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10429 Cronus Dr
C- Composite 54.23
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

10429 Cronus Dr · El Paso, TX 79924
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,272 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1975 6,084 sqft lot Est $202k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cash buyers and investors, look no further! This just listed in El Paso property is the perfect addition to your portfolio, offering an incredible opportunity for a profitable fix-and-flip or a high-yielding rental. Located in a highly desirable area, this North East home for sale boasts massive value-add potential. The heavy lifting has already been done! This home features a brand-new roof, a newly installed water heater, and a new refrigerated AC and furnace system, saving you thousands in upfront capital expenditures. The layout includes 3 bedrooms, plus an excellent garage conversion equipped with its own private entry/exit--perfect for a 4th bedroom or maximizing rental income. Situat

Key facts

  • Expansive bonus room
  • Garage conversion
  • Flexible layout

Tags

BRAND-NEW ROOFNEWLY INSTALLED WATER HEATERGARAGE CONVERSIONPRIVATE ENTRY EXITFLEXIBLE LAYOUTEXPANSIVE BONUS ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA fee inclusions

Exterior

  • Home design: Single family residence; Pitched roof
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: See remarks; Back yard fencing; Open patio/porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: See remarks
  • Flooring: See remarks
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 three-quarter bathroom
  • Fireplace: 1 fireplace
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Refrigerated cooling
  • Interior features: See remarks

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($56/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#23 in TX, #1,375 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
  • El Paso ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #591 of 826 in TX (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Charles Middle (math 25% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,077 of 1,662 statewide, top 66%, 450 students, 84% FRL); Andress H S (math 19% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,228 of 1,632 statewide, top 76%, 1,530 students, 83% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 65% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 248 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($57k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $37k; list at $150k implies a 305% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
6.86%
Cash-on-cash
2.03%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$202,248
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4800 Trojan Dr 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,450 (+14%) 0mo $230,000 $159 66
5201 Capistrano Dr 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,092 (-14%) 8mo $170,000 $156 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.0%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-21,421
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-2.4%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-7,352
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79924

Home prices YoY
-13.2%
Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
248
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,587 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$334 /mo · $4,005/yr
Insurance
$62
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$333
Net cashflow
$5

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,581
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $90 -5% $47 +0% $5 +5% $-38 +10% $-80
Rent -10% $-121 -5% $-58 +0% $5 +5% $67 +10% $130
Rate -1.0pp $80 -0.5pp $43 base $5 +0.5pp $-34 +1.0pp $-74

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10429 Persephone Dr El Paso, TX 4.0 2.0 1238 $1,790 $1.45 5d 1 0.17mi
10452 Persephone Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1014 $1,250 $1.23 16d 1 0.17mi
10521 Gala Pl El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1346 $1,485 $1.10 45d 1 0.32mi
5012 Salem Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1306 $1,850 $1.42 25d 1 0.34mi
4917 Royal Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1034 $1,425 $1.38 25d 1 0.43mi
4713 Harvest Ln El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1220 $1,475 $1.21 25d 1 0.61mi
10345 Biscaine St El Paso, TX 4.0 2.0 1778 $1,675 $0.94 25d 1 0.65mi
5140 Tropicana Ave El Paso, TX 3.0 1.0 998 $1,100 $1.10 13d 1 0.75mi
5140 Tropicana Ave El Paso, TX 3.0 1.0 998 $1,050 $1.05 5d 1 0.75mi
10899 Northview Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1532 $1,500 $0.98 25d 1 0.95mi
5205 Nome Ave El Paso, TX 4.0 2.0 1788 $1,995 $1.12 25d 1 0.97mi
10909 Northview Dr El Paso, TX 4.0 2.0 1473 $1,850 $1.26 16d 1 1.00mi
10720 McAllen Pl El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1134 $1,500 $1.32 25d 1 1.04mi
10037 Oakwood Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 1.5 1039 $1,200 $1.15 45d 1 1.11mi
10708 Levelland Pl El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,400 $1.32 45d 1 1.15mi
10708 Levelland Pl El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,400 $1.32 16d 1 1.15mi
10004 Odessa Ln El Paso, TX 4.0 2.0 1770 $1,495 $0.84 45d 1 1.15mi
10983 Duke Snider Cir El Paso, TX 4.0 2.0 1760 $1,850 $1.05 45d 1 1.23mi
10344 Redwood St El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1179 $1,275 $1.08 25d 1 1.24mi
10902 Yogi Berra Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1167 $1,300 $1.11 25d 1 1.26mi
5613 Creston Ave El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1364 $1,550 $1.14 5d 1 1.27mi
10969 Duke Snider Cir El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1003 $1,385 $1.38 13d 1 1.28mi
10948 Casey Stengel Pl El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1304 $1,625 $1.25 45d 1 1.28mi
5732 Arrowhead Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 1.0 957 $1,175 $1.23 45d 1 1.30mi
5741 Arrowhead Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,175 $1.09 45d 1 1.31mi
10901 Joe Dimaggio Cir El Paso, TX 4.0 2.0 1400 $1,750 $1.25 23d 1 1.34mi
5516 Fairbanks Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1303 $1,500 $1.15 45d 1 1.35mi
5104 Paris Ave El Paso, TX 3.0 2.0 1196 $1,495 $1.25 5d 1 1.39mi
10096 Ontario St El Paso, TX 4.0 2.0 1774 $1,859 $1.05 45d 1 1.41mi
5845 Wrangler Dr El Paso, TX 3.0 1.5 1196 $1,550 $1.30 25d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $150,000 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    remarks 699-char remark
  6. 2026-06-01
    listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,005 · $334/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,005 · $334/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥100°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,048
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$4,005
− Insurance
−$1,547
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,524
− Management
−$1,524
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$2,318
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$556
After-tax cash flow
$613/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
El Paso ISD
NCES district ID
4818300
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$38,704
Composite
26.75/100
National rank
#7138
State rank
#591 of 826 in TX

Livability — El Paso

Score
81/100
State rank
#23
US rank
#1375

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
El Paso, TX
County
El Paso County · 761,266 people
City population
630,223
Metro
El Paso, TX
Population (ZIP)
60,364
Household income
$56,976
Rent vs Own
38.5% rent · 61.5% own
Severe rent burden
1903.0

Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
897,899 people
By 2030
922,694 · +2.8%
By 2040
960,492 · +7.0%
By 2050
982,919 · +9.5%
By 2075
997,266 · +11.1%
By 2100
900,630 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 35% White 16% Black 7% Asian 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 66% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
42% English-only · Spanish 56% German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · El Paso

2024 margin
D (+15.1) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.4pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 15.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+15.1 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+43.2 2012: D+32.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -40.46%
Current HPI
265.8729
Rent YoY
▲ 4.50%
Metro
El Paso, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+305.4% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $150,000 GEPARMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listing Removed GEPARMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Relisted GEPARMLS
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $149,000 GEPARMLS
  • 2026-02-05 Contingent GEPARMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Listed $149,888 GEPARMLS
  • 2019-06-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2018-12-06 Listing Removed GEPARMLS
  • 2006-05-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-03-15 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2002-01-05 Listed $60,000 GEPARMLS
  • 2000-11-17 Listed $61,900 GEPARMLS
  • 1979-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
  • 1977-07-04 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,005 · +12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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