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38 Columbia Ave
A Composite 89.0
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.4/10.0
  • Schools +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$999,000

38 Columbia Ave · Westhampton, NY 11977
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 891 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1985 0.28 ac lot $1121/sqft · 40% above area Est $1365k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Experience modern living in this newly renovated split-level home, thoughtfully designed for comfort, flexibility, and style. The interior boasts brand-new windows throughout and a contemporary kitchen equipped with sleek stainless steel appliances. The lower level offers a spacious and inviting den, a private bedroom, full bathroom, and laundry area. A separate walk-out entrance adds convenience and offers flexible living potential, perfect for a family room, guest quarters and so much more. Main-level you'll find 2 bedrooms, full bathroom, a bright and airy living room, and an open-concept kitchen and dining area—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Sliding glass doors lead to an elevated deck overlooking a beautifully large & leveled backyard. At the heart of the outdoor space is a 16' x 32' in-ground pool, featuring brand-new vinyl lining and a surrounding deck that offers generous space for outdoor dining, lounging, and summer gatherings—creating a true backyard oasis. Engineered hardwood throughout. Waterproofing for the basement, LED recessed lighting throughout. New Washer and dryer are pending delivery. **All information is deemed reliable but should be independently verified. A 2.5% Peconic Bay Region Community Preservation Transfer Tax may apply to the purchaser Proof of funds required with all offers**

Key facts

  • Contemporary kitchen
  • Private bedroom
  • Full bathroom

Tags

BRAND-NEW WINDOWSCONTEMPORARY KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESSPACIOUS DENPRIVATE BEDROOMFULL BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $999k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $11k ($137k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($22k rent vs $999k).
  • Recommended offer: $969k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.0% vs local median 9.1% in Westhampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#969 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing C-, schools D+, amenities F.
  • Westhampton Beach Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #81 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $21,992/mo this rent would consume 174% of the median local household income ($151k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $95k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $88k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
  • Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $280k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$152k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($969k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $700k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $969,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.20%
Cap rate
20.01%
Cash-on-cash
48.99%
DSCR
3.18
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,365,428
List price
$999,000
Delta
-26.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

8.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.3%
Equity multiple
5.26×
Total profit
$1,191,991
Equity at exit
$815,760
10-year hold
IRR
55.8%
Equity multiple
11.45×
Total profit
$2,922,561
Equity at exit
$1,676,667

Cash invested: $279,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11977

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
63
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$21,992 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,239
Tax from tax record
$299 /mo · $3,586/yr
Insurance
$416
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$4,618
Net cashflow
$11,420

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,537
Max offer price $999,000
Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$249,750
Closing costs
$29,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
50 Hazelwood Ave Westhampton Beach, NY 3.0 2.0 1112 $20,000 $17.99 24d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-07
    status Pending 1365-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1365 chars)

    Experience modern living in this newly renovated split-level home, thoughtfully designed for comfort, flexibility, and style. The interior boasts brand-new windows throughout and a contemporary kitchen equipped with sleek stainless steel appliances. The lower level offers a spacious and inviting den, a private bedroom, full bathroom, and laundry area. A separate walk-out entrance adds convenience and offers flexible living potential, perfect for a family room, guest quarters and so much more. Main-level you'll find 2 bedrooms, full bathroom, a bright and airy living room, and an open-concept kitchen and dining area—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Sliding glass doors lead to an elevated deck overlooking a beautifully large & leveled backyard. At the heart of the outdoor space is a 16' x 32' in-ground pool, featuring brand-new vinyl lining and a surrounding deck that offers generous space for outdoor dining, lounging, and summer gatherings—creating a true backyard oasis. Engineered hardwood throughout. Waterproofing for the basement, LED recessed lighting throughout. New Washer and dryer are pending delivery. **All information is deemed reliable but should be independently verified. A 2.5% Peconic Bay Region Community Preservation Transfer Tax may apply to the purchaser Proof of funds required with all offers**

  2. 2026-03-11
    listed $999,000 Active 1365-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1365 chars)

    Experience modern living in this newly renovated split-level home, thoughtfully designed for comfort, flexibility, and style. The interior boasts brand-new windows throughout and a contemporary kitchen equipped with sleek stainless steel appliances. The lower level offers a spacious and inviting den, a private bedroom, full bathroom, and laundry area. A separate walk-out entrance adds convenience and offers flexible living potential, perfect for a family room, guest quarters and so much more. Main-level you'll find 2 bedrooms, full bathroom, a bright and airy living room, and an open-concept kitchen and dining area—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Sliding glass doors lead to an elevated deck overlooking a beautifully large & leveled backyard. At the heart of the outdoor space is a 16' x 32' in-ground pool, featuring brand-new vinyl lining and a surrounding deck that offers generous space for outdoor dining, lounging, and summer gatherings—creating a true backyard oasis. Engineered hardwood throughout. Waterproofing for the basement, LED recessed lighting throughout. New Washer and dryer are pending delivery. **All information is deemed reliable but should be independently verified. A 2.5% Peconic Bay Region Community Preservation Transfer Tax may apply to the purchaser Proof of funds required with all offers**

  3. 2025-11-24
    price $950,000
  4. 2025-10-20
    price $999,950
  5. 2025-10-07
    price $1,025,000
  6. 2025-09-02
    price $1,075,000
  7. 2025-08-03
    listed $1,100,000 Active
  8. 2025-08-01
    historical
  9. 2025-06-10
    soldstatus $700,000
  10. 2025-05-06
    soldstatus $700,000 Closed
  11. 2025-03-27
    status Pending
  12. 2025-03-05
    listed $725,000 Active
  13. 1985-09-17
    soldstatus $95,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,586 · $299/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$10,235 · $853/mo
Expected delta
+$6,648/yr (+$554/mo · 185.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$263,904
− Mortgage interest
−$55,960
− Property taxes
−$3,586
− Insurance
−$4,995
− Repairs & maintenance
−$21,112
− Management
−$21,112
− Depreciation
−$29,062
Taxable income
$128,077
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$30,738
After-tax cash flow
$106,298/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westhampton Beach Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3631020
Math proficiency
72% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$88,137
Composite
65.91/100
National rank
#444
State rank
#81 of 590 in NY

Livability — Westhampton

Score
60/100
State rank
#969
US rank
#18972

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C- Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westhampton, NY
County
Suffolk County · 679,920 people
City population
2,843
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
2,843
Household income
$151,375
Rent vs Own
6.0% rent · 94.0% own
Severe rent burden
14.0

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,505,262 people
By 2030
1,498,318 · -0.5%
By 2040
1,471,101 · -2.3%
By 2050
1,424,848 · -5.3%
By 2075
1,337,157 · -11.2%
By 2100
1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 3% Subsaharan African 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 4% Korean 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.82%
Current HPI
391.8868
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+951.6% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $999,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-24 Price Changed $950,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-20 Price Changed $999,950 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-07 Price Changed $1,025,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-02 Price Changed $1,075,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-03 Listed $1,100,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-01 Coming Soon OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $700,000 Public Records
  • 2025-05-06 Sold (MLS) $700,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-27 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-05 Listed $725,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1985-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2022): $3,586 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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