1319 S Carey St · Baltimore, MD 21230

$170,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · Townhouse public records · 13 Days on market

Built 1900 975 sqft lot Est $170k · at est.

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +23.3/30.0
• ARV discount +7.6/15.0
• DSCR +7.5/10.0
• 1% rule +6.1/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.2/5.0
• Schools +1.0/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Please contact Listing Agent (Mitch Toland) for a showing during Office Exclusive/Early Access.

Key facts

• Built 1900
• Listed 13 days

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: List price $170,000

Exterior

• Home design: Townhouse, built in 1900
• Construction: Historic construction (built in 1900)
• Exterior features: Small lot with approximately 975 sq ft

Interior

• Kitchen: Functional kitchen included
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 1 bathroom
• Interior features: Freshly updated living spaces in a classic 1900 townhouse

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $170k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $312 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $170k).
• Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
• Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $170,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.11% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.49%
• Cash-on-cash: 7.86%
• DSCR: 1.35
• GRM: 7.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $170,456
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1244 Carroll St	0.05mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,140 (-0%)	0mo	$213,900	$188	90
1145 W Cross St	0.20mi	2/1.5	1,172 (+2%)	2mo	$121,900	$104	83
538 Eislen St	0.59mi	2/1.0	1,170 (+2%)	1mo	$345,000	$295	68
1125 Bayard St	0.17mi	1/2.0 (-1)	1,032 (-10%)	0mo	$120,000	$116	66
916 S Carey St	0.23mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,288 (+13%)	1mo	$100,000	$78	60
121 Parkin St	0.49mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,208 (+6%)	0mo	$175,000	$145	59
1404 Lemmon St	0.55mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,100 (-4%)	1mo	$189,000	$172	58
1110 W Lombard St	0.51mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,206 (+5%)	1mo	$180,000	$149	56
1226 W Pratt St	0.46mi	2/1.5	1,000 (-13%)	2mo	$80,000	$80	54
835 1/2 W Lombard St	0.55mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,242 (+9%)	1mo	$255,000	$205	54
703 Dover St	0.58mi	2/2.0	1,008 (-12%)	1mo	$225,000	$223	49
1607 Lemmon St	0.64mi	1/1.0 (-1)	974 (-15%)	1mo	$20,000	$21	40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.72×
• Total profit: $-13,183
• Equity at exit: $25,348

10-year hold

• IRR: -2.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.85×
• Total profit: $-7,114
• Equity at exit: $14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State Maryland: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City Baltimore: 12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58

Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 21230

• Rents YoY: -1.0%
• Active inventory: 362
• Price-to-rent: 7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,882 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$891
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$212 /mo · $2,550/yr
• Insurance: −$71
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$395
• Net cashflow: $312

