2117 Avenue C · Scottsbluff, NE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$143,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1915
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Frame and stucco construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Wood fencing; Lot dimensions approximately 50 x 140
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Basement present
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $144k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($412/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (12.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.1% in Scottsbluff — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#127 in NE, #4,862 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities D-.
- Scottsbluff Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #89 of 111 in NE (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 101 active listings in the ZIP; 33 units permitted in Scotts Bluff County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $992 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scotts Bluff County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $144k implies a 257% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.03%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $347,490
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2117 4th Ave | 0.51mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,409 (-1%) | 2mo | $345,000 | $143 | 60 |
| 2222 5th Ave | 0.55mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,169 (-11%) | 24mo | $295,000 | $136 | 24 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-21,065
- Equity at exit
- $21,396
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-15,523
- Equity at exit
- $12,407
Cash invested: $40,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 69361
- Active inventory
- 101
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,261 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$753
- Tax from tax record
- −$149 /mo · $1,793/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $34
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,875
- Closing costs
- $4,305
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $143,500 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $143,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $143,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $143,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $143,500 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12$143,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,793 · $149/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,483 · $207/mo
- Expected delta
- +$689/yr (+$57/mo · 38.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,131
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,038
- − Property taxes
- −$1,793
- − Insurance
- −$718
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,210
- − Management
- −$1,210
- − Depreciation
- −$4,175
- Taxable loss
- −$2,014
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$483
- After-tax cash flow
- $895/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scottsbluff Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3176470
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,931
- Composite
- 36.14/100
- National rank
- #4745
- State rank
- #89 of 111 in NE
Livability — Scottsbluff
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #127
- US rank
- #4862
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Scottsbluff, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,965
Population outlook (Scotts Bluff County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 35,740 people
- By 2030
- 35,229 · -1.4%
- By 2040
- 34,160 · -4.4%
- By 2050
- 33,656 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 35,257 · -1.4%
- By 2100
- 39,158 · +9.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 12% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scotts Bluff
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.7) · D 25.6% · R 73.4% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.0pp toward R · 2008: -33.7pp · 2024: -47.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.7 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+48.9 2012: R+37.7 2008: R+33.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -181.96%
- Current HPI
- 169.5952
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+187.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $143,500 WNBOR
- 2015-10-30 Sold (MLS) $40,250 WNBOR
- 2015-10-08 Listed $39,900 WNBOR
- 2015-08-28 Sold (MLS) $20,100 WNBOR
- 2015-06-10 Listed $49,760 WNBOR
- 1998-06-08 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,793 · +10.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…