Hill Middle (math 25% / reading 29%, grade F, #374 of 475 statewide, top 80%, 643 students, 99% FRL); Scotland High School (math 45% / reading 44%, grade F, #352 of 535 statewide, top 68%, 1,445 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 72% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Scotland County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $8k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
- Scotland County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $157k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.05%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 11.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $153,792
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12081 Hoyle Cir | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,725 (-0%) | 22mo | $130,000 | $75 | 79 |
| 22580 Hoyl Cir | 0.09mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (-7%) | 20mo | $142,000 | $89 | 61 |
| 21681 Old Maxton Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,520 (-12%) | 19mo | $247,500 | $163 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.03% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $27,600
- Equity at exit
- $96,668
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $93,821
- Equity at exit
- $158,376
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28364
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 11.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,375 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$102 /mo · $1,222/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$289
- Net cashflow
- $-91
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $17 | -5% $-37 | +0% $-91 | +5% $-145 | +10% $-198 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-200 | -5% $-145 | +0% $-91 | +5% $-37 | +10% $18 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $5 | -0.5pp $-43 | base $-91 | +0.5pp $-140 | +1.0pp $-190 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $190,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $190,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $190,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $190,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-09$190,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,222 · $102/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,558 · $130/mo
- Expected delta
- +$336/yr (+$28/mo · 27.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,504
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$1,222
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,320
- − Management
- −$1,320
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$4,479
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,075
- After-tax cash flow
- $-15/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scotland County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3704200
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,203
- Composite
- 20.66/100
- National rank
- #8536
- State rank
- #160 of 178 in NC
Livability — Maxton
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #434
- US rank
- #16047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maxton, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,184
Population outlook (Scotland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,331 people
- By 2030
- 32,017 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 29,290 · -12.1%
- By 2050
- 26,554 · -20.3%
- By 2075
- 19,857 · -40.4%
- By 2100
- 13,851 · -58.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.96)
- Race & ethnicity
- Native American 68% Black 19% White 8% Two or more races 2% Asian 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scotland
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.9) · D 46.2% · R 53.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.0pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -6.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.9 2020: R+1.9 2016: D+7.8 2012: D+16.6 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.03%
- Current HPI
- 182.0542
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+13.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $190,000 Hive MLS
- 2022-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $161,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-04 Sold (MLS) $157,000 Hive MLS
- 2022-06-19 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2022-06-14 Listed $167,500 Hive MLS
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,222 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…