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,487

Max offer price $170,000

Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $42,500
• Closing costs: $5,100
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1205 Cleveland St Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.0	1232	$1,900	$1.54	43d	1	0.07mi
1259 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD	3.0	3.0	1232	$2,999	$2.43	4d	1	0.08mi
1243 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1148	$1,950	$1.70	43d	1	0.08mi
1127 S Carey St Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.5	1340	$1,900	$1.42	4d	1	0.11mi
1253 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.5	1200	$1,695	$1.41	24d	1	0.12mi
1163 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.5	1012	$1,700	$1.68	12d	1	0.13mi
1101 S Carey St Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.0	1400	$1,200	$0.86	22d	1	0.15mi
1160 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	960	$1,575	$1.64	24d	1	0.15mi
1303 James St Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.5	1160	$1,350	$1.16	24d	1	0.15mi
1215 James St Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	960	$1,500	$1.56	43d	1	0.16mi
1132 Nanticoke St Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.5	1500	$1,875	$1.25	24d	1	0.17mi
1432 Carroll St Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.5	912	$1,900	$2.08	43d	1	0.18mi
1127 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.5	1080	$1,275	$1.18	24d	1	0.18mi
1142 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1080	$1,601	$1.48	2d	1	0.19mi
1262 Glyndon Ave Baltimore, MD	2.0	3.0	1258	$1,850	$1.47	24d	1	0.20mi
853 Reinhart St Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.5	780	$1,800	$2.31	43d	1	0.24mi
1125 Wicomico St Baltimore, MD	3.0	3.0	1068	$1,955	$1.83	24d	1	0.27mi
508 Wyeth St Baltimore, MD	3.0	3.0	1234	$1,850	$1.50	43d	1	0.29mi
709 Scott St Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.5	1448	$2,500	$1.73	24d	1	0.31mi
709 Scott St Baltimore, MD	3.0	3.0	1448	$2,500	$1.73	15d	1	0.31mi
1108 Sterrett St Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	1400	$2,300	$1.64	24d	1	0.32mi
923 McHenry St Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1008	$1,625	$1.61	43d	1	0.33mi
805 Washington Blvd Unit B Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.0	1106	$1,650	$1.49	20d	1	0.33mi
805 Washington Blvd Unit A Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.0	1050	$1,650	$1.57	43d	1	0.33mi
519 Scott St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.0	800	$2,000	$2.50	43d	1	0.34mi
847 McHenry St Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.0	952	$1,795	$1.89	4d	1	0.35mi
776 Washington Blvd Unit 3F Baltimore, MD	1.0	1.0	800	$1,000	$1.25	43d	1	0.37mi
305 S Calhoun St Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,300	$1.30	22d	1	0.41mi
812 S Paca St Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	990	$1,500	$1.52	12d	1	0.44mi
104 S Carrollton Ave Baltimore, MD	3.0	4.0	1232	$2,400	$1.95	4d	1	0.46mi
1111 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1200	$1,295	$1.08	4d	1	0.46mi
1115 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1468	$2,100	$1.43	43d	1	0.46mi
913 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.0	1452	$1,600	$1.10	24d	1	0.47mi
748 McHenry St Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1288	$2,100	$1.63	4d	1	0.47mi
638 S Paca St Unit 2404866494 Baltimore, MD	3.0	1.5	1100	$2,200	$2.00	43d	1	0.52mi
1324 W Lombard St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD	2.0	2.0	1100	$1,500	$1.36	24d	1	0.53mi
1324 W Lombard St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD	2.0	1.5	1100	$1,450	$1.32	43d	1	0.53mi
1000 Hollins St Unit 1000 Hollins Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.5	1472	$2,600	$1.77	44d	1	0.55mi
1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1096	$1,950	$1.78	12d	1	0.57mi
1315 Hollins St Unit 2 Baltimore, MD	3.0	2.0	1096	$1,860	$1.70	4d	1	0.57mi

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $170,000 Coming Soon 13 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $170,000 Coming Soon 12 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $170,000 Coming Soon 11 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $170,000 Coming Soon 10 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $170,000 Coming Soon 8 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $170,000 Coming Soon 4 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $170,000 Coming Soon 3 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   remarks 95-char remark
9. 2026-06-07
   listed $170,000 Coming Soon 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,580
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,523
• − Property taxes: −$2,550
• − Insurance: −$850
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,806
• − Management: −$1,806
• − Depreciation: −$4,945
• Taxable income: $1,099
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$264
• After-tax cash flow: $3,476/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Baltimore City Public Schools
• NCES district ID: 2400090
• Math proficiency: 7% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 16% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $42,108
• Composite: 10.08/100
• National rank: #9805
• State rank: #24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

• Score: 76/100
• State rank: #90
• US rank: #3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Baltimore, MD
• County: Baltimore City · 558,601 people
• City population: 588,727
• Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
• Population (ZIP): 32,977
• Household income: $91,842
• Rent vs Own: 49.3% rent · 50.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1463.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 624,249 people
• By 2030: 621,541 · -0.4%
• By 2040: 609,756 · -2.3%
• By 2050: 597,249 · -4.3%
• By 2075: 552,236 · -11.5%
• By 2100: 513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
• Race & ethnicity: White 55% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -311.43%
• Current HPI: 284.338
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.00%
• Metro: Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.97%
• F500 in state: 12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Aerospace / Defense	1	$71B
▸Utilities	1	$25B
▸Hotels	1	$24B
▸Consumer Goods	1	$7B
▸Real Estate	1	$6B
▸Chemicals	1	$2B