🏷️ Likely Rental
5025 E 13th Ave · Gary, IN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTORS!!!! ADD THIS PROPERTY TO YOUR PORTFOLIO TODAY!!!!! This property is in the Aetna/ Miller area which is experiencing improvements in the immediate vicinity. Currently occupied; DO NOT DISTURN TENANT UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES!!!! Ask your agents for more detailed info!!!!! ALL MEASUREMENTS TO BE VERIFIED. Seller is also willing to package an 8 unit building together with this property. The address is 601 Delaware in Gary Indiana. SOLD AS-IS, WHERE IS; SELLER WILL MAKE NO REPAIRS.
Key facts
- 6,055 sq ft lot
- Built 1957
- Listed 38 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $625 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $78k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.7% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($78k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.87% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.46%
- DSCR
- 2.49
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $149,006
- List price
- $80,000
- Delta
- -46.31%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1157 S Hamilton St | 0.47mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,608 (+0%) | 2mo | $118,700 | $74 | 70 |
| 836 Fayette St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,700 (+6%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $97 | 68 |
| 4630 E 10th Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,620 (+1%) | 18mo | $76,000 | $47 | 67 |
| 859 Fayette St | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (-6%) | 1mo | $181,500 | $121 | 64 |
| 4501 E 13th Pl | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,534 (-4%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $147 | 63 |
| 5544 E 10th Ave | 0.39mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,700 (+6%) | 1mo | $263,000 | $155 | 62 |
| 4000 E 13th Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 | 1,547 (-3%) | 14mo | $175,850 | $114 | 56 |
| 859 Elkhart St | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,768 (+10%) | 9mo | $183,000 | $104 | 52 |
| 845 Floyd St | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,815 (+13%) | 2mo | $159,000 | $88 | 48 |
| 855 Fayette St | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,824 (+14%) | 6mo | $149,000 | $82 | 46 |
| 1023 Benton St | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,810 (+13%) | 15mo | $199,000 | $110 | 41 |
| 5816 E 7th Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,433 (-10%) | 16mo | $250,000 | $174 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $26,849
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 36.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.34×
- Total profit
- $74,720
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46403
- Home prices YoY
- -27.3%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,499 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax from tax record
- −$107 /mo · $1,282/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $625
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1226 Cass St Gary, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1832 | $1,650 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 4408 E 7th Ave Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1920 | $1,200 | $0.62 | 1d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 904 Idaho St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,200 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 283 N Hamilton St Gary, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
INVESTORS!!!! ADD THIS PROPERTY TO YOUR PORTFOLIO TODAY!!!!! This property is in the Aetna/ Miller area which is experiencing improvements in the immediate vicinity. Currently occupied; DO NOT DISTURN TENANT UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES!!!! Ask your agents for more detailed info!!!!! ALL MEASUREMENTS TO BE VERIFIED. Seller is also willing to package an 8 unit building together with this property. The address is 601 Delaware in Gary Indiana. SOLD AS-IS, WHERE IS; SELLER WILL MAKE NO REPAIRS.
-
2026-04-06$80,000 Active 490-char remark
Show marketing remark (490 chars)
INVESTORS!!!! ADD THIS PROPERTY TO YOUR PORTFOLIO TODAY!!!!! This property is in the Aetna/ Miller area which is experiencing improvements in the immediate vicinity. Currently occupied; DO NOT DISTURN TENANT UNDER ANY CIRCUMSTANCES!!!! Ask your agents for more detailed info!!!!! ALL MEASUREMENTS TO BE VERIFIED. Seller is also willing to package an 8 unit building together with this property. The address is 601 Delaware in Gary Indiana. SOLD AS-IS, WHERE IS; SELLER WILL MAKE NO REPAIRS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,282 · $107/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,282 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,990
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,282
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,439
- − Management
- −$1,439
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $6,621
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,589
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,907/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,929
- Household income
- $45,991
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 656.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 18% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Hispanic 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.41%
- Current HPI
- 294.0935
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Listed $80,000 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-10.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,282 · +7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…