3875 US Highway 271 Hwy N · Paris, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This delightful three-bedroom, two-bathroom residence is perfectly situated in the highly desirable North Lamar Independent School District, merely five minutes north of the lively city of Paris, Texas. The property is conveniently located approximately halfway between the Texas-Oklahoma state line and rests on a spacious half-acre lot. It offers a fantastic opportunity for both homeowners and investors.
Key facts
- 0.5 acre lot
- Built 1985
- Listed 127 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-51 ($-609/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $141k (6.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (22.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $116k (22.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.6% in Paris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#984 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- North Lamar ISD (rural): math 43% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #275 of 826 in TX (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 119 units permitted in Lamar County in 2024 (71 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
- Lamar County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.45%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $263,755
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -43.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.63% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $28,203
- Equity at exit
- $81,693
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $89,571
- Equity at exit
- $138,328
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75473
- Home prices YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 45
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,162 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,438/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $-51
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
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- Total cash needed
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Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
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2026-06-19days on market $150,000 Active 128 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 127 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $150,000 Active 126 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $150,000 Active 125 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $150,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $150,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $150,000 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-02-11$150,000 Active 407-char remark
Show marketing remark (407 chars)
This delightful three-bedroom, two-bathroom residence is perfectly situated in the highly desirable North Lamar Independent School District, merely five minutes north of the lively city of Paris, Texas. The property is conveniently located approximately halfway between the Texas-Oklahoma state line and rests on a spacious half-acre lot. It offers a fantastic opportunity for both homeowners and investors.
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2026-02-03historical
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2025-10-24price $150,000
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2025-09-10$165,000 Active
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2021-11-09soldstatus
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2015-08-18soldstatus
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2012-02-10soldstatus
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2012-02-10soldstatus
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2005-10-12soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,438 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,745 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,307/yr (+$109/mo · 90.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,947
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,438
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,116
- − Management
- −$1,116
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$3,239
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$777
- After-tax cash flow
- $168/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- North Lamar ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4833010
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,328
- Composite
- 38.13/100
- National rank
- #4270
- State rank
- #275 of 826 in TX
Livability — Paris
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #984
- US rank
- #17535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 23,426
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,645
Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,319 people
- By 2030
- 47,160 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 44,621 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 42,024 · -13.0%
- By 2075
- 36,577 · -24.3%
- By 2100
- 30,580 · -36.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lamar
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.2% · R 80.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.0pp · 2024: -61.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.0 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+59.2 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+42.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.63%
- Current HPI
- 232.5806
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-9.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-11 Listed $150,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-03 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-10-24 Price Changed $150,000 NTREIS
- 2025-09-10 Listed $165,000 NTREIS
- 2021-11-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2015-08-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-02-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-02-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2005-10-12 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,438 · -1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…