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152 Driving Park Ave
B- Composite 68.17
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.2/10.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$119,500

152 Driving Park Ave · Rochester, NY 14613
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,688 sqft · Townhouse public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1890 4,192 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Attention investors don’t miss this opportunity for a great cap rate on this two family property in the city of Rochester. Upstairs is currently rented at 750 per month. The downstairs unit is currently vacant with a projected monthly rent of at least 850. Giving this an annual income of $19,200. Proforma upon request. Scheduled showing times to be Wednesday between 4-6 pm and Saturday 1-3 pm please allow 48 hours advance notice.

Key facts

  • Ample parking
  • Two family property
  • Detached garage

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYINCOME PRODUCING PROPERTYTWO FAMILY PROPERTYBRAND NEW HOT WATER TANKSDETACHED GARAGEAMPLE PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: School 7-Virgil Grissom (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #2,049 of 2,108 statewide, top 98%, 439 students, 0% FRL); East Lower School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #715 of 729 statewide, top 98%, 304 students, 86% FRL); Edison Career And Technology High School (math 44% / reading 50%, grade D-, #1,007 of 1,100 statewide, top 93%, 1,233 students, 91% FRL) — zoned schools average 59% FRL vs 82% district-wide (23 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $826 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $115,915 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.28%
Cap rate
11.07%
Cash-on-cash
17.05%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$70,896
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20 Saranac St 0.54mi 4/2.0 1,646 (-2%) 3mo $60,000 $36 68
871 Lake Ave 0.09mi 4/2.0 1,872 (+11%) 14mo $145,000 $77 65
365 Glenwood Ave 0.42mi 4/2.0 1,816 (+8%) 4mo $47,500 $26 65
412 Magee Ave 0.74mi 4/2.0 1,688 (0%) 12mo $124,000 $73 55
94 Locust St 0.51mi 4/2.0 1,514 (-10%) 6mo $77,000 $51 54
397 Lakeview Park 0.46mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,768 (+5%) 16mo $124,000 $70 52
97 Locust St 0.53mi 4/2.0 1,852 (+10%) 11mo $77,500 $42 50
220 Avenue E 0.67mi 4/2.0 1,728 (+2%) 18mo $65,000 $38 50
1632-1634 St Paul St 0.66mi 4/2.0 1,748 (+4%) 18mo $69,900 $40 48
1602-1604 Saint Paul St 0.61mi 4/2.0 1,846 (+9%) 13mo $70,000 $38 45
633 Dewey Ave 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,492 (-12%) 20mo $48,000 $32 39
25 Petrel St 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,496 (-11%) 10mo $111,000 $74 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$10,883
Equity at exit
$17,818
10-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$48,323
Equity at exit
$10,332

Cash invested: $33,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14613

Home prices YoY
-2.0%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
6.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,524 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$627
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $621/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$320
Net cashflow
$475

Break-even live

Break-even rent $922
Max offer price $119,500
Occupancy floor 64%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $543 -5% $509 +0% $475 +5% $442 +10% $408
Rent -10% $355 -5% $415 +0% $475 +5% $536 +10% $596
Rate -1.0pp $536 -0.5pp $506 base $475 +0.5pp $445 +1.0pp $413

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,875
Closing costs
$3,585
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
98 Pierpont St Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1973 $1,295 $0.66 45d 1 0.14mi
1016 Lake Ave Unit 1 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1300 $1,600 $1.23 45d 1 0.27mi
327 Glenwood Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 2012 $1,690 $0.84 5d 1 0.40mi
28-30 Carthage Dr Unit 28 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1415 $1,600 $1.13 25d 1 0.42mi
287 Electric Ave Rochester, NY 3.0 1.5 1297 $1,500 $1.16 4d 1 0.78mi
235 Flower City Park Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 2000 $1,360 $0.68 45d 1 0.80mi
248 Flower City Park Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,800 $1.33 5d 1 0.84mi
768 Flower City Park Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1995 $1,995 $1.00 12d 1 1.03mi
85 Cameron St Unit B Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1138 $1,650 $1.45 45d 1 1.04mi
2 Jay St Unit 2 Rochester, NY 3.0 1.0 1252 $1,045 $0.83 45d 1 1.38mi
83 Navarre Rd Rochester, NY 3.0 2.0 1322 $2,250 $1.70 4d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-04-20
    status Pending
  2. 2026-02-27
    listed $119,500 Active
  3. 2025-12-17
    historical
  4. 2025-12-12
    historical
  5. 2025-12-11
    historical
  6. 2025-12-10
    historical
  7. 2025-10-11
    listed $139,000 Active
  8. 2023-11-16
    soldstatus $95,000 Closed Sale or Rented 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    Attention investors don’t miss this opportunity for a great cap rate on this two family property in the city of Rochester. Upstairs is currently rented at 750 per month. The downstairs unit is currently vacant with a projected monthly rent of at least 850. Giving this an annual income of $19,200. Proforma upon request. Scheduled showing times to be Wednesday between 4-6 pm and Saturday 1-3 pm please allow 48 hours advance notice.

