38 Columbia Ave · Westhampton, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +9.4/10.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$999,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Experience modern living in this newly renovated split-level home, thoughtfully designed for comfort, flexibility, and style. The interior boasts brand-new windows throughout and a contemporary kitchen equipped with sleek stainless steel appliances. The lower level offers a spacious and inviting den, a private bedroom, full bathroom, and laundry area. A separate walk-out entrance adds convenience and offers flexible living potential, perfect for a family room, guest quarters and so much more. Main-level you'll find 2 bedrooms, full bathroom, a bright and airy living room, and an open-concept kitchen and dining area—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Sliding glass doors lead to an elevated deck overlooking a beautifully large & leveled backyard. At the heart of the outdoor space is a 16' x 32' in-ground pool, featuring brand-new vinyl lining and a surrounding deck that offers generous space for outdoor dining, lounging, and summer gatherings—creating a true backyard oasis. Engineered hardwood throughout. Waterproofing for the basement, LED recessed lighting throughout. New Washer and dryer are pending delivery. **All information is deemed reliable but should be independently verified. A 2.5% Peconic Bay Region Community Preservation Transfer Tax may apply to the purchaser Proof of funds required with all offers**
Key facts
- Contemporary kitchen
- Private bedroom
- Full bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $999k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $11k ($137k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($22k rent vs $999k).
- Recommended offer: $969k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.0% vs local median 9.1% in Westhampton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#969 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+; Watch: housing C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Westhampton Beach Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #81 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 63 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $21,992/mo this rent would consume 174% of the median local household income ($151k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $95k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $88k appreciation (8.8% local appreciation)).
- Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (8.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $280k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$152k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($969k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $700k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.99%
- DSCR
- 3.18
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $1,365,428
- List price
- $999,000
- Delta
- -26.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
8.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 61.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.26×
- Total profit
- $1,191,991
- Equity at exit
- $815,760
- IRR
- 55.8%
- Equity multiple
- 11.45×
- Total profit
- $2,922,561
- Equity at exit
- $1,676,667
Cash invested: $279,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11977
- Home prices YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $21,992 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,239
- Tax from tax record
- −$299 /mo · $3,586/yr
- Insurance
- −$416
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$4,618
- Net cashflow
- $11,420
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $249,750
- Closing costs
- $29,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Hazelwood Ave Westhampton Beach, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $20,000 | $17.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-05-07status Pending 1365-char remark
Show marketing remark (1365 chars)
Experience modern living in this newly renovated split-level home, thoughtfully designed for comfort, flexibility, and style. The interior boasts brand-new windows throughout and a contemporary kitchen equipped with sleek stainless steel appliances. The lower level offers a spacious and inviting den, a private bedroom, full bathroom, and laundry area. A separate walk-out entrance adds convenience and offers flexible living potential, perfect for a family room, guest quarters and so much more. Main-level you'll find 2 bedrooms, full bathroom, a bright and airy living room, and an open-concept kitchen and dining area—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Sliding glass doors lead to an elevated deck overlooking a beautifully large & leveled backyard. At the heart of the outdoor space is a 16' x 32' in-ground pool, featuring brand-new vinyl lining and a surrounding deck that offers generous space for outdoor dining, lounging, and summer gatherings—creating a true backyard oasis. Engineered hardwood throughout. Waterproofing for the basement, LED recessed lighting throughout. New Washer and dryer are pending delivery. **All information is deemed reliable but should be independently verified. A 2.5% Peconic Bay Region Community Preservation Transfer Tax may apply to the purchaser Proof of funds required with all offers**
-
2026-03-11$999,000 Active 1365-char remark
Show marketing remark (1365 chars)
Experience modern living in this newly renovated split-level home, thoughtfully designed for comfort, flexibility, and style. The interior boasts brand-new windows throughout and a contemporary kitchen equipped with sleek stainless steel appliances. The lower level offers a spacious and inviting den, a private bedroom, full bathroom, and laundry area. A separate walk-out entrance adds convenience and offers flexible living potential, perfect for a family room, guest quarters and so much more. Main-level you'll find 2 bedrooms, full bathroom, a bright and airy living room, and an open-concept kitchen and dining area—perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Sliding glass doors lead to an elevated deck overlooking a beautifully large & leveled backyard. At the heart of the outdoor space is a 16' x 32' in-ground pool, featuring brand-new vinyl lining and a surrounding deck that offers generous space for outdoor dining, lounging, and summer gatherings—creating a true backyard oasis. Engineered hardwood throughout. Waterproofing for the basement, LED recessed lighting throughout. New Washer and dryer are pending delivery. **All information is deemed reliable but should be independently verified. A 2.5% Peconic Bay Region Community Preservation Transfer Tax may apply to the purchaser Proof of funds required with all offers**
-
2025-11-24price $950,000
-
2025-10-20price $999,950
-
2025-10-07price $1,025,000
-
2025-09-02price $1,075,000
-
2025-08-03$1,100,000 Active
-
2025-08-01historical
-
2025-06-10soldstatus $700,000
-
2025-05-06soldstatus $700,000 Closed
-
2025-03-27status Pending
-
2025-03-05$725,000 Active
-
1985-09-17soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,586 · $299/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,235 · $853/mo
- Expected delta
- +$6,648/yr (+$554/mo · 185.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $263,904
- − Mortgage interest
- −$55,960
- − Property taxes
- −$3,586
- − Insurance
- −$4,995
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$21,112
- − Management
- −$21,112
- − Depreciation
- −$29,062
- Taxable income
- $128,077
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$30,738
- After-tax cash flow
- $106,298/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Westhampton Beach Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3631020
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $88,137
- Composite
- 65.91/100
- National rank
- #444
- State rank
- #81 of 590 in NY
Livability — Westhampton
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #969
- US rank
- #18972
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Westhampton, NY
- County
- Suffolk County · 679,920 people
- City population
- 2,843
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,843
- Household income
- $151,375
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14.0
Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,505,262 people
- By 2030
- 1,498,318 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,471,101 · -2.3%
- By 2050
- 1,424,848 · -5.3%
- By 2075
- 1,337,157 · -11.2%
- By 2100
- 1,217,720 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Romanian 3% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 4% Korean 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 8.82%
- Current HPI
- 391.8868
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+951.6% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-11 Listed $999,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $950,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-20 Price Changed $999,950 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-07 Price Changed $1,025,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-02 Price Changed $1,075,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-03 Listed $1,100,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-01 Coming Soon — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $700,000 Public Records
- 2025-05-06 Sold (MLS) $700,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-27 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-05 Listed $725,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1985-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2022): $3,586 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…