4 Sweetbriar Rd · Newnan, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention First-Time Home Buyers and Investors!!! 2BR/2BA home situated in an ideal location with a fantastic floorplan...1 bedroom, 1 bath and kitchen on main level and 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom and a kitchen is offered upstairs...perfect for rental potential. Easy Access to I-85, Piedmont Hospital, Downtown Newnan, Ashley Park, etc.
Key facts
- 0.39 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1980
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $176k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $176k).
- Recommended offer: $165k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 3.8% in Newnan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#184 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-, employment B; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Coweta County (rural): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #36 of 174 in GA (top 21%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 529 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 963 units permitted in Coweta County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Coweta County population projected at +31% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($165k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $44k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.00%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $247,576
- List price
- $175,900
- Delta
- -28.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 Pine Grove Cir | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,260 (+3%) | 6mo | $265,000 | $210 | 65 |
| 89 Bailey Dr | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,353 (+10%) | 4mo | $240,000 | $177 | 65 |
| 183 Arlington Ct | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,346 (+10%) | 2mo | $246,500 | $183 | 65 |
| 83 Woodrow Pl | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,240 (+1%) | 22mo | $315,000 | $254 | 64 |
| 72 Bailey Dr | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,184 (-4%) | 22mo | $250,000 | $211 | 64 |
| 206 Lagrange St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,262 (+3%) | 15mo | $250,000 | $198 | 55 |
| 218 Arlington Ct | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (+14%) | 4mo | $299,900 | $214 | 53 |
| 94 4th St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,264 (+3%) | 10mo | $290,000 | $229 | 50 |
| 49 Virginia Heights Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,275 (+4%) | 9mo | $212,900 | $167 | 49 |
| 25 S Bailey Dr | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,073 (-13%) | 20mo | $175,000 | $163 | 47 |
| 50 Bailey Dr | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-12%) | 20mo | $215,000 | $199 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-2,665
- Equity at exit
- $26,227
- IRR
- 8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $30,124
- Equity at exit
- $15,209
Cash invested: $49,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30263
- Home prices YoY
- -34.5%
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 529
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,902 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$922
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,158/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$399
- Net cashflow
- $410
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,975
- Closing costs
- $5,277
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Fairview Dr Newnan, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,005 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 6 Georgian Dr Newnan, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,875 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 54 Virginia Heights Dr Newnan, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1214 | $1,945 | $1.60 | 18d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 345 Widgeon Dr Newnan, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,860 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 42 Westgate Park Ln Newnan, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 125 W Washington St Newnan, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $1,300 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 77 Spence Ave Newnan, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,400 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 45 Domineck St Newnan, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $1,800 | $1.48 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7 N Annie St Newnan, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 907 | $1,550 | $1.71 | 20d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $175,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $175,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $175,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $175,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $175,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $175,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-31statusdays on market $175,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $199,500 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Attention First-Time Home Buyers and Investors!!! 2BR/2BA home situated in an ideal location with a fantastic floorplan...1 bedroom, 1 bath and kitchen on main level and 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom and a kitchen is offered upstairs...perfect for rental potential. Easy Access to I-85, Piedmont Hospital, Downtown Newnan, Ashley Park, etc.
-
2026-04-18price $215,000 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Attention First-Time Home Buyers and Investors!!! 2BR/2BA home situated in an ideal location with a fantastic floorplan...1 bedroom, 1 bath and kitchen on main level and 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom and a kitchen is offered upstairs...perfect for rental potential. Easy Access to I-85, Piedmont Hospital, Downtown Newnan, Ashley Park, etc.
-
2026-04-03status Back On Market 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Attention First-Time Home Buyers and Investors!!! 2BR/2BA home situated in an ideal location with a fantastic floorplan...1 bedroom, 1 bath and kitchen on main level and 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom and a kitchen is offered upstairs...perfect for rental potential. Easy Access to I-85, Piedmont Hospital, Downtown Newnan, Ashley Park, etc.
-
2026-03-30status Under Contract 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Attention First-Time Home Buyers and Investors!!! 2BR/2BA home situated in an ideal location with a fantastic floorplan...1 bedroom, 1 bath and kitchen on main level and 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom and a kitchen is offered upstairs...perfect for rental potential. Easy Access to I-85, Piedmont Hospital, Downtown Newnan, Ashley Park, etc.
-
2026-03-20$219,900 New 332-char remark
Show marketing remark (332 chars)
Attention First-Time Home Buyers and Investors!!! 2BR/2BA home situated in an ideal location with a fantastic floorplan...1 bedroom, 1 bath and kitchen on main level and 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom and a kitchen is offered upstairs...perfect for rental potential. Easy Access to I-85, Piedmont Hospital, Downtown Newnan, Ashley Park, etc.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,158 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,618 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- +$460/yr (+$38/mo · 39.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,824
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,853
- − Property taxes
- −$1,158
- − Insurance
- −$880
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,826
- − Management
- −$1,826
- − Depreciation
- −$5,117
- Taxable income
- $2,164
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$519
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,405/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coweta County
- NCES district ID
- 1301500
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,978
- Composite
- 35.72/100
- National rank
- #4860
- State rank
- #36 of 174 in GA
Livability — Newnan
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #184
- US rank
- #11578
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Coweta County · 148,589 people
- City population
- 101,637
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,695
- Household income
- $78,992
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1320.0
Population outlook (Coweta County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 162,063 people
- By 2030
- 173,373 · +7.0%
- By 2040
- 194,658 · +20.1%
- By 2050
- 212,246 · +31.0%
- By 2075
- 246,544 · +52.1%
- By 2100
- 257,059 · +58.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 25% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Coweta
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.9) · D 32.7% · R 66.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.3pp toward D · 2008: -41.2pp · 2024: -33.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.9 2020: R+35.5 2016: R+42.3 2012: R+44.1 2008: R+41.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.23%
- Current HPI
- 249.0207
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.87%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
-9.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $199,500 GAMLS
- 2026-04-18 Price Changed $215,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-03 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-03-30 Pending — GAMLS
- 2026-03-20 Listed $219,900 GAMLS
Property tax history
+17.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,158 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…