104 S Gannaway St · Warren, AR 71671

$80,000

3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,444 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market

Built 1940 0.44 ac lot Est $137k · 42% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +5.7/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.9/10.0

Listing remarks

This cute and spacious home features hardwood floors, living room with fireplace and arched doorway to dining room, separate den and large sunroom, 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, kitchen with extra pantry cabinets for storage, 2-car garage, laundry room, fenced back yard with deck and shop, approximately 0.44 acre corner lot. HUD Owned Property, Case #031-581860, agents please READ confidential remarks for showing instructions and offer submission information.

Key facts

• Large sunroom
• Separate den
• Hardwood floors

Tags

• HARDWOOD FLOORS
• LIVING ROOM WITH FIREPLACE
• ARCHED DOORWAY TO DINING ROOM
• SEPARATE DEN
• LARGE SUNROOM
• EXTRA PANTRY CABINETS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $460 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#69 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
• Warren School District (town): math 26% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #198 of 238 in AR (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $2k of equity ($553 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
• Bradley County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.57% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.19%
• Cash-on-cash: 24.62%
• DSCR: 2.10
• GRM: 5.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $136,864
• Comps found: 5

Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
320 E Cedar St	0.21mi	3/2.0	2,343 (-4%)	4mo	$132,000	$56	78
211 E Church	0.33mi	4/2.5 (+1)	2,567 (+5%)	16mo	$80,000	$31	58
404 Marie Dr	0.55mi	4/2.0 (+1)	2,290 (-6%)	1mo	$215,000	$94	56
104 Wheeler	0.68mi	4/2.0 (+1)	2,484 (+2%)	11mo	$115,000	$46	49
401 S Myrtle	0.48mi	3/2.0	2,630 (+8%)	16mo	$210,000	$80	49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.47% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 27.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.46×
• Total profit: $32,617
• Equity at exit: $29,271

10-year hold

• IRR: 29.9%
• Equity multiple: 4.73×
• Total profit: $83,452
• Equity at exit: $40,463

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Arkansas: 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 71671

• Home prices YoY: 1.3%
• Active inventory: 37
• Price-to-rent: 5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,252 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$420
• Tax from tax record: −$77 /mo · $920/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$263
• Net cashflow: $460

Break-even live

Break-even rent $670

Max offer price $80,000

Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $505	-5% $482	+0% $460	+5% $437	+10% $414
Rent	-10% $361	-5% $410	+0% $460	+5% $509	+10% $559
Rate	-1.0pp $500	-0.5pp $480	base $460	+0.5pp $439	+1.0pp $418

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,000
• Closing costs: $2,400
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-27
   status Under Contract
2. 2026-04-18
   listed $80,000 New Listing

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $920 · $77/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $920 · $77/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,025
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,481
• − Property taxes: −$920
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,202
• − Management: −$1,202
• − Depreciation: −$2,327
• Taxable income: $4,493
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,078
• After-tax cash flow: $4,437/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Warren School District
• NCES district ID: 0500006
• Math proficiency: 26% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 21% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $32,986
• Composite: 19.22/100
• National rank: #8810
• State rank: #198 of 238 in AR

Livability — Warren

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #69
• US rank: #8546

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Warren, AR
• Population (ZIP): 8,788

Population outlook (Bradley County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 10,347 people
• By 2030: 9,925 · -4.1%
• By 2040: 9,122 · -11.8%
• By 2050: 8,336 · -19.4%
• By 2075: 6,893 · -33.4%
• By 2100: 5,721 · -44.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: White 52% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 16% Native American 6% Two or more races 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 16%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 7% · Canada
• Languages at home: 86% English-only · Spanish 14%

Political lean MEDSL · Bradley

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+39.0) · D 29.9% · R 69.0% · Other 1.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -24.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.4pp · 2024: -39.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+39.0 2020: R+30.7 2016: R+23.4 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+14.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 1.47%
• Current HPI: 114.1937
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.80%
• F500 in state: 10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$681B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$53B
▸Retail / Energy	1	$22B
▸Transportation / Logistics	1	$12B
▸Energy	1	$4B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-27 Pending — CARMLS
• 2026-04-18 Listed $80,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $920 · +109.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.