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3251 Colfax Ave N
C- Composite 54.75
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.4/15.0
  • DSCR +6.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$230,000

3251 Colfax Ave N · Minneapolis, MN 55412
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,483 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1926 5,662 sqft lot $155/sqft · 12% above area Est $246k · 6% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fantastic opportunity for first-time homebuyers, growing families, or savvy investors looking to build instant equity! Situated on a desirable corner lot, this charming 4-bedroom, 1-bath home offers a functional layout with two bedrooms conveniently located on the main level—a feature that’s becoming increasingly difficult to find. The inviting living room features a cozy fireplace, creating the perfect space to relax and gather with family and friends. Enjoy summer BBQs on the spacious backyard deck with family and friends. The home includes a 1-car garage plus an additional paved parking area in the backyard, providing convenient off-street parking year-round—especially

Key facts

  • Paved parking area
  • Unfinished basement
  • 1-car garage

Tags

TWO BEDROOMS ON MAIN LEVELSPACIOUS BACKYARD DECK1-CAR GARAGEPAVED PARKING AREAUNFINISHED BASEMENTPOTENTIAL FOR FUTURE EXPANSION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete parking; 1-car garage
  • Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; One and one-half stories; Main level primary bedroom
  • Construction: Block foundation; Asphalt roof (over 8 years old)
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Stucco exterior; Chain link fencing; Corner lot with light tree coverage; Curb, paved streets, sidewalks and street lights

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; Main level bedroom (approx. 11x10); Main level bedroom (approx. 11x11); Upper level bedroom (approx. 11x13); Upper level bedroom (approx. 13x13)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Main floor full bath
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Boiler heating; No central air
  • Interior features: Living room fireplace (wood burning); Eat-in kitchen; Main floor primary bedroom; Kitchen window

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $244 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $230k).
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Nellie Stone Johnson Elementary (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #829 of 857 statewide, top 98%, 201 students, 96% FRL); Franklin Middle (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #255 of 258 statewide, top 100%, 287 students, 89% FRL); Henry High (reading 70%, 858 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 58% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 7% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-33 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Minneapolis Public School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 167 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 33y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $230k implies a 798% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $230,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.57%
Cash-on-cash
4.55%
DSCR
1.20
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$245,929
List price
$230,000
Delta
1.61%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.35% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.4%
Equity multiple
0.79×
Total profit
$-13,473
Equity at exit
$34,294
10-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$44,552
Equity at exit
$19,886

Cash invested: $64,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
34 Tenant-Leaning
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City Minneapolis
34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
Tenant Opportunity to Purchase; renter's protections.

ZIP-level market 55412

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,354 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax from tax record
$314 /mo · $3,768/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$494
Net cashflow
$244

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,046
Max offer price $230,000
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $374 -5% $309 +0% $244 +5% $179 +10% $114
Rent -10% $58 -5% $151 +0% $244 +5% $337 +10% $430
Rate -1.0pp $360 -0.5pp $303 base $244 +0.5pp $184 +1.0pp $124

