527 Pauline St · Marksville, LA 71351

$75,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,296 sqft · Manufactured · 611 Days on market

Built 2005 0.39 ac lot ↓ 12% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.8/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +2.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.1/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY!!!!! Investors, here is your chance to own an affordable home that is already tenant occupied. With a little elbow grease this property has potential to shine bright in your investment portfolio. Take advantage of this opportunity to add value and personalize this property to your liking.

Key facts

• Tenant occupied
• Add value
• 0.39 acre lot

Tags

• TENANT OCCUPIED
• INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY
• ADD VALUE

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No parking
• Home design: Manufactured home
• Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Composition roof
• Exterior features: Vinyl siding; Composition roof

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
• Bedrooms: Three bedrooms
• Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Has heating and cooling
• Interior features: Living room; Dining room; Kitchen; Bedroom 1; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3; Bathroom 1; Bathroom 2

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $417 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
• Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 13.0% vs local median 6.5% in Marksville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 52/100 on livability (#415 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D, crime F.
• Avoyelles Parish (rural): math 22% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #56 of 98 in LA (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Avoyelles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Avoyelles County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 611 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 611 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.48% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.96%
• Cash-on-cash: 23.81%
• DSCR: 2.06
• GRM: 5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 17.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.68×
• Total profit: $14,366
• Equity at exit: $11,183

10-year hold

• IRR: 25.5%
• Equity multiple: 3.22×
• Total profit: $46,600
• Equity at exit: $6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Louisiana: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71351

• Active inventory: 75
• Price-to-rent: 5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,107 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$393
• Tax from tax record: −$33 /mo · $395/yr
• Insurance: −$31
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$232
• Net cashflow: $417

Break-even live

Break-even rent $579

Max offer price $75,000

Occupancy floor 57%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $18,750
• Closing costs: $2,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 20 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $75,000 Active 611 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $75,000 Active 610 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $75,000 Active 609 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $75,000 Active 608 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $75,000 Active 607 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $75,000 Active 605 DOM
7. 2026-06-13
   days on market $75,000 Active 604 DOM
8. 2026-06-10
   days on market $75,000 Active 602 DOM
9. 2026-06-09
   days on market $75,000 Active 601 DOM
10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 600 DOM
11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 599 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 595 DOM
13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $75,000 Active 594 DOM
14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 593 DOM
15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 592 DOM
16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $75,000 Active 591 DOM
17. 2025-11-29
    price $75,000
18. 2024-07-15
    listed $85,000 Active
19. 2005-06-02
    soldstatus
20. 2005-06-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $395 · $33/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $412 · $34/mo
• Expected delta: +$18/yr (+$1/mo · 4.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,278
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,201
• − Property taxes: −$395
• − Insurance: −$375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,062
• − Management: −$1,062
• − Depreciation: −$2,182
• Taxable income: $4,001
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$960
• After-tax cash flow: $4,040/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Avoyelles Parish
• NCES district ID: 2200150
• Math proficiency: 22% ▼ -32.00%
• Reading proficiency: 30% ▼ -29.00%
• Median HH income: $33,891
• Composite: 21.32/100
• National rank: #8378
• State rank: #56 of 98 in LA

Livability — Marksville

• Score: 52/100
• State rank: #415
• US rank: #25114

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B- Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Marksville, LA
• Population (ZIP): 11,494

Population outlook (Avoyelles County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 39,084 people
• By 2030: 37,784 · -3.3%
• By 2040: 35,049 · -10.3%
• By 2050: 32,225 · -17.5%
• By 2075: 25,695 · -34.3%
• By 2100: 18,985 · -51.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (62%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 62% Black 25% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Native American 2% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 22% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada, China, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Spanish 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Avoyelles

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+43.1) · D 27.8% · R 71.0% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.1pp toward R · 2008: -23.1pp · 2024: -43.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+43.1 2020: R+40.8 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+23.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -66.16%
• Current HPI: 95.5318
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.29%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Telecommunications	2	$23B
▸Utilities	1	$12B
▸Wholesale / Distribution	1	$5B
▸Advertising	1	$2B

Price history

-11.8% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2025-11-29 Price Changed $75,000 AcadianaMLS
• 2024-07-15 Listed $85,000 AcadianaMLS
• 2005-06-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2005-06-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $395 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.