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4110 Flatwoods Rd
D- Composite 39.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +1.8/5.0
  • DSCR +1.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.1/10.0

$309,995

4110 Flatwoods Rd · Lafayette, VA 24087
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,118 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1999 0.99 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful 3BR/2BA ranch in Elliston, VA! Centrally located between Roanoke and Blacksburg, this home features an attached Garage plus a detached TWO Car Garage with a bonus room above. The unfinished basement with high ceilings is ready to be finished to double your square footage! Major updates include a new roof and porch (2025) and a well-maintained septic. Move-in ready with room to grow--come see the potential at 4110 Flatwoods Road!

Key facts

  • Bonus room above
  • Attached garage
  • Unfinished basement

Tags

ATTACHED GARAGEDETACHED TWO CAR GARAGEBONUS ROOM ABOVEUNFINISHED BASEMENTNEW ROOFWELL-MAINTAINED SEPTIC

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking for 3 vehicles; 6 additional open parking spaces; Off-street parking available
  • Utilities: Has heating and cooling
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 1999
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Almost 1-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in microwave
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Concrete; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Metal interior doors; Insulated windows; Built-in microwave oven

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $310k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-389 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $241k (22.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (39.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $189k (39.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 36/100 on livability (#590 in VA) — a limited-amenity area; tenant pool skews transient or value-seeking. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Montgomery County Public School District (urban): math 57% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #47 of 131 in VA (top 36%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Eastern Montgomery Elementary (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #966 of 1,108 statewide, top 89%, 385 students, 76% FRL); Shawsville Middle (math 41% / reading 56%, grade C-, #244 of 342 statewide, top 72%, 208 students, 74% FRL); Eastern Montgomery High (math 72% / reading 77%, grade B+, #107 of 319 statewide, top 37%, 282 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 32% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 323 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $33k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $31k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Montgomery County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$53k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $164k; list at $310k implies a 89% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $189,112 (39.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.61%
Cap rate
4.79%
Cash-on-cash
-5.37%
DSCR
0.76
GRM
13.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
2.66×
Total profit
$143,940
Equity at exit
$279,268
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
6.10×
Total profit
$443,091
Equity at exit
$602,252

Cash invested: $86,799 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24087

Home prices YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
13.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,891 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,626
Tax from tax record
$128 /mo · $1,535/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$397
Net cashflow
$-389

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,383
Max offer price $241,319
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,499
Closing costs
$9,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    statusdays on market $309,995 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $309,995 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-05-30
    days on market $309,995 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-05-28
    listed $309,995 Active 442-char remark
    Show marketing remark (442 chars)

    Beautiful 3BR/2BA ranch in Elliston, VA! Centrally located between Roanoke and Blacksburg, this home features an attached Garage plus a detached TWO Car Garage with a bonus room above. The unfinished basement with high ceilings is ready to be finished to double your square footage! Major updates include a new roof and porch (2025) and a well-maintained septic. Move-in ready with room to grow--come see the potential at 4110 Flatwoods Road!

  5. 2026-05-22
    listed $309,995 Active
  6. 2013-05-23
    soldstatus $164,000 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Country living with easy access to I-81. Well maintained home, one owner ranch with walkout basement. (High ceilings allowing for over 1000 sq ft expansion. ) This home is on a level lot approx 1 acre w/ exceptional quality built detached 2-car garage w/ walkup loft. Also single car carport. Only 5 minutes to Interstate, 20 mins to Salem and 25 min. to Blacksburg.

  7. 2013-05-17
    soldstatus $164,000
  8. 2013-03-04
    listed $169,950 366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (366 chars)

    Country living with easy access to I-81. Well maintained home, one owner ranch with walkout basement. (High ceilings allowing for over 1000 sq ft expansion. ) This home is on a level lot approx 1 acre w/ exceptional quality built detached 2-car garage w/ walkup loft. Also single car carport. Only 5 minutes to Interstate, 20 mins to Salem and 25 min. to Blacksburg.

  9. 2000-05-15
    soldstatus $118,950
  10. 1999-11-14
    listed $118,950

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,535 · $128/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,542 · $212/mo
Expected delta
+$1,007/yr (+$84/mo · 65.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,693
− Mortgage interest
−$17,365
− Property taxes
−$1,535
− Insurance
−$1,550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,815
− Management
−$1,815
− Depreciation
−$9,018
Taxable loss
−$10,405
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,497
After-tax cash flow
$-2,168/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Montgomery County Public School District
NCES district ID
5102520
Math proficiency
57% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
70% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$46,618
Composite
53.6/100
National rank
#1440
State rank
#47 of 131 in VA

Livability — Lafayette

Score
36/100
State rank
#590
US rank
#27673

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing F Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
3,948

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
105,748 people
By 2030
110,301 · +4.3%
By 2040
115,652 · +9.4%
By 2050
119,651 · +13.1%
By 2075
126,005 · +19.2%
By 2100
129,771 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.9% · R 47.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 4.9pp · 2024: 3.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+3.5 2020: D+5.8 2016: D+1.3 2012: R+0.2 2008: D+4.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.65%
Current HPI
258.6535
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+160.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $309,995 NRVMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $309,995 MLSRV
  • 2013-05-23 Sold (MLS) $164,000 MLSRV
  • 2013-05-17 Sold (Public Records) $164,000 Public Records
  • 2013-03-04 Listed $169,950 MLSRV
  • 2000-05-15 Sold (MLS) $118,950 MLSRV
  • 1999-11-14 Listed $118,950 MLSRV

Property tax history

+0.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,535 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…