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79 Harnett Ave
B Composite 73.98
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,900

79 Harnett Ave · Wood River, IL 62095
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 889 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1962 6,250 sqft lot Est $113k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Needs some TLC, but could be a great home with cosmetic updates! new roof approximately three years ago. Full brick with alley access to garage and shed. Two bedroom/one bath with wood floors in living room and bedrooms. Eat in kitchen. Come take a look and make us an offer! Home sold "AS IS" with no warranties, permits or repairs provided.

Key facts

  • Full brick ranch
  • Full basement
  • Large back yard

Tags

FULL BRICK RANCHUPDATED KITCHENFULL BASEMENTLARGE BACK YARDSHED FOR EXTRA STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered (No)

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (sewer connected); Electric service by Ameren
  • Home design: Single-family residential; One-level home
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Back yard; Shed(s)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $76k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 5.9% in Wood River — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#214 in IL, #4,027 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities C-, commute D+, employment D+.
  • East Alton-Wood River Chsd 14 (suburban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #793 of 919 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Lewis-Clark Elem School (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #940 of 2,056 statewide, top 49%, 231 students, 0% FRL); Lewis-Clark Jr High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #550 of 665 statewide, top 84%, 195 students, 0% FRL); East Alton-Wood River High Sch (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #567 of 693 statewide, top 83%, 537 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; 26% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $75,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.09%
Cash-on-cash
17.13%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$112,903
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
718 Condit St 0.12mi 2/1.0 907 (+2%) 1mo $115,000 $127 90
71 Carstens Ave 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (-3%) 8mo $70,000 $81 74
726 Rice St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (+1) 984 (+11%) 2mo $119,000 $121 70
129 Whitelaw Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 892 (+0%) 2mo $130,000 $146 66
79 E Lorena Ave 0.53mi 2/1.0 910 (+2%) 8mo $59,900 $66 65
451 N Wood River Ave 0.26mi 2/1.0 768 (-14%) 2mo $124,900 $163 63
217 Whitelaw Ave 0.67mi 2/1.0 858 (-4%) 2mo $85,000 $99 62
629 Leslie Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 806 (-9%) 4mo $135,000 $167 60
566 Hamilton Ave 0.32mi 2/2.0 1,008 (+13%) 1mo $135,000 $134 58
469 N 1st St 0.34mi 2/1.0 768 (-14%) 6mo $74,900 $98 57
72 E Acton Ave 0.49mi 2/1.0 988 (+11%) 7mo $54,900 $56 53
314 N 3rd St 0.58mi 2/1.0 767 (-14%) 3mo $144,990 $189 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$7,034
Equity at exit
$11,317
10-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$31,046
Equity at exit
$6,562

Cash invested: $21,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62095

Home prices YoY
-22.9%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,035 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$398
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,019/yr
Insurance
$32
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$303

Break-even live

Break-even rent $651
Max offer price $75,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $346 -5% $325 +0% $303 +5% $282 +10% $260
Rent -10% $222 -5% $262 +0% $303 +5% $344 +10% $385
Rate -1.0pp $342 -0.5pp $323 base $303 +0.5pp $284 +1.0pp $264

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,975
Closing costs
$2,277
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 7 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
226 E Lorena Ave Wood River, IL 1.0 1.0 615 $1,150 $1.87 4d 1 0.66mi
176 S Pence St East Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 0d 1 0.89mi
123 Irwin St East Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 792 $1,225 $1.55 5d 1 1.08mi
120 Lakeside Ave East Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 12d 1 1.18mi
134 Lakeside Ave East Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $775 $0.97 12d 1 1.19mi
121 Cardot St East Alton, IL 3.0 1.0 937 $1,200 $1.28 23d 1 1.33mi
806 Center St East Alton, IL 1.0 1.0 620 $675 $1.09 0d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $75,900 Pending 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    remarks 279-char remark
  5. 2026-06-07
    listed $75,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,019 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,371 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$352/yr (+$29/mo · 34.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,425
− Mortgage interest
−$4,252
− Property taxes
−$1,019
− Insurance
−$380
− Repairs & maintenance
−$994
− Management
−$994
− Depreciation
−$2,208
Taxable income
$2,579
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$619
After-tax cash flow
$3,022/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Alton-Wood River Chsd 14
NCES district ID
1712990
Math proficiency
10% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,977
Composite
15.86/100
National rank
#14315
State rank
#793 of 919 in IL

Livability — Wood River

Score
75/100
State rank
#214
US rank
#4027

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wood River, IL
County
Madison County · 189,064 people
City population
10,726
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
10,726
Household income
$65,013
Rent vs Own
32.2% rent · 67.8% own
Severe rent burden
383.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Black 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.69%
Current HPI
217.1264
Rent YoY
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+26.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $75,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-15 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-03 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-26 Listed $59,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2000-10-24 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,019 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…