2435 Lauretta Ave · Baltimore, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3BDRM/1BA home is an investor's dream or for buyer not afraid of a little work. Please don't miss out on this golden opportunity. This home can be easily transformed into a beautiful home. The kitchen has already been updated. Elbow grease, some work and a clean out is required to turn this home into something special. Lots of renovations going on in the area. Located near commuter routes, shops, and more. Seller says sell today!!
Key facts
- Kitchen updated
- Near commuter routes
- Near shops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $54k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 28.5% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
- Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,783/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 1755% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 28.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 79.33%
- DSCR
- 4.53
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $68,335
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -19.51%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2435 Lauretta Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,260 (0%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $36 | 99 |
| 2516 W Fairmount Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 | 1,304 (+4%) | 2mo | $30,000 | $23 | 75 |
| 1906 W Saratoga St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,273 (+1%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $122 | 74 |
| 2216 W Fayette St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,326 (+5%) | 1mo | $77,000 | $58 | 71 |
| 2416 W Franklin St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,435 (+14%) | 2mo | $67,000 | $47 | 70 |
| 633 N Brice St | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,250 (-1%) | 2mo | $78,000 | $62 | 69 |
| 2711 Riggs Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,288 (+2%) | 2mo | $134,000 | $104 | 69 |
| 2141 Vine St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-5%) | 3mo | $20,000 | $17 | 67 |
| 2544 W Fairmount Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,204 (-4%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $46 | 65 |
| 2576 W Baltimore St W | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-5%) | 2mo | $152,000 | $127 | 65 |
| 537 Longwood St | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,176 (-7%) | 0mo | $60,000 | $51 | 55 |
| 1906 W Fairmount Ave | 0.55mi | 2/3.5 (-1) | 1,200 (-5%) | 3mo | $134,900 | $112 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 84.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.18×
- Total profit
- $64,420
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 88.9%
- Equity multiple
- 12.55×
- Total profit
- $177,822
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Baltimore
- 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
ZIP-level market 21223
- Rents YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,783 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $948/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$374
- Net cashflow
- $1,018
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2609 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1286 | $1,675 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2636 Lauretta Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1232 | $1,900 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2303 Calverton Heights Ave Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1314 | $2,250 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 62 N Gorman Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 18d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 918 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1485 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2012 W Saratoga St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,700 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 2815 W Mulberry St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $2,050 | $1.97 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 39 N Bentalou St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1844 | $1,700 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 2232 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,875 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2301 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,600 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2225 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2516 Hollins St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1846 W Saratoga St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 2922 Edmondson Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,900 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2537 Hollins St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 24d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2744 W Mosher St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $2,100 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1814 Penrose Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1624 | $1,700 | $1.05 | 18d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1914 Mosher St Unit 1914 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1918 W Baltimore St Baltimore, MD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 857 | $1,434 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1839 W Fayette St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1426 | $1,675 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1912 W Baltimore St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $2,100 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 110 S Catherine St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1330 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2806 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3015 Rayner Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,350 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 813 N Fulton Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2728 Winchester St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,800 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 1 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $2,175 | $1.45 | 4d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1625 Edmondson Ave Unit 2 Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 12d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 307 S Smallwood St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 2540 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 1509 Edmondson Ave #1 Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $2,275 | $1.42 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1519 Penrose Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,875 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1635 Frederick Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1224 | $1,850 | $1.51 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1518 1/2 W Lexington St Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $1,200 | $0.73 | 4d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1613 Riggs Ave Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $1,800 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1601 Frederick Ave Unit 3 Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1042 Ellicott Dr Baltimore, MD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 834 N Stricker St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 20d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1402 Poplar Grove St Baltimore, MD | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1540 | $800 | $0.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1501 N Payson St Baltimore, MD | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,550 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
This 3BDRM/1BA home is an investor's dream or for buyer not afraid of a little work. Please don't miss out on this golden opportunity. This home can be easily transformed into a beautiful home. The kitchen has already been updated. Elbow grease, some work and a clean out is required to turn this home into something special. Lots of renovations going on in the area. Located near commuter routes, shops, and more. Seller says sell today!!
-
2026-04-16$55,000 Active 439-char remark
Show marketing remark (439 chars)
This 3BDRM/1BA home is an investor's dream or for buyer not afraid of a little work. Please don't miss out on this golden opportunity. This home can be easily transformed into a beautiful home. The kitchen has already been updated. Elbow grease, some work and a clean out is required to turn this home into something special. Lots of renovations going on in the area. Located near commuter routes, shops, and more. Seller says sell today!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $948 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $948 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$948
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,711
- − Management
- −$1,711
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $12,067
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,896
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,321/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore City Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400090
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 16% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,108
- Composite
- 10.08/100
- National rank
- #9805
- State rank
- #24 of 24 in MD
Livability — Baltimore
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baltimore, MD
- County
- Baltimore City · 558,601 people
- City population
- 588,727
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,572
- Household income
- $45,840
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1755.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 624,249 people
- By 2030
- 621,541 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 609,756 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 597,249 · -4.3%
- By 2075
- 552,236 · -11.5%
- By 2100
- 513,934 · -17.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.99%
- Current HPI
- 140.5836
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-16 Listed $55,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
-3.3%/yrLatest (2025): $948 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…