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36506 Pebble Dr #125
B+ Composite 77.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

36506 Pebble Dr #125 · Long Neck, DE 19966
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,916 sqft · SingleFamily · 137 Days on market
Built 1982 Good condition $83/sqft · 29% below area Est $226k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to Pot-Nets Coveside, where bay living, space to entertain, and everyday comfort come together. This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a large lot and features a huge side deck—perfect for gatherings, summer evenings, or relaxing after a day on the water. The original side of the home has been drywalled on both the ceilings and walls, creating a clean, finished feel buyers appreciate. Major updates include a roof and one of two HVAC systems newly replaced, along with a newer washer and dryer. Outside, a large fenced-in area provides an ideal space for pets, while the expansive asphalt driveway offers plenty of parking for family and guests. Coveside offers direct access to Rehoboth Bay, playgrounds, and a tennis court within the community, and is just across the street from Seaside’s private beaches and resort-style amenities. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence or a coastal escape, this home combines thoughtful updates, outdoor living, and the Pot-Nets lifestyle that makes every day feel like a getaway.

Key facts

  • Large fenced-in area
  • Huge side deck
  • Private beaches

Tags

HUGE SIDE DECKLARGE FENCED-IN AREAEXPANSIVE ASPHALT DRIVEWAYDIRECT ACCESS TO REHOBOTH BAYPRIVATE BEACHESRESORT-STYLE AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $357 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Recommended offer: $141k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 3.3% in Long Neck — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#30 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 870 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($78k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.52%
Cap rate
12.43%
Cash-on-cash
21.92%
DSCR
1.98
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$226,416
List price
$159,900
Delta
-29.38%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
36529 Pebble Dr 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,932 (+1%) 1mo $195,000 $101 94
36487 Pebble Dr #2 0.05mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,040 (+6%) 8mo $245,000 $120 75
26396 Pine Cone Dr Lot 152 0.28mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,904 (-1%) 8mo $235,000 $123 74
26406 Pine Cone Dr #155 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,768 (-8%) 5mo $310,000 $175 73
35615 Knoll Way #43056 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,904 (-1%) 6mo $215,000 $113 67
26279 Bayside Dr #175 0.25mi 3/2.0 1,715 (-10%) 7mo $154,900 $90 65
36259 South Gull Vw #39 0.42mi 3/2.0 2,072 (+8%) 9mo $423,000 $204 59
35665 Knoll Way 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,792 (-6%) 9mo $130,000 $73 59
26363 West Pintail Rd #78 0.39mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,768 (-8%) 4mo $297,652 $168 57
36946 Beach Plum Row #10 0.63mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,036 (+6%) 4mo $283,423 $139 48
36904 Beach Plum Row #2 0.56mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,128 (+11%) 1mo $376,292 $177 47
35668 Salt Marsh Loop #44293 0.75mi 3/2.0 1,792 (-6%) 10mo $200,000 $112 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.7%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-2,832
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
8.2%
Equity multiple
1.63×
Total profit
$28,139
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19966

Home prices YoY
-6.4%
Active inventory
870
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,434 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax est. 1.5%
$200 /mo · $2,398/yr
Insurance
$67
Flood insurance flood zone
−$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$511
Net cashflow
$357

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,982
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $468 -5% $413 +0% $357 +5% $302 +10% $247
Rent -10% $165 -5% $261 +0% $357 +5% $453 +10% $550
Rate -1.0pp $438 -0.5pp $398 base $357 +0.5pp $316 +1.0pp $274

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
35805 S Gloucester Cir Millsboro, DE 3.0 2.5 2100 $2,300 $1.10 45d 1 0.71mi
35829 S Gloucester Cir Unit 35829 Long Neck, DE 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,995 $1.33 14d 1 0.76mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $159,900 Active 137 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,900 Active 134 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,900 Active 133 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,900 Active 132 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,900 Active 131 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $159,900 Active 129 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,900 Active 128 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $159,900 Active 126 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,900 Active 125 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,900 Active 124 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $159,900 Active 123 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $159,900 Active 118 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $159,900 Active 117 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $159,900 Active 116 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $159,900 Active 115 DOM
  16. 2026-02-04
    listed $159,900 Active 1069-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1069 chars)

    Welcome to Pot-Nets Coveside, where bay living, space to entertain, and everyday comfort come together. This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a large lot and features a huge side deck—perfect for gatherings, summer evenings, or relaxing after a day on the water. The original side of the home has been drywalled on both the ceilings and walls, creating a clean, finished feel buyers appreciate. Major updates include a roof and one of two HVAC systems newly replaced, along with a newer washer and dryer. Outside, a large fenced-in area provides an ideal space for pets, while the expansive asphalt driveway offers plenty of parking for family and guests. Coveside offers direct access to Rehoboth Bay, playgrounds, and a tennis court within the community, and is just across the street from Seaside’s private beaches and resort-style amenities. Whether you’re looking for a primary residence or a coastal escape, this home combines thoughtful updates, outdoor living, and the Pot-Nets lifestyle that makes every day feel like a getaway.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,207
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,398
− Insurance
−$6,325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,337
− Management
−$2,337
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$2,202
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$529
After-tax cash flow
$3,760/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained 3-bedroom home with a large fenced yard and modern updates is ready for a new owner. A fresh coat of paint on the exterior would significantly enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace outdoor furniture — Improves outdoor living space and aesthetics
  • Both Upgrade flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes spaces and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace outdoor furniture — Improves outdoor living space and aesthetics
  • Both Upgrade flooring in bathrooms — Modernizes spaces and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian River School District
NCES district ID
1000680
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$53,838
Composite
28.99/100
National rank
#6620
State rank
#14 of 26 in DE

Livability — Long Neck

Score
69/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#8720

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Sussex County · 82,708 people
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
Population (ZIP)
35,884
Household income
$78,305
Rent vs Own
17.8% rent · 82.2% own
Severe rent burden
464.0

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
264,464 · +6.3%
By 2040
290,980 · +16.9%
By 2050
311,259 · +25.1%
By 2075
352,488 · +41.6%
By 2100
367,406 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sussex

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -18.26%
Current HPI
268.5609
Rent YoY
Metro
Salisbury, MD-DE
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-02-04 Listed $159,900 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…