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2101 Briley St
C Composite 58.91
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$250,000

2101 Briley St · Houston, TX 77004
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,085 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 91 Days on market
Built 1983 5,000 sqft lot Est $407k · 39% under ↓ 49% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

THIS PROPERTY IS ON A CORNER LOT. IT HAS A REALLY NICE FLOORPLAN. IT HAS AAREA OFF THE LARGE KITCHEN AND A HUGE MASTER BEDROOM . IT IS JUST 1 MILES FROM DOWNTOWN AND THE MED CENTER. TONS OF NEW CONSTRUCTION IN THE AREA.

Key facts

  • Huge master bedroom
  • Large family area
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTLARGE FAMILY AREAHUGE MASTER BEDROOM1 MILES FROM DOWNTOWN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Residential property; Single-story (all main rooms listed on first floor)
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built in 1983; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Located in a subdivision

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the first floor; primary approx. 18 x 20, other bedrooms approx. 14 x 12 and 13 x 14)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central electric air conditioning
  • Interior features: Fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $287 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $228k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.2% in Houston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Houston ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #593 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Blackshear El (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 308 students, 99% FRL); Cullen Middle (math 6% / reading 14%, grade F, #1,641 of 1,662 statewide, top 99%, 324 students, 100% FRL); Yates H S (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,451 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 851 students, 96% FRL) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 71% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 19% at this address vs 31% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 581 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,965/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($71k/yr) (locally 3072% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($228k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $227,500 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
7.67%
Cash-on-cash
4.92%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$406,575
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3032 Bremond St 0.21mi 3/3.5 (+1) 2,066 (-1%) 1mo $299,900 $145 77
3322 Mcgowen St 0.34mi 3/2.5 (+1) 2,005 (-4%) 1mo $390,000 $195 70
3510 Hadley St 0.51mi 3/3.5 (+1) 2,069 (-1%) 0mo $399,990 $193 64
3034 Bremond St 0.22mi 3/3.5 (+1) 2,275 (+9%) 1mo $299,900 $132 63
3034 Mcgowen St 0.26mi 3/3.5 (+1) 1,915 (-8%) 0mo $419,900 $219 63
3111 Leeland St 0.34mi 3/3.5 (+1) 1,966 (-6%) 1mo $379,900 $193 63
2714 Nagle St 0.42mi 3/3.5 (+1) 1,966 (-6%) 0mo $358,900 $183 60
2214 Dennis St 0.58mi 3/3.5 (+1) 2,002 (-4%) 0mo $475,000 $237 55
2212 Dennis St 0.59mi 3/3.5 (+1) 2,002 (-4%) 1mo $475,000 $237 55
2606 Rosalie St 0.59mi 3/3.5 (+1) 1,972 (-5%) 1mo $416,000 $211 52
2715 St Emanuel St 0.66mi 3/3.5 (+1) 2,211 (+6%) 1mo $410,000 $185 48
2205 Dennis St 0.59mi 3/3.5 (+1) 2,302 (+10%) 0mo $599,000 $260 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-30,674
Equity at exit
$37,276
10-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-35,755
Equity at exit
$21,615

Cash invested: $70,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77004

Rents YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
581
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,965 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$640 /mo · $7,685/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$623
Net cashflow
$287

