1008 Ruland Dr · Farmerville, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 59.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$104,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3bd/2bth home located in city limits of Farmerville. Large wood deck on rear with a 14x14 storage room. New roof installed apprx 2 years ago. Call your favorite Realtor today and schedule your private showing. ..
Key facts
- 0.48 acre lot
- Built 1978
- Listed 896 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $950 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.2% vs local median 5.6% in Farmerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#321 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime F, amenities F.
- Union Parish (rural): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #74 of 98 in LA (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 2 units permitted in Union Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $725 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Union County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 897 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $90k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 897 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.82%
- DSCR
- 2.73
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $158,998
- List price
- $104,900
- Delta
- -34.02%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 816 Goss St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,982 (-4%) | 7mo | $85,404 | $43 | 73 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.48×
- Total profit
- $43,535
- Equity at exit
- $15,641
- IRR
- 41.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.95×
- Total profit
- $115,888
- Equity at exit
- $9,070
Cash invested: $29,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71241
- Home prices YoY
- -21.0%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,080 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$550
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,191/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$437
- Net cashflow
- $950
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,010 | -5% $980 | +0% $950 | +5% $921 | +10% $891 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $786 | -5% $868 | +0% $950 | +5% $1,032 | +10% $1,115 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,003 | -0.5pp $977 | base $950 | +0.5pp $923 | +1.0pp $895 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,225
- Closing costs
- $3,147
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $104,900 Active 897 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $104,900 Active 896 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $104,900 Active 895 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $104,900 Active 894 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $104,900 Active 893 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $104,900 Active 891 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $104,900 Active 890 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $104,900 Active 888 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $104,900 Active 887 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $104,900 Active 886 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $104,900 Active 885 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $104,900 Active 882 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $104,900 Active 880 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $104,900 Active 879 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $104,900 Active 878 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $104,900 Active 877 DOM
-
2025-06-20price $104,900 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
3bd/2bth home located in city limits of Farmerville. Large wood deck on rear with a 14x14 storage room. New roof installed apprx 2 years ago. Call your favorite Realtor today and schedule your private showing. ..
-
2025-04-21price $109,900 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
3bd/2bth home located in city limits of Farmerville. Large wood deck on rear with a 14x14 storage room. New roof installed apprx 2 years ago. Call your favorite Realtor today and schedule your private showing. ..
-
2024-12-05price $114,000 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
3bd/2bth home located in city limits of Farmerville. Large wood deck on rear with a 14x14 storage room. New roof installed apprx 2 years ago. Call your favorite Realtor today and schedule your private showing. ..
-
2024-04-12price $119,000 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
3bd/2bth home located in city limits of Farmerville. Large wood deck on rear with a 14x14 storage room. New roof installed apprx 2 years ago. Call your favorite Realtor today and schedule your private showing. ..
-
2024-01-04$129,000 Active 212-char remark
Show marketing remark (212 chars)
3bd/2bth home located in city limits of Farmerville. Large wood deck on rear with a 14x14 storage room. New roof installed apprx 2 years ago. Call your favorite Realtor today and schedule your private showing. ..
-
2009-12-23soldstatus $89,900
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2003-10-13soldstatus $74,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,191 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,191 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 59% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,961
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,876
- − Property taxes
- −$1,191
- − Insurance
- −$524
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,997
- − Management
- −$1,997
- − Depreciation
- −$3,052
- Taxable income
- $10,325
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,478
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,925/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Union Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201770
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -37.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -34.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,279
- Composite
- 13.35/100
- National rank
- #9537
- State rank
- #74 of 98 in LA
Livability — Farmerville
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #321
- US rank
- #21826
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Farmerville, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,773
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,722 people
- By 2030
- 21,226 · -2.3%
- By 2040
- 20,026 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 18,682 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 15,725 · -27.6%
- By 2100
- 12,509 · -42.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 66% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.0) · D 21.1% · R 78.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.4pp toward R · 2008: -41.5pp · 2024: -57.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.0 2020: R+51.4 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+41.7 2008: R+41.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.85%
- Current HPI
- 169.0449
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+41.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $104,900 NELABOR
- 2025-04-21 Price Changed $109,900 NELABOR
- 2024-12-05 Price Changed $114,000 NELABOR
- 2024-04-12 Price Changed $119,000 NELABOR
- 2024-01-04 Listed $129,000 NELABOR
- 2009-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
- 2003-10-13 Sold (Public Records) $74,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,191 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…