2969 Perry Ave · New York, NY 10458

$1,499,000

15 bd · 8.1 ba · 6,475 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 15 Days on market

Built 1920 5,474 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +15.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Appreciation +7.5/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• DSCR +4.6/10.0
• Rent growth +4.5/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• 1% rule +3.1/10.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Beautiful and unique oversized brick 3 family home. Great Opportunity! This moving ready GEM most beautiful hardwood floors. Excellent location. Oversized property, 15 bedrooms, large attic loft, gorgeous hardwood floors many updates. One of a kind marble spa bathroom. Close to schools shops and transportation.

Key facts

• 5,474 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1920

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3 × 5-bed/2.7-bath units multifamily listed at $1.50M.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $155/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.22M (18.7% below list).
• Recommended offer: $1.22M (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Jhs 383 Philippa Schuyler (math 32% / reading 67%, grade C, #280 of 729 statewide, top 40%, 822 students, 85% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,929 units permitted in Bronx County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $12,190/mo this rent would consume 359% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 10274% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $86k of equity ($10k loan paydown + $75k appreciation (5.0% local appreciation)).
• Bronx County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (5.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $420k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$137k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.48M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $670k; list at $1.50M implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $1,219,000 (18.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.81% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.67%
• Cash-on-cash: 1.33%
• DSCR: 1.06
• GRM: 10.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.03% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 16.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.05×
• Total profit: $441,116
• Equity at exit: $851,706

10-year hold

• IRR: 18.4%
• Equity multiple: 4.48×
• Total profit: $1,460,700
• Equity at exit: $1,471,787

Cash invested: $419,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 10458

• Home prices YoY: 3.0%
• Rents YoY: 8.0%
• Active inventory: 63
• Price-to-rent: 30.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $12,190 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$7,861
• Tax from tax record: −$679 /mo · $8,151/yr
• Insurance: −$625
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$2,560
• Net cashflow: $465

Break-even live

Break-even rent $11,601

Max offer price $1,499,000

Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $1,314	-5% $890	+0% $465	+5% $41	+10% $-383
Rent	-10% $-498	-5% $-16	+0% $465	+5% $947	+10% $1,428
Rate	-1.0pp $1,220	-0.5pp $847	base $465	+0.5pp $77	+1.0pp $-318

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 3× units	5	2.7	$12,189
Total (3 units)			$12,190

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $374,750
• Closing costs: $44,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 5 events

1. 2026-03-12
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-26
   listed $1,499,000 Active
3. 2026-02-22
   historical $1,499,000
4. 2005-09-30
   soldstatus $670,000
5. 1981-04-01
   soldstatus $74,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $8,151 · $679/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $16,742 · $1,395/mo
• Expected delta: +$8,591/yr (+$716/mo · 105.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $146,280
• − Mortgage interest: −$83,967
• − Property taxes: −$8,151
• − Insurance: −$7,495
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$11,702
• − Management: −$11,702
• − Depreciation: −$43,607
• Taxable loss: −$20,345
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$4,883
• After-tax cash flow: $10,467/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Bronx County · 1,197,324 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 74,898
• Household income: $40,800
• Rent vs Own: 95.8% rent · 4.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 10274.0

Population outlook (Bronx County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,353 people
• By 2030: 1,681,852 · +4.6%
• By 2040: 1,824,421 · +13.5%
• By 2050: 1,945,470 · +21.0%
• By 2075: 2,187,887 · +36.1%
• By 2100: 2,244,136 · +39.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (70%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 70% Black 16% Two or more races 10% White 8% Asian 4% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 34%
• Foreign-born: 41% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
• Languages at home: 30% English-only · Spanish 61% Other Indo-European 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bronx

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+45.4) · D 72.7% · R 27.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.3pp toward R · 2008: 77.8pp · 2024: 45.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+45.4 2020: D+67.6 2016: D+79.1 2012: D+82.9 2008: D+77.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 5.03%
• Current HPI: 173.4217
• Rent YoY: ▲ 8.04%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+1925.7% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-12 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-26 Listed $1,499,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-02-22 Coming Soon $1,499,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2005-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $670,000 Public Records
• 1981-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,151 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.