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639 Vandalia Ave Duplex
C+ Composite 60.98
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$750,000

639 Vandalia Ave · New York, NY 11239
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,499 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 2009 3,429 sqft lot Est $880k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

* * FLIP IT, LIVE IT, OR INVEST IT! * * Built in 2009, this home primarily needs cosmetic updates. What makes this a * * CASH PRICE * * opportunity is that the property requires a clean-out and will be delivered with a non-paying tenant on the 1st floor (the smaller apartment). This is a LEGAL Three Story Two-Family home with * * PRIVATE PARKING * * for up to 2 cars. The * * 2ND FL IS VACANT! * * and the property is EASY TO SHOW, making access simple for buyers and contractors alike. The property also features desirable R6 ZONING, offering added long-term value. This home measures 20 ft by 41.65 ft and sits on an * * OVERSIZED * * lot measuring 32.47 ft by 105.60 ft. Th

Key facts

  • R6 zoning
  • Private parking
  • 3,429 sq ft lot

Tags

PRIVATE PARKINGR6 ZONING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Two parking spaces; Driveway with alley access and private parking
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Triplex; Building area approximately 2499 total square feet
  • Construction: Aluminum siding and frame construction
  • Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Frame construction; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen
  • Bedrooms: One 2-bedroom unit; One 3-bedroom unit
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (total)
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space (no basement)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $750k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $631 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $315/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $667k (11.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $667k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $16k of equity ($5k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $210k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($728k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $667,200 (11.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.89%
Cap rate
7.30%
Cash-on-cash
3.60%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$879,648
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
551 Egan St 0.17mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,460 (-2%) 11mo $865,000 $352 75

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.3%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$69,384
Equity at exit
$272,454
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
2.29×
Total profit
$271,361
Equity at exit
$375,118

Cash invested: $210,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11239

Home prices YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
18.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,672 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,933
Tax from tax record
$395 /mo · $4,737/yr
Insurance
$312
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,401
Net cashflow
$631

Break-even live

Break-even rent $5,874
Max offer price $750,000
Occupancy floor 86%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $6,672

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$187,500
Closing costs
$22,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $750,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $750,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $750,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $750,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $750,000 Active 32 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $750,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $750,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $750,000 Active 26 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $750,000 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $750,000 Active 22 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $750,000 Active 21 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $750,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $750,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-05-12
    listed $750,000 Active
  15. 2026-05-12
    historical
  16. 2026-05-09
    historical
  17. 2026-05-09
    status Active
  18. 2026-05-07
    status Active
  19. 2026-05-07
    historical
  20. 2026-05-05
    status Active
  21. 2026-05-05
    historical
  22. 2026-04-29
    status Active
  23. 2026-04-25
    historical
  24. 2026-04-20
    status Active
  25. 2026-04-18
    historical
  26. 2026-04-16
    status Active
  27. 2026-04-16
    historical
  28. 2026-03-09
    listed $750,000 Active
  29. 2026-03-07
    historical
  30. 2026-03-05
    status Active
  31. 2026-03-03
    historical
  32. 2026-03-01
    status Active
  33. 2026-03-01
    historical
  34. 2026-01-26
    listed $750,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,737 · $395/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,706 · $726/mo
Expected delta
+$3,969/yr (+$331/mo · 83.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$80,064
− Mortgage interest
−$42,012
− Property taxes
−$4,737
− Insurance
−$3,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,405
− Management
−$6,405
− Depreciation
−$21,818
Taxable loss
−$5,063
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,215
After-tax cash flow
$8,782/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
City population
7,731,280
Population (ZIP)
16,047

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,847,441 people
By 2030
2,937,006 · +3.1%
By 2040
3,095,491 · +8.7%
By 2050
3,228,968 · +13.4%
By 2075
3,321,723 · +16.7%
By 2100
3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 15% Two or more races 9% Asian 3% Native American 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 12% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 3% Subsaharan African 3% Hispanic 2%
Foreign-born
33% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
69% English-only · Spanish 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.42%
Current HPI
129.2587
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $750,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-09 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-09 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-07 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-05 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-25 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-20 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-18 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-16 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $750,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-07 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-05 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-03 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-01 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-01 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-26 Listed $750,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+12.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,737 · +13.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…