3251 Colfax Ave N · Minneapolis, MN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.1/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$230,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fantastic opportunity for first-time homebuyers, growing families, or savvy investors looking to build instant equity! Situated on a desirable corner lot, this charming 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a functional layout with two bedrooms conveniently located on the main level—a feature that’s becoming increasingly difficult to find. The inviting living room features a cozy fireplace, creating the perfect space to relax and gather with family and friends. Enjoy summer BBQs on the spacious backyard deck with family and friends. The home includes a 1-car garage plus an additional paved parking area in the backyard, providing convenient off-street parking year-round—especially
Key facts
- Paved parking area
- Unfinished basement
- 1-car garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete parking; 1-car garage
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One and one-half stories; Main level primary bedroom
- Construction: Block foundation; Asphalt roof (over 8 years old)
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Stucco exterior; Chain link fencing; Corner lot with light tree coverage; Curb, paved streets, sidewalks and street lights
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; Main level bedroom (approx. 11x10); Main level bedroom (approx. 11x11); Upper level bedroom (approx. 11x13); Upper level bedroom (approx. 13x13)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Main floor full bath
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Boiler heating; No central air
- Interior features: Living room fireplace (wood burning); Eat-in kitchen; Main floor primary bedroom; Kitchen window
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $230k).
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
- Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Nellie Stone Johnson Elementary (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #829 of 857 statewide, top 98%, 201 students, 96% FRL); Franklin Middle (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #255 of 258 statewide, top 100%, 287 students, 89% FRL); Henry High (reading 70%, 858 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 58% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-33 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Minneapolis Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $26k; list at $230k implies a 798% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.55%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $245,929
- List price
- $230,000
- Delta
- 1.61%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-13,473
- Equity at exit
- $34,294
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.69×
- Total profit
- $44,552
- Equity at exit
- $19,886
Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 34 Tenant-Leaning
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Minneapolis
- 34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
ZIP-level market 55412
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 167
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,354 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax from tax record
- −$314 /mo · $3,768/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$494
- Net cashflow
- $244
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $374 | -5% $309 | +0% $244 | +5% $179 | +10% $114 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $58 | -5% $151 | +0% $244 | +5% $337 | +10% $430 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $360 | -0.5pp $303 | base $244 | +0.5pp $184 | +1.0pp $124 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,500
- Closing costs
- $6,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3247 N 6th St Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1405 | $2,350 | $1.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3247 N 6th St Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1405 | $2,350 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3247 N 6th St Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1405 | $2,350 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 3211 N 6th St Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 3238 Humboldt Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1389 | $2,100 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 3105 N Girard Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,300 | $1.84 | 25d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 3522 Bryant Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $2,995 | $2.07 | 45d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2923 Girard Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $2,795 | $1.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3315 James Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2819 Girard Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1718 | $2,300 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2646 Dupont Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1514 | $2,245 | $1.48 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2703 Humboldt Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1218 | $1,450 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2620 Emerson Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 877 | $1,900 | $2.17 | 0d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 3114 Morgan Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1362 | $2,000 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 318 N 27th Ave #2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 318 N 27th Ave #2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,875 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,875 | $1.25 | 5d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1523 22nd Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 943 | $1,695 | $1.80 | 16d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2324 Logan Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $2,300 | $1.64 | 46d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1312 18th Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1520 | $1,899 | $1.25 | 9d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2211 Queen Ave N Unit 1 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 983 | $1,695 | $1.72 | 19d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2035 W River Rd Minneapolis, MN | 1.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1034 | $2,503 | $2.42 | 0d | 12 | 1.26mi |
| 2356 N Thomas Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 207 24th Ave NE Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1575 | $2,995 | $1.90 | 45d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 233 26th Ave NE Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1153 | $1,545 | $1.34 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1428 Marshall St NE Minneapolis, MN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $3,300 | $1.83 | 0d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1705 2nd St NE Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1600 | $2,795 | $1.75 | 3d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 2411 Golden Valley Rd Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,395 | $2.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $230,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-19remarks 681-char remark
-
2026-06-19pricedays on market $230,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $249,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $249,900 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $249,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $249,900 40-char remark
-
2026-04-10$259,900 Active 40-char remark
-
2025-05-13historical
-
2025-04-18$279,000 Active
-
2009-07-01soldstatus $25,600
-
2009-06-12historical
-
2009-06-05$20,000
-
2004-12-21soldstatus $120,900
-
2004-12-07historical
-
2004-09-24$124,500
-
2003-08-22soldstatus $160,000
-
1997-11-25soldstatus $86,500
-
1994-10-26soldstatus $57,500
-
1994-09-15soldstatus $57,500
-
1994-08-13historical
-
1994-05-03$57,900
-
1994-04-30historical
-
1993-01-14$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,768 · $314/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,768 · $314/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,253
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,884
- − Property taxes
- −$3,768
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,260
- − Management
- −$2,260
- − Depreciation
- −$6,691
- Taxable loss
- −$760
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$182
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,111/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minneapolis Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2721240
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,521
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5067
- State rank
- #217 of 301 in MN
Livability — Minneapolis
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #110
- US rank
- #2525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Minneapolis, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
- City population
- 417,555
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,460
- Household income
- $68,682
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 913.0
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 8% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.98%
- Current HPI
- 298.1414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.35%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+284.0% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-18 Listed $230,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-09 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $249,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Listed $259,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-13 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-18 Listed $279,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-07-01 Sold (MLS) $25,600 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-12 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-06-05 Listed $20,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-12-21 Sold (MLS) $120,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-12-07 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-24 Listed $124,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
- 1997-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $86,500 Public Records
- 1994-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
- 1994-09-15 Sold (MLS) $57,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-08-13 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-05-03 Listed $57,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-04-30 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1993-01-14 Listed $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,768 · +38.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…