36506 Pebble Dr #125 · Long Neck, DE
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to Pot-Nets Coveside, where bay living, space to entertain, and everyday comfort come together. This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a large lot and features a huge side deck—perfect for gatherings, summer evenings, or relaxing after a day on the water. The original side of the home has been drywalled on both the ceilings and walls, creating a clean, finished feel buyers appreciate. Major updates include a roof and one of two HVAC systems newly replaced, along with a newer washer and dryer. Outside, a large fenced-in area provides an ideal space for pets, while the expansive asphalt driveway offers plenty of parking for family and guests. Coveside offers direct access to Rehoboth Bay, playgrounds, and a tennis court within the community, and is just across the street from Seaside’s private beaches and resort-style amenities. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence or a coastal escape, this home combines thoughtful updates, outdoor living, and the Pot-Nets lifestyle that makes every day feel like a getaway.
Key facts
- Large fenced-in area
- Huge side deck
- Private beaches
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $357 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 3.3% in Long Neck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#30 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 870 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.52% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.92%
- DSCR
- 1.98
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $226,416
- List price
- $159,900
- Delta
- -29.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36529 Pebble Dr | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,932 (+1%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $101 | 94 |
| 36487 Pebble Dr #2 | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,040 (+6%) | 8mo | $245,000 | $120 | 75 |
| 26396 Pine Cone Dr Lot 152 | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,904 (-1%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $123 | 74 |
| 26406 Pine Cone Dr #155 | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,768 (-8%) | 5mo | $310,000 | $175 | 73 |
| 35615 Knoll Way #43056 | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,904 (-1%) | 6mo | $215,000 | $113 | 67 |
| 26279 Bayside Dr #175 | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 | 1,715 (-10%) | 7mo | $154,900 | $90 | 65 |
| 36259 South Gull Vw #39 | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 2,072 (+8%) | 9mo | $423,000 | $204 | 59 |
| 35665 Knoll Way | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,792 (-6%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $73 | 59 |
| 26363 West Pintail Rd #78 | 0.39mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,768 (-8%) | 4mo | $297,652 | $168 | 57 |
| 36946 Beach Plum Row #10 | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,036 (+6%) | 4mo | $283,423 | $139 | 48 |
| 36904 Beach Plum Row #2 | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,128 (+11%) | 1mo | $376,292 | $177 | 47 |
| 35668 Salt Marsh Loop #44293 | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 1,792 (-6%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $112 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,832
- Equity at exit
- $23,842
- IRR
- 8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $28,139
- Equity at exit
- $13,825
Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19966
- Home prices YoY
- -6.4%
- Active inventory
- 870
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,434 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$511
- Net cashflow
- $357
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $468 | -5% $413 | +0% $357 | +5% $302 | +10% $247 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $165 | -5% $261 | +0% $357 | +5% $453 | +10% $550 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $438 | -0.5pp $398 | base $357 | +0.5pp $316 | +1.0pp $274 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,975
- Closing costs
- $4,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35805 S Gloucester Cir Millsboro, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,300 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 35829 S Gloucester Cir Unit 35829 Long Neck, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $159,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-02-04$159,900 Active 1069-char remark
Show marketing remark (1069 chars)
Welcome to Pot-Nets Coveside, where bay living, space to entertain, and everyday comfort come together. This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a large lot and features a huge side deck—perfect for gatherings, summer evenings, or relaxing after a day on the water. The original side of the home has been drywalled on both the ceilings and walls, creating a clean, finished feel buyers appreciate. Major updates include a roof and one of two HVAC systems newly replaced, along with a newer washer and dryer. Outside, a large fenced-in area provides an ideal space for pets, while the expansive asphalt driveway offers plenty of parking for family and guests. Coveside offers direct access to Rehoboth Bay, playgrounds, and a tennis court within the community, and is just across the street from Seaside’s private beaches and resort-style amenities. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence or a coastal escape, this home combines thoughtful updates, outdoor living, and the Pot-Nets lifestyle that makes every day feel like a getaway.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,207
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,957
- − Property taxes
- −$2,398
- − Insurance
- −$6,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,337
- − Management
- −$2,337
- − Depreciation
- −$4,652
- Taxable income
- $2,202
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$529
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,760/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained 3-bedroom home with a large fenced yard and modern updates is ready for a new owner. A fresh coat of paint on the exterior would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
- Both Replace outdoor furniture — Improves outdoor living space and aesthetics
- Both Upgrade flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes spaces and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value ↑
- Both Replace outdoor furniture — Improves outdoor living space and aesthetics ↑
- Both Upgrade flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes spaces and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000680
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -17.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,838
- Composite
- 28.99/100
- National rank
- #6620
- State rank
- #14 of 26 in DE
Livability — Long Neck
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #8720
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Sussex County · 82,708 people
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,884
- Household income
- $78,305
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 464.0
Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 248,853 people
- By 2030
- 264,464 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 290,980 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 311,259 · +25.1%
- By 2075
- 352,488 · +41.6%
- By 2100
- 367,406 · +47.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sussex
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -18.26%
- Current HPI
- 268.5609
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Salisbury, MD-DE
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-02-04 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…