240 Sherman Ave · Seaside Heights, NJ
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Cash flow +1.4/30.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$699,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Under Attorney Review accepting back up offers. Calling all Investors, this 3-Family is totally renovated! The front house offers two 1-bedroom, 1-bathroom apartments, the rear house has 2 bedrooms and one full bath. All units have brand new flooring, white shaker cabinets, appliances, tankless water heaters, energy efficient split air/heating units, recessed lighting, ceiling fans, stand up shower enclosures, and more! All units are rented year-round with 50K in rent annually. Coin -operated washer and dryer on the premises with storage for each unit. Walking distance to boardwalk, restaurants and attractions.
Key facts
- Fully renovated
- Modern upgrades
- New flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Owner pays water (multi-family information)
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Individually owned
- Construction: Crawl space basement
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Laminate flooring; No fireplaces
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $699k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3k ($-38k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $171k (75.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (65.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (75.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 1.6% vs local median 2.9% in Seaside Heights — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#483 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, commute F, employment F.
- Central Regional School District (suburban): math 17% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #357 of 472 in NJ (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 194 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,434 units permitted in Ocean County in 2024 (868 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $21k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ocean County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($657k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 75% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.35% ✗
- Cap rate
- 1.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- -16.86%
- DSCR
- 0.25
- GRM
- 24.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $547,584
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 220 Lincoln Ave | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 800 (+4%) | 3mo | $477,232 | $597 | 68 |
| 105 Dolphin Dr | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 768 (0%) | 3mo | $707,500 | $921 | 68 |
| 415 Coolidge Ave Unit B | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 800 (+4%) | 12mo | $570,000 | $713 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -56.3%
- Equity multiple
- -0.61×
- Total profit
- $-315,399
- Equity at exit
- $104,223
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- -1.73×
- Total profit
- $-534,363
- Equity at exit
- $60,437
Cash invested: $195,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08751
- Home prices YoY
- -34.8%
- Active inventory
- 194
- Price-to-rent
- 24.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,431 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,666
- Tax from tax record
- −$714 /mo · $8,563/yr
- Insurance
- −$291
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$510
- Net cashflow
- $-3,177
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $174,750
- Closing costs
- $20,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 Kearney Ave Apt 2 Seaside Heights, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,600 | $3.47 | 18d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 46 Kearney Ave Unit B Seaside Heights, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 700 | $2,200 | $3.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 46 Kearney Ave Unit A Seaside Heights, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,000 | $2.86 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 241 Hiering Ave Seaside Heights, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 626 | $4,250 | $6.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 104 5th Ave Unit UP Seaside Heights, NJ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $3,000 | $3.16 | 44d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1955 Railway Ave E Seaside Heights, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1064 | $3,500 | $3.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2020 Baltimore Ave Unit Down Seaside Heights, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,600 | $3.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $699,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $699,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-17remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-17$699,000 Active 64 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,563 · $714/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $12,984 · $1,082/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,421/yr (+$368/mo · 51.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,168
- − Mortgage interest
- −$39,155
- − Property taxes
- −$8,563
- − Insurance
- −$8,614
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,333
- − Management
- −$2,333
- − Depreciation
- −$20,335
- Taxable loss
- −$52,165
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$12,520
- After-tax cash flow
- $-25,602/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Regional School District
- NCES district ID
- 3402910
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,676
- Composite
- 25.59/100
- National rank
- #7422
- State rank
- #357 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Seaside Heights
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #483
- US rank
- #19128
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Seaside Heights, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,625
Population outlook (Ocean County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 586,991 people
- By 2030
- 581,403 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 564,913 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 538,149 · -8.3%
- By 2075
- 468,845 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 350,297 · -40.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Iranian 1% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ocean
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.0) · D 31.4% · R 67.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.6pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -36.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.0 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+34.0 2012: R+17.7 2008: R+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -301.05%
- Current HPI
- 564.3566
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+1298.0% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Price Changed $699,000 MOMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $715,000 MOMLS
- 2023-08-11 Sold (Public Records) $650,000 Public Records
- 2023-07-31 Sold (MLS) $650,000 MOMLS
- 2023-06-23 Pending — MOMLS
- 2023-06-22 Delisted — MOMLS
- 2023-06-13 Listed $660,000 MOMLS
- 2021-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $500,000 Public Records
- 2021-08-13 Sold (MLS) $500,000 MOMLS
- 2021-07-06 Pending — MOMLS
- 2021-06-17 Listed $500,000 MOMLS
- 2019-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $100,000 Public Records
- 2000-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2000-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $8,563 · +23.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…