  9. 2023-11-16
    soldstatus $95,000
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    Attention investors don’t miss this opportunity for a great cap rate on this two family property in the city of Rochester. Upstairs is currently rented at 750 per month. The downstairs unit is currently vacant with a projected monthly rent of at least 850. Giving this an annual income of $19,200. Proforma upon request. Scheduled showing times to be Wednesday between 4-6 pm and Saturday 1-3 pm please allow 48 hours advance notice.

  10. 2023-10-31
    historical $900
  11. 2023-10-20
    listed $900
  12. 2023-09-23
    status Pending Sale 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    Attention investors don’t miss this opportunity for a great cap rate on this two family property in the city of Rochester. Upstairs is currently rented at 750 per month. The downstairs unit is currently vacant with a projected monthly rent of at least 850. Giving this an annual income of $19,200. Proforma upon request. Scheduled showing times to be Wednesday between 4-6 pm and Saturday 1-3 pm please allow 48 hours advance notice.

  13. 2023-09-08
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    Attention investors don’t miss this opportunity for a great cap rate on this two family property in the city of Rochester. Upstairs is currently rented at 750 per month. The downstairs unit is currently vacant with a projected monthly rent of at least 850. Giving this an annual income of $19,200. Proforma upon request. Scheduled showing times to be Wednesday between 4-6 pm and Saturday 1-3 pm please allow 48 hours advance notice.

  14. 2023-08-16
    listed $99,700 Active 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    Attention investors don’t miss this opportunity for a great cap rate on this two family property in the city of Rochester. Upstairs is currently rented at 750 per month. The downstairs unit is currently vacant with a projected monthly rent of at least 850. Giving this an annual income of $19,200. Proforma upon request. Scheduled showing times to be Wednesday between 4-6 pm and Saturday 1-3 pm please allow 48 hours advance notice.

  15. 2019-01-30
    historical
  16. 2018-09-10
    listed $59,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$621 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,320 · $110/mo
Expected delta
+$699/yr (+$58/mo · 112.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,284
− Mortgage interest
−$6,694
− Property taxes
−$621
− Insurance
−$598
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,463
− Management
−$1,463
− Depreciation
−$3,476
Taxable income
$3,970
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$953
After-tax cash flow
$4,753/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rochester City School District
NCES district ID
3624750
Math proficiency
21% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$30,923
Composite
18.98/100
National rank
#8850
State rank
#589 of 590 in NY

Livability — Rochester

Score
76/100
State rank
#222
US rank
#3482

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rochester, NY
City population
432,803
Population (ZIP)
14,740

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 22% Hispanic / Latino 20% Two or more races 10% Asian 8% Pacific Islander 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
British 2% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, India, Philippines
Languages at home
79% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 5% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.56%
Current HPI
274.2485
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+99.5% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-02-27 Listed $119,500 UNYREIS
  • 2025-12-17 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-12-12 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-12-11 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-12-10 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2025-10-11 Listed $139,000 UNYREIS
  • 2023-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2023-11-16 Sold (MLS) $95,000 UNYREIS
  • 2023-10-31 Rental Removed $900 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-10-20 Listed for Rent $900 APPFOLIO
  • 2023-09-23 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2023-09-08 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2023-08-16 Listed $99,700 UNYREIS
  • 2019-01-30 Listing Removed UNYREIS
  • 2018-09-10 Listed $59,900 UNYREIS

Property tax history

-1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $621 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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