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,602
Max offer price $250,000
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,500
Closing costs
$7,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3034 Gray St Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 2081 $3,000 $1.44 43d 1 0.07mi
3131 Leeland St Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 1966 $2,850 $1.45 24d 1 0.39mi
3335 Tuam St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 2300 $995 $0.43 43d 1 0.43mi
3517 McIlhenny St Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 2000 $3,200 $1.60 3d 1 0.51mi
2103 McGowen St Unit 1244937P Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 2292 $4,758 $2.08 2d 1 0.60mi
2107 McGowen St Unit 1244935P Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 2497 $4,711 $1.89 3d 1 0.61mi
2109 McGowen St Unit 1244934P Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 2497 $4,734 $1.90 5d 1 0.61mi
2105 McGowen St Unit 1244936P Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 2497 $4,836 $1.94 5d 1 0.61mi
2519 Saint Emanuel St Unit 1241246P Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 2389 $2,670 $1.12 2d 1 0.62mi
2521 Saint Emanuel St Unit 1047945P Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 2292 $3,010 $1.31 3d 1 0.63mi
2326 St Emanuel St Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 2642 $2,601 $0.98 7d 1 0.63mi
3226 McKinney St Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 2274 $2,500 $1.10 43d 1 0.69mi
3719 Elgin St Houston, TX 1.0–5.0 1.0–5.0 1241 $1,112 $0.90 24d 14 0.77mi
2216 Chenevert St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.5–2.5 1380 $2,800 $2.03 24d 3 0.80mi
2816 Rusk St Houston, TX 3.0 3.5 2107 $2,800 $1.33 43d 1 0.82mi
2357 Jackson St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 1908 $2,500 $1.31 22d 1 0.84mi
2504 Rusk St Unit 1563174P Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1819 $4,036 $2.22 3d 1 0.87mi
3507 Canfield St Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 2200 $2,350 $1.07 24d 1 0.89mi
4001 Dallas St Unit 1029264P Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 2174 $5,077 $2.34 5d 1 0.91mi
2809 Crawford St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1928 $2,600 $1.35 43d 1 0.98mi
2416 La Branch St Houston, TX 3.0 4.0 2540 $2,900 $1.14 43d 1 1.00mi
2209 Alabama St Unit B Houston, TX 3.0 2.5 2074 $2,350 $1.13 43d 1 1.01mi
1721 Stuart St Houston, TX 1.0 1.0 1758 $1,095 $0.62 43d 1 1.03mi
1515 Austin St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1120 $3,749 $3.35 1d 20 1.07mi
2721 Austin St Houston, TX 3.0 4.0 2607 $3,000 $1.15 24d 1 1.08mi
2311 Eagle St Houston, TX 3.0 4.0 1783 $2,500 $1.40 43d 1 1.17mi
1757 Walker St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1575 $4,350 $2.76 24d 1 1.18mi
4306 Ennis St Houston, TX 3.0 3.0 1989 $2,500 $1.26 43d 1 1.18mi
1310 Anita St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1760 $2,695 $1.53 43d 1 1.18mi
1400 McKinney St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 2166 $12,100 $5.59 1d 9 1.19mi
1406 McKinney St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1987 $5,075 $2.55 24d 1 1.21mi
1211 Caroline St Unit 3584 Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1562 $2,269 $1.45 43d 1 1.21mi
808 Crawford St Houston, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.5 1740 $7,281 $4.18 1d 30 1.22mi
1617 Fannin St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 941 $2,802 $2.98 1d 21 1.24mi
1915 Cleburne St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0 2766 $1,800 $0.65 43d 1 1.24mi
2856 Fannin St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1490 $3,400 $2.28 43d 1 1.29mi
1399 Fannin St Houston, TX 2.0 2.0 1595 $3,846 $2.41 24d 1 1.30mi
2850 Fannin St Houston, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1138 $3,250 $2.85 1d 24 1.32mi
2727 Travis St Houston, TX 2.0 1.0–2.0 1046 $2,949 $2.82 1d 24 1.36mi
2703 Blodgett St Unit 1047952P Houston, TX 1.0–5.0 1.5–5.5 2497 $10,654 $4.27 1d 2 1.37mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $250,000 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $250,000 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 80 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $250,000 Active 77 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $250,000 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 73 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,685 · $640/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,685 · $640/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 67% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,585
− Mortgage interest
−$14,004
− Property taxes
−$7,685
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,847
− Management
−$2,847
− Depreciation
−$7,273
Taxable loss
−$321
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$77
After-tax cash flow
$3,521/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Houston ISD
NCES district ID
4823640
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$46,054
Composite
26.63/100
National rank
#7173
State rank
#593 of 826 in TX

Livability — Houston

Score
74/100
State rank
#184
US rank
#4771

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Houston, TX
County
Harris County · 4,702,590 people
City population
3,226,434
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
Population (ZIP)
35,997
Household income
$71,199
Rent vs Own
61.8% rent · 38.2% own
Severe rent burden
3072.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,571,493 people
By 2030
6,089,821 · +9.3%
By 2040
7,142,806 · +28.2%
By 2050
8,185,864 · +46.9%
By 2075
10,574,329 · +89.8%
By 2100
12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Black 48% White 27% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -139.34%
Current HPI
199.6066
Rent YoY
▼ -0.32%
Metro
Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-49.5% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2026-03-26 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $250,000 HARMLS
  • 2024-02-05 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-01-11 Listed $210,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-12-12 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-11-08 Price Changed $240,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-09-25 Listed $289,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-09-23 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-09-22 Listed $389,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-07-09 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-05-18 Price Changed $475,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-05-18 Relisted HARMLS
  • 2023-04-17 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2023-04-07 Price Changed $295,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-03-06 Price Changed $395,000 HARMLS
  • 2023-02-08 Listed $495,000 HARMLS
  • 1988-01-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,685 · +20.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…