3145 G St · Lorain, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Hud Owned. Case # 412-532902. Sold As Is.
Key facts
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1954
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.9% in Lorain — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#595 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, health & safety D.
- Lorain City (suburban): math 13% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #633 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 129 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,098 units permitted in Lorain County in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($45k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 36y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $24k; list at $135k implies a 462% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.46%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $199,144
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3145 G St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,606 (0%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $75 | 98 |
| 633 Blossom Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,540 (-4%) | 0mo | $129,000 | $84 | 88 |
| 2966 Cleveland Blvd | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+1%) | 0mo | $222,500 | $137 | 82 |
| 707 Blossom Dr | 0.11mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,531 (-5%) | 9mo | $178,900 | $117 | 74 |
| 235 Euclid Ave | 0.21mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,506 (-6%) | 2mo | $212,500 | $141 | 71 |
| 2456 Jackson St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,573 (-2%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $118 | 63 |
| 413 Nebraska Ave | 0.35mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,467 (-9%) | 8mo | $168,000 | $115 | 58 |
| 2311 N Jefferson Blvd | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,708 (+6%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $94 | 56 |
| 216 Missouri Ave | 0.58mi | 2/3.0 (-1) | 1,460 (-9%) | 1mo | $209,500 | $143 | 46 |
| 2500 S Jefferson Blvd | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,412 (-12%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $124 | 44 |
| 2911 Larkmoor St | 0.48mi | 3/2.5 | 1,375 (-14%) | 9mo | $170,750 | $124 | 42 |
| 2612 Larkmoor St | 0.58mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,830 (+14%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $128 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,269
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $25,876
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44052
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,476 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $266
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 716 Dakota Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1490 | $1,650 | $1.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 1109 Euclid Ave Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1066 | $995 | $0.93 | 2d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 2327 S Jefferson Blvd Lorain, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1485 | $1,531 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-03-19status Pending
-
2026-03-09$135,000 Active
-
2008-12-09soldstatus $24,001 41-char remark
Show marketing remark (41 chars)
Hud Owned. Case # 412-532902. Sold As Is.
-
2008-09-12$21,000 41-char remark
Show marketing remark (41 chars)
Hud Owned. Case # 412-532902. Sold As Is.
-
2005-05-31soldstatus $110,000
-
2004-03-30historical
-
2003-09-30$96,500
-
2002-12-13soldstatus $83,900
-
2002-12-10soldstatus $83,900
-
2002-06-24$83,900
-
1991-10-30soldstatus $56,500
-
1991-10-30soldstatus $56,500
-
1991-08-28historical
-
1991-06-22$58,500
-
1990-07-21$58,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,625 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,865 · $155/mo
- Expected delta
- +$241/yr (+$20/mo · 14.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,712
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,625
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,417
- − Management
- −$1,417
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $1,089
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$261
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,936/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lorain City
- NCES district ID
- 3904426
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,823
- Composite
- 15.81/100
- National rank
- #9266
- State rank
- #633 of 656 in OH
Livability — Lorain
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #595
- US rank
- #10183
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lorain, OH
- County
- Lorain County · 219,437 people
- City population
- 69,409
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,282
- Household income
- $45,023
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1423.0
Population outlook (Lorain County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 314,924 people
- By 2030
- 317,546 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 317,962 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 312,872 · -0.7%
- By 2075
- 301,806 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 278,271 · -11.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 24% Black 21% Two or more races 16%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 14%
Political lean MEDSL · Lorain
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.7) · D 46.7% · R 52.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.9pp · 2024: -5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.7 2020: R+2.5 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+17.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.23%
- Current HPI
- 186.9657
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.09%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+129.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-19 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-03-09 Listed $135,000 MLSNOW
- 2008-12-09 Sold (MLS) $24,001 MLSNOW
- 2008-09-12 Listed $21,000 MLSNOW
- 2005-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2004-03-30 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2003-09-30 Listed $96,500 MLSNOW
- 2002-12-13 Sold (MLS) $83,900 MLSNOW
- 2002-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $83,900 Public Records
- 2002-06-24 Listed $83,900 MLSNOW
- 1991-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
- 1991-10-30 Sold (MLS) $56,500 MLSNOW
- 1991-08-28 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 1991-06-22 Listed $58,500 MLSNOW
- 1990-07-21 Listed $58,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,625 · -4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…