1507 Jackson Ave · Evansville, IN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.1/30.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$127,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated home 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath, and detached garage. This home has an enclosed front porch, spacious living room, kitchen, laundry with shelving and washer and dryer included, and spacious family room overlooking backyard. A one year home warranty is being included for buyer's peace of mind.
Key facts
- New hvac
- Privacy fence
- Pool
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1945
- Construction: Living area approximately 1,020
- Exterior features: Located in the Presidents subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $127k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-5 ($-60/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $126k (0.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (17.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $105k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, commute F.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.9%/yr); 188 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $878 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $127k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.17%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,040
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1401 Lodge Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 990 (-3%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $146 | 84 |
| 1114 S Englewood Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,108 (+9%) | 1mo | $154,000 | $139 | 68 |
| 1451 Bellemeade Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 1,016 (-0%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $212 | 66 |
| 713 S Runnymeade Ave | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 1,056 (+4%) | 1mo | $153,500 | $145 | 64 |
| 1410 Sweetser Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (-9%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $178 | 63 |
| 2133 Waggoner Ave | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,014 (-1%) | 1mo | $160,000 | $158 | 62 |
| 2141 Sweetser Ave | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 990 (-3%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $152 | 60 |
| 1801 E Powell Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (-14%) | 1mo | $168,500 | $191 | 53 |
| 1809 Powell Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 1,168 (+14%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $158 | 51 |
| 2120 Monroe Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 1,152 (+13%) | 2mo | $158,000 | $137 | 50 |
| 1159 Sweetser Ave | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (-13%) | 2mo | $82,500 | $93 | 48 |
| 1059 Waggoner Ave | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (+13%) | 1mo | $125,000 | $109 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.86% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-15,517
- Equity at exit
- $18,936
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.30×
- Total profit
- $10,497
- Equity at exit
- $10,981
Cash invested: $35,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47714
- Rents YoY
- 7.9%
- Active inventory
- 188
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,051 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$666
- Tax from tax record
- −$116 /mo · $1,394/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $-5
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $67 | -5% $31 | +0% $-5 | +5% $-41 | +10% $-77 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-88 | -5% $-46 | +0% $-5 | +5% $37 | +10% $78 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $59 | -0.5pp $27 | base $-5 | +0.5pp $-38 | +1.0pp $-71 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,750
- Closing costs
- $3,810
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1505 Jackson Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $995 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1500 S Harlan Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 712 | $900 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1909 Taylor Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1021 Jefferson Ave Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $795 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1909 Plantation Ct Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $700 | $0.90 | 22d | 2 | 0.68mi |
| 1133 Bayard Park Dr Unit B Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $800 | $0.81 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 1762 Spring Ct Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,450 | $1.49 | 22d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1952 Colts Ln Evansville, IN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $1,035 | $0.90 | 22d | 8 | 0.72mi |
| 715 E Riverside Dr Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $895 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2270-318 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $900 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2340 Sunburst Blvd Unit 2200-202 Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 973 | $1,050 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2001 S Taft Ave Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,000 | $0.68 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 734 Bayard Park Dr Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,425 | $1.43 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 605 Madison Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1069 | $1,375 | $1.29 | 22d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 900 S Saint James Blvd Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $1,450 | $1.30 | 22d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2232 E Riverside Dr Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 810 | $1,200 | $1.48 | 14d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1713 Hawthorne Ave Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 210 S Weinbach Ave Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,450 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 507 S Evans Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $795 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2947 Ravenswood Dr Unit 2927 Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $975 | $0.85 | 22d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 304 S Grand Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 967 | $955 | $0.99 | 22d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1604 Marbo Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,095 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1415 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $795 | $0.98 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1321 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $1,050 | $1.09 | 14d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1303 E Indiana St Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,195 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1421 SE 2nd St Unit A Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $695 | $0.87 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 827 Judson St Evansville, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,295 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $127,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 351-char remark
-
2026-06-17$127,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,394 · $116/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,394 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,609
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,114
- − Property taxes
- −$1,394
- − Insurance
- −$635
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,009
- − Management
- −$1,009
- − Depreciation
- −$3,695
- Taxable loss
- −$2,246
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$539
- After-tax cash flow
- $479/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #15047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evansville, IN
- County
- Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
- City population
- 146,793
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,132
- Household income
- $55,910
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1394.0
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 17% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -124.80%
- Current HPI
- 211.1755
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.86%
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+140.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $127,000 FSBO.com
- 2020-02-14 Sold (MLS) $50,000 IRMLS
- 2019-10-28 Listed $52,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+20.9%/yrLatest (2024): $1,394 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…