500 Church House Rd · Crum, WV
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$25,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rural Crum property on 1 acre bordering river. 2 bed, 1 bath, 664 sq ft cottage from 1950. Metal roof, carpet and linoleum flooring. Private end-of-road location. Needs renovation.
Key facts
- 1 acre
- Rural property
- Bordering river
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $26k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $468 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($819 rent vs $26k).
- Recommended offer: $24k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#202 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, schools A, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Wayne County Schools (rural): math 25% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #25 of 55 in WV (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 67 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $956 of equity ($179 loan paydown + $777 appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 77.46%
- DSCR
- 4.45
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 82.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.54×
- Total profit
- $32,948
- Equity at exit
- $11,646
- IRR
- 81.5%
- Equity multiple
- 11.41×
- Total profit
- $75,528
- Equity at exit
- $17,948
Cash invested: $7,252 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25669
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $819 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$136
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$32 /mo · $388/yr
- Insurance
- −$11
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$172
- Net cashflow
- $468
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,475
- Closing costs
- $777
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $25,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $25,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $25,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $25,900 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $25,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $25,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $25,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $25,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $25,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $25,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $25,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $25,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $25,900 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $25,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $25,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $25,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-04-30price $25,900 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Rural Crum property on 1 acre bordering river. 2 bed, 1 bath, 664 sq ft cottage from 1950. Metal roof, carpet and linoleum flooring. Private end-of-road location. Needs renovation.
-
2026-03-21price $26,900 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Rural Crum property on 1 acre bordering river. 2 bed, 1 bath, 664 sq ft cottage from 1950. Metal roof, carpet and linoleum flooring. Private end-of-road location. Needs renovation.
-
2026-03-07$27,900 Active 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Rural Crum property on 1 acre bordering river. 2 bed, 1 bath, 664 sq ft cottage from 1950. Metal roof, carpet and linoleum flooring. Private end-of-road location. Needs renovation.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,830
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,451
- − Property taxes
- −$388
- − Insurance
- −$130
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$786
- − Management
- −$786
- − Depreciation
- −$753
- Taxable income
- $5,535
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,328
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,289/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This property requires extensive renovation and repairs, including a new roof, siding, flooring, and landscaping. Immediate maintenance is needed to prevent further damage.
Repairs flagged
- Major Metal roof — Significant rust and damage
- Major Siding — Peeling and damaged
- Major Flooring — Worn and dirty carpet and linoleum
- Major Interior walls — Peeling paint and water damage
- Major Landscaping — Overgrown vegetation and unkempt yard
- Major Fencing — Dilapidated and missing sections
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Metal roof replacement — A new roof will significantly improve the home's appearance and value
- Resale Siding repair/replacement — New siding will enhance the home's curb appeal and value
- Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring will make the home more attractive and increase its value
- Resale Interior wall repair/painting — Fresh paint and repairs will improve the home's interior and increase its value
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — A well-maintained yard will increase both resale and rental value
- Both Fencing repair/replacement — A new, functional fence will improve the home's safety and increase its value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Metal roof · Significant rust and damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Siding · Peeling and damaged | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Worn and dirty carpet and linoleum | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior walls · Peeling paint and water damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · Overgrown vegetation and unkempt yard | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Fencing · Dilapidated and missing sections | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Metal roof replacement — A new roof will significantly improve the home's appearance and value ↑
- Resale Siding repair/replacement — New siding will enhance the home's curb appeal and value ↑
- Resale Flooring replacement — New flooring will make the home more attractive and increase its value ↑
- Resale Interior wall repair/painting — Fresh paint and repairs will improve the home's interior and increase its value ↑
- Both Landscaping and yard maintenance — A well-maintained yard will increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Fencing repair/replacement — A new, functional fence will improve the home's safety and increase its value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wayne County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5401500
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,283
- Composite
- 26.08/100
- National rank
- #7297
- State rank
- #25 of 55 in WV
Livability — Crum
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #18077
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 867
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 38,267 people
- By 2030
- 36,578 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 33,034 · -13.7%
- By 2050
- 29,671 · -22.5%
- By 2075
- 22,901 · -40.2%
- By 2100
- 17,421 · -54.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (100%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 100%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.4) · D 22.4% · R 75.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.1pp toward R · 2008: -18.2pp · 2024: -53.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.4 2020: R+50.1 2016: R+51.3 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+18.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-7.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $25,900 GVBOR
- 2026-03-21 Price Changed $26,900 GVBOR
- 2026-03-07 Listed $27,900 GVBOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…