156 Center Ave · Leechburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 1,481 sq ft lot
- Built 1900
- Listed 19 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story residence; Resale property
- Construction: Asphalt roof; Home warranty included
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 34 x 43
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $124 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($850 rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#294 in PA, #2,608 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, commute F.
- Leechburg Area SD (suburban): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #303 of 539 in PA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: David Leech El Sch (math 37% / reading 62%, grade D, #654 of 1,518 statewide, top 47%, 300 students, 29% FRL); Leechburg Area Ms (math 22% / reading 47%, grade F, #328 of 512 statewide, top 65%, 152 students, 46% FRL); Leechburg Area Hs (math 64%, 186 students, 47% FRL).
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 58 units permitted in Armstrong County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($519 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Armstrong County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.06%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $164,220
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 322 Beale Ave | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+2%) | 5mo | $134,900 | $112 | 68 |
| 208 Beale Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,242 (+6%) | 10mo | $159,000 | $128 | 61 |
| 434 2nd St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,296 (+10%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $139 | 60 |
| 1750 South Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (+4%) | 22mo | $170,000 | $140 | 51 |
| 1248 Hyde Park Rd | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (-6%) | 12mo | $190,000 | $173 | 50 |
| 1260 Hyde Park Rd | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,300 (+11%) | 23mo | $250,000 | $192 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.32×
- Total profit
- $48,752
- Equity at exit
- $67,566
- IRR
- 25.6%
- Equity multiple
- 7.54×
- Total profit
- $137,436
- Equity at exit
- $145,709
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15656
- Home prices YoY
- 9.1%
- Active inventory
- 35
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$123 /mo · $1,480/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$178
- Net cashflow
- $124
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $166 | -5% $145 | +0% $124 | +5% $102 | +10% $81 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $56 | -5% $90 | +0% $124 | +5% $157 | +10% $191 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $161 | -0.5pp $143 | base $124 | +0.5pp $104 | +1.0pp $84 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 470 Spang Ave Unit 474 Leechburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $850 | $1.07 | 26d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 474 Spang Ave Leechburg, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 798 | $850 | $1.07 | 26d | 1 | 0.38mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $75,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $75,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $75,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $75,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $75,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-04$75,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,480 · $123/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,480 · $123/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$1,480
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$816
- − Management
- −$816
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $330
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$79
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,404/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Leechburg Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4213470
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,241
- Composite
- 36.64/100
- National rank
- #4618
- State rank
- #303 of 539 in PA
Livability — Leechburg
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #294
- US rank
- #2608
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leechburg, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,766
Population outlook (Armstrong County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,513 people
- By 2030
- 59,579 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 52,890 · -15.4%
- By 2050
- 45,904 · -26.6%
- By 2075
- 32,023 · -48.8%
- By 2100
- 20,415 · -67.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Two or more races 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Armstrong
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.2) · D 23.0% · R 76.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: -24.6pp · 2024: -53.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.2 2020: R+52.3 2016: R+52.0 2012: R+37.2 2008: R+24.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.11%
- Current HPI
- 252.6103
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $75,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2026): $1,480 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…