Duplex
639 Vandalia Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.9/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- Appreciation +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.6/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$750,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
* * FLIP IT, LIVE IT, OR INVEST IT! * * Built in 2009, this home primarily needs cosmetic updates. What makes this a * * CASH PRICE * * opportunity is that the property requires a clean-out and will be delivered with a non-paying tenant on the 1st floor (the smaller apartment). This is a LEGAL Three Story Two-Family home with * * PRIVATE PARKING * * for up to 2 cars. The * * 2ND FL IS VACANT! * * and the property is EASY TO SHOW, making access simple for buyers and contractors alike. The property also features desirable R6 ZONING, offering added long-term value. This home measures 20 ft by 41.65 ft and sits on an * * OVERSIZED * * lot measuring 32.47 ft by 105.60 ft. Th
Key facts
- R6 zoning
- Private parking
- 3,429 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Two parking spaces; Driveway with alley access and private parking
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
- Home design: Triplex; Building area approximately 2499 total square feet
- Construction: Aluminum siding and frame construction
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Frame construction; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (total)
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space (no basement)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $750k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $631 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $315/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $667k (11.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $667k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $16k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $210k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($728k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.60%
- DSCR
- 1.16
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $879,648
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 551 Egan St | 0.17mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,460 (-2%) | 11mo | $865,000 | $352 | 75 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $69,384
- Equity at exit
- $272,454
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $271,361
- Equity at exit
- $375,118
Cash invested: $210,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11239
- Home prices YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 3
- Price-to-rent
- 18.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,672 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,933
- Tax from tax record
- −$395 /mo · $4,737/yr
- Insurance
- −$312
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,401
- Net cashflow
- $631
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | — | $6,672 |
| #1 | 2 | — | $3,336 |
| #2 | 2 | — | $3,336 |
| Total (2 units) | $6,672 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $187,500
- Closing costs
- $22,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
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2026-06-18days on market $750,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $750,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $750,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $750,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $750,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $750,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $750,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $750,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $750,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $750,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $750,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $750,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $750,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-12$750,000 Active
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2026-05-12historical
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2026-05-09historical
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2026-05-09status Active
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2026-05-07status Active
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2026-05-07historical
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2026-05-05status Active
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2026-05-05historical
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2026-04-29status Active
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2026-04-25historical
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2026-04-20status Active
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2026-04-18historical
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2026-04-16status Active
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2026-04-16historical
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2026-03-09$750,000 Active
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2026-03-07historical
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2026-03-05status Active
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2026-03-03historical
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2026-03-01status Active
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2026-03-01historical
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2026-01-26$750,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,737 · $395/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,706 · $726/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,969/yr (+$331/mo · 83.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $80,064
- − Mortgage interest
- −$42,012
- − Property taxes
- −$4,737
- − Insurance
- −$3,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,405
- − Management
- −$6,405
- − Depreciation
- −$21,818
- Taxable loss
- −$5,063
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,215
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,782/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,047
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 15% Two or more races 9% Asian 3% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 3% Subsaharan African 3% Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 69% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Current HPI
- 129.2587
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Listed $750,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-09 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-09 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-05 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-25 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-18 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-09 Listed $750,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-07 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-01 Relisted — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-01 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-26 Listed $750,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+12.0%/yrLatest (2025): $4,737 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…