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,500
Closing costs
$6,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3247 N 6th St Minneapolis, MN 5.0 1.5 1405 $2,350 $1.67 45d 1 0.25mi
3247 N 6th St Minneapolis, MN 5.0 1.5 1405 $2,350 $1.67 23d 1 0.25mi
3247 N 6th St Minneapolis, MN 5.0 1.5 1405 $2,350 $1.67 25d 1 0.25mi
3211 N 6th St Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 4.0 1.0 900 $1,450 $1.61 25d 1 0.27mi
3238 Humboldt Ave N Minneapolis, MN 5.0 1.0 1389 $2,100 $1.51 45d 1 0.29mi
3105 N Girard Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 4.0 1.0 1250 $2,300 $1.84 25d 1 0.31mi
3522 Bryant Ave N Minneapolis, MN 5.0 2.0 1449 $2,995 $2.07 45d 1 0.31mi
2923 Girard Ave N Minneapolis, MN 5.0 2.0 1760 $2,795 $1.59 23d 1 0.41mi
3315 James Ave N Minneapolis, MN 4.0 1.0 1400 $2,100 $1.50 5d 1 0.44mi
2819 Girard Ave N Minneapolis, MN 5.0 2.0 1718 $2,300 $1.34 45d 1 0.47mi
2646 Dupont Ave N Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 4.0 1.0 1514 $2,245 $1.48 45d 1 0.53mi
2703 Humboldt Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1218 $1,450 $1.19 23d 1 0.58mi
2620 Emerson Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 877 $1,900 $2.17 0d 1 0.58mi
3114 Morgan Ave N Minneapolis, MN 4.0 2.0 1362 $2,000 $1.47 15d 1 0.62mi
318 N 27th Ave #2 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 5d 1 0.65mi
318 N 27th Ave #2 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 45d 1 0.65mi
1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,875 $1.25 23d 1 0.98mi
1510 N 22nd Ave #1 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,875 $1.25 5d 1 0.98mi
1523 22nd Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 943 $1,695 $1.80 16d 1 1.01mi
2324 Logan Ave N Minneapolis, MN 4.0 1.5 1400 $2,300 $1.64 46d 1 1.03mi
1312 18th Ave N Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1520 $1,899 $1.25 9d 1 1.24mi
2211 Queen Ave N Unit 1 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 983 $1,695 $1.72 19d 1 1.26mi
2035 W River Rd Minneapolis, MN 1.0–4.0 2.0 1034 $2,503 $2.42 0d 12 1.26mi
2356 N Thomas Ave Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,800 $1.80 45d 1 1.28mi
207 24th Ave NE Minneapolis, MN 3.0 3.0 1575 $2,995 $1.90 45d 1 1.30mi
233 26th Ave NE Minneapolis, MN 3.0 1.0 1153 $1,545 $1.34 45d 1 1.32mi
1428 Marshall St NE Minneapolis, MN 3.0 2.5 1800 $3,300 $1.83 0d 1 1.35mi
1705 2nd St NE Minneapolis, MN 4.0 3.0 1600 $2,795 $1.75 3d 1 1.44mi
2411 Golden Valley Rd Unit 2 Minneapolis, MN 4.0 2.0 1200 $2,395 $2.00 16d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $230,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    remarks 681-char remark
  3. 2026-06-19
    pricedays on marketlisting id $230,000 Active 1 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,900 Active 59 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,900 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-04
    days on market $249,900 Active 55 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,900 Active 54 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,900 Active 53 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,900 Active 52 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,900 Active 51 DOM
  11. 2026-05-04
    price $249,900 40-char remark
  12. 2026-04-10
    listed $259,900 Active 40-char remark
  13. 2025-05-13
    historical
  14. 2025-04-18
    listed $279,000 Active
  15. 2009-07-01
    soldstatus $25,600
  16. 2009-06-12
    historical
  17. 2009-06-05
    listed $20,000
  18. 2004-12-21
    soldstatus $120,900
  19. 2004-12-07
    historical
  20. 2004-09-24
    listed $124,500
  21. 2003-08-22
    soldstatus $160,000
  22. 1997-11-25
    soldstatus $86,500
  23. 1994-10-26
    soldstatus $57,500
  24. 1994-09-15
    soldstatus $57,500
  25. 1994-08-13
    historical
  26. 1994-05-03
    listed $57,900
  27. 1994-04-30
    historical
  28. 1993-01-14
    listed $59,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,768 · $314/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,768 · $314/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,253
− Mortgage interest
−$12,884
− Property taxes
−$3,768
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,260
− Management
−$2,260
− Depreciation
−$6,691
Taxable loss
−$760
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$182
After-tax cash flow
$3,111/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Minneapolis Public School District
NCES district ID
2721240
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$50,521
Composite
34.92/100
National rank
#5067
State rank
#217 of 301 in MN

Livability — Minneapolis

Score
78/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#2525

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minneapolis, MN
County
Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
City population
417,555
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
24,460
Household income
$68,682
Rent vs Own
27.8% rent · 72.2% own
Severe rent burden
913.0

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,405,227 people
By 2030
1,492,650 · +6.2%
By 2040
1,660,157 · +18.1%
By 2050
1,823,498 · +29.8%
By 2075
2,221,283 · +58.1%
By 2100
2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
White 36% Black 33% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 12% Asian 8% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -109.98%
Current HPI
298.1414
Rent YoY
▲ 6.35%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+284.0% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-18 Listed $230,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-06-09 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $249,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $259,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-13 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-18 Listed $279,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-01 Sold (MLS) $25,600 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-06-12 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-06-05 Listed $20,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-12-21 Sold (MLS) $120,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-12-07 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-09-24 Listed $124,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 1997-11-25 Sold (Public Records) $86,500 Public Records
  • 1994-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $57,500 Public Records
  • 1994-09-15 Sold (MLS) $57,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1994-08-13 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1994-05-03 Listed $57,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1994-04-30 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1993-01-14 Listed $59,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,768 · +38.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…