3218 Town Creek Cir · Greensboro, GA 30642

$169,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Condo public records · 126 Days on market

Built 2006 ↓ 6% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.3/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.5/10.0
• 1% rule +6.2/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Schools +2.7/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

CONDO READY FOR THE HOLIDAYS! OWN A BEAUTIFULLY RENOVATED 2-BED, 2-BATH CONDO IN THE GATED TOWN CREEK COMMUNITY. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED ON THE FIRST FLOOR, JUST TWO BLOCKS FROM I-20 AND 5 MINUTES FROM HISTORIC DOWNTOWN GREENSBORO. RECENTLY UPDATED, THE INTERIOR BOASTS NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, NEW LIGHT FIXTURES, FRESH PAINT, AND NEW CARPET. THIS SPACIOUS UNIT FEATURES A SPLIT-BEDROOM PLAN AND IS READY FOR IMMEDIATE MOVE-IN. ENJOY COMMUNITY AMENITIES LIKE THE POOL, TENNIS COURT, CLUBHOUSE, AND PLAYGROUND. DON'T MISS THIS EXCELLENT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY, AS IT IS ALREADY IN THE RENTAL PROGRAM. CLOSE TO ALL LAKE OCONEE HAS TO OFFER! CALL AGENT FOR HOA DETAILS AND TO SCHEDULE YOUR SELF-GU

Key facts

• Fresh paint
• New carpet
• First floor

Tags

• GATED TOWN CREEK COMMUNITY
• FIRST FLOOR
• NEW STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• NEW LIGHT FIXTURES
• FRESH PAINT
• NEW CARPET

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $169k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
• Recommended offer: $149k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 1.0% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#272 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Greene County (rural): math 27% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #82 of 174 in GA (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 505 active listings in the ZIP; 295 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Greene County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $148,720 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.12% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.84%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.53%
• DSCR: 1.25
• GRM: 7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.72×
• Total profit: $-13,406
• Equity at exit: $25,198

10-year hold

• IRR: 1.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.14×
• Total profit: $6,584
• Equity at exit: $14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Georgia: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 30642

• Active inventory: 505
• Price-to-rent: 7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,887 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$886
• Tax from tax record: −$66 /mo · $789/yr
• Insurance: −$70
• HOA est. from 3 same-building comps: −$250
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$396
• Net cashflow: $218

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,611

Max offer price $169,000

Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $42,250
• Closing costs: $5,070
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Likely covers: poolsecurity
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-04-17
   soldstatus $169,000
2. 2026-03-27
   status Pending
3. 2026-02-20
   historical
4. 2025-12-09
   price $169,000
5. 2025-12-09
   price $169,000
6. 2025-11-21
   listed $179,000 Active
7. 2025-11-21
   listed $179,000 New

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $789 · $66/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,555 · $130/mo
• Expected delta: +$766/yr (+$64/mo · 97.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,640
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,467
• − Property taxes: −$789
• − Insurance: −$845
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,811
• − Management: −$1,811
• − HOA: −$3,000
• − Depreciation: −$4,916
• Taxable income: $0
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$0
• After-tax cash flow: $2,616/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Greene County
• NCES district ID: 1302490
• Math proficiency: 27% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 37% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $42,172
• Composite: 27.08/100
• National rank: #7046
• State rank: #82 of 174 in GA

Livability — Greensboro

• Score: 64/100
• State rank: #272
• US rank: #14726

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Greensboro, GA
• Population (ZIP): 14,884

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 17,835 people
• By 2030: 18,182 · +1.9%
• By 2040: 18,509 · +3.8%
• By 2050: 18,794 · +5.4%
• By 2075: 19,704 · +10.5%
• By 2100: 20,584 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority White (64%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 64% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.3% · R 64.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.9pp toward R · 2008: -15.1pp · 2024: -28.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+26.5 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+22.5 2008: R+15.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -114.13%
• Current HPI: 186.3442
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.66%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Paper / Packaging	2	$29B
▸Retail	1	$160B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$91B
▸Airlines	1	$62B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$47B
▸Utilities	1	$25B

Price history

-5.6% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-17 Sold (Public Records) $169,000 Public Records
• 2026-03-27 Pending — LCBR
• 2026-02-20 Listing Removed — GAMLS
• 2025-12-09 Price Changed $169,000 LCBR
• 2025-12-09 Price Changed $169,000 GAMLS
• 2025-11-21 Listed $179,000 GAMLS
• 2025-11-21 Listed $179,000 LCBR

Property tax history

+9.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $789 · -8.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.