65 Ora Way Unit 103C · San Francisco, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 76°F)
- 5 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.9/30.0
- ARV discount +6.9/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1 bedroom Below Market Rate (BMR) housing opportunity available at 120% Area Median Income (AMI). Maximum income for 1 person = $130,900; 2 people = $149,650; 3 = $168,300; 4 = $187,000, etc. Must be 1st-time homebuyer & income eligible. Unit available thru the Mayor's Office of Housing and Community Development (MOHCD) & subject to resale controls, monitoring & other restrictions. Unit will be listed on DAHLIA, the SF Housing Portal (https://housing. sfgov. org) starting on the application date, 5/7/2026. Visit https://housing. sfgov.org for application & program info. Application, loan pre-approval, and homebuyer education verification due on 6/4/2026 at 5:00 PM. O
Key facts
- Deeded parking space
- Rejuvenating hot tub
- Heated swimming pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: HOA fee paid monthly; HOA covers common areas, earthquake insurance, structural insurance, building maintenance, grounds maintenance, management, pool, roof, sewer, trash and water; Community amenities include clubhouse, gym, pool, spa/hot tub, car wash area and coin laundry; Community has 202 units; Pets allowed: cats, dogs, and service animals
Exterior
- Parking: Attached covered garage with garage door opener; Independent on-site parking (1 covered space, 1 total)
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Internet available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Residential condominium; One story; Updated/remodeled condition; Built in 1975; Bath and kitchen remodeled within past 5 years
- Construction: Built in 1975
- Exterior features: Ground-floor entry with unit above; Double-pane windows; Greenbelt and landscaped grounds; Landscaped front
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free‑standing electric range; Microwave; Updated/Remodeled kitchen (0-5 years)
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Linoleum flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall furnace; No air conditioning
- Interior features: Electric wall furnace heating; No cooling; Grab bars; Gas fireplace in living room (1 total)
- Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups on site
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-247 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $356k (10.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $397k (0.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $356k (10.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 2.1% in San Francisco — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in CA, #3,143 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- San Francisco Unified (urban): math 50% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #322 of 1,400 in CA (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.1%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 750 units permitted in San Francisco County in 2024 (688 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Francisco County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($388k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.65%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $395,066
- List price
- $399,999
- Delta
- 1.25%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-59,136
- Equity at exit
- $59,641
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $25,493
- Equity at exit
- $34,585
Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City San Francisco
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+57
ZIP-level market 94131
- Rents YoY
- 14.1%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,969 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,098
- Tax from tax record
- −$224 /mo · $2,687/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$894
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$833
- Net cashflow
- $-247
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-21 | -5% $-134 | +0% $-247 | +5% $-360 | +10% $-473 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-561 | -5% $-404 | +0% $-247 | +5% $-90 | +10% $67 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-46 | -0.5pp $-145 | base $-247 | +0.5pp $-351 | +1.0pp $-456 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $100,000
- Closing costs
- $12,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 24 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5285 Diamond Heights Blvd San Francisco, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 805 | $4,297 | $5.34 | 3d | 5 | 0.23mi |
| 742 Chenery St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,995 | $3.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 1351-1373 Noe St Unit 1363 San Francisco, CA | — | 1.0 | 360 | $2,395 | $6.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 1643 Castro St Apt 6 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 563 | $3,695 | $6.56 | 8d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 457 Jersey St Unit 5 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $4,495 | $6.42 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 457 Jersey St Unit 5 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $4,495 | $6.42 | 6d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1 Homestead San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $6,900 | $9.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 351 Mangels Ave Unit Ta San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $3,300 | $6.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 211 Genebern Way Unit 1309729P San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 699 | $7,773 | $11.12 | 3d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 218 Winfield St San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $3,200 | $5.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 257 San Jose Ave #1 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $2,999 | $6.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 169 Fair Oaks St Unit 01 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 750 | $4,250 | $5.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 99 Ocean Ave San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 597 | $4,402 | $7.37 | 0d | 7 | 1.22mi |
| 3410 22nd St Apt 6 San Francisco, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $4,500 | $6.25 | 2d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 940 Guerrero St Unit 02 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $4,295 | $7.81 | 17d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 940 Guerrero St Unit 06 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 520 | $4,295 | $8.26 | 25d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 155 Eureka St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $5,000 | $6.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 155 Eureka St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $4,300 | $6.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 35 Hill St San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 674 | $3,500 | $5.19 | 8d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 300 Laguna Honda Blvd #103 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $3,400 | $4.76 | 5d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3321 21st St Apt 2 San Francisco, CA | — | 1.0 | 350 | $3,000 | $8.57 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3241 23rd St Unit 3245-4 San Francisco, CA | — | 1.0 | 450 | $2,550 | $5.67 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 712 Brazil Ave San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $2,299 | $4.60 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 712 Brazil Ave Unit 1 San Francisco, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $2,299 | $4.60 | 19d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $894 · $10,728/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $399,999 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $399,999 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $399,999 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $399,999 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,999 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,999 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,999 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,999 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $399,999 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $399,999 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $399,999 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $399,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $399,999 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,999 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-07$399,999 Active 1920-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,687 · $224/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,040 · $253/mo
- Expected delta
- +$353/yr (+$29/mo · 13.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 5 d/yr ≥76°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,624
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,406
- − Property taxes
- −$2,687
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,810
- − Management
- −$3,810
- − HOA
- −$10,728
- − Depreciation
- −$11,636
- Taxable loss
- −$9,454
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,269
- After-tax cash flow
- $-695/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Francisco Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634410
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,249
- Composite
- 50.14/100
- National rank
- #4088
- State rank
- #322 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Francisco
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #90
- US rank
- #3143
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Francisco, CA
- County
- San Francisco County · 827,552 people
- City population
- 827,552
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,504
- Household income
- $199,211
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 865.0
Population outlook (San Francisco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,030,936 people
- By 2030
- 1,110,409 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,270,010 · +23.2%
- By 2050
- 1,435,001 · +39.2%
- By 2075
- 1,779,074 · +72.6%
- By 2100
- 1,966,767 · +90.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Asian 23% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 13% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 4% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Chinese 8% Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 4%
Political lean MEDSL · San Francisco
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.8) · D 80.3% · R 15.5% · Other 4.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: 70.5pp · 2024: 64.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.8 2020: D+72.5 2016: D+76.1 2012: D+70.2 2008: D+70.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1249.94%
- Current HPI
- 268.447
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.12%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $399,999 San Francisco MLS
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,687 · +3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…