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5398 Old Country Rd
C+ Composite 64.14
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

5398 Old Country Rd · Bedford, VA 24523
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,350 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 12 Days on market
Built 2001 1.36 ac lot $96/sqft · 20% below area Est $163k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT HOME AT A REASONABLE PRICE, LIKE NEW DOUBLEWIDE, CONVENIENT TO BEDFORD, ROANOKE & SML. COUNTRY VIEWS WITH ROOM FOR A GARDEN OR GARAGE.

Key facts

  • Expansive lot
  • Outdoor entertaining
  • Scenic virginia

Tags

EXPANSIVE LOTOUTDOOR ENTERTAININGSCENIC VIRGINIA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Parcel number 182 3 7; Annual taxes listed
  • Financial info: List price: $129,900

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electric heat pump; Has cooling
  • Home design: Residential property; Built in 2001
  • Construction: Year built: 2001
  • Exterior features: 1.36-acre lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring; Wood flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump (electric); Has heating; Has cooling
  • Interior features: Laminate, tile, and wood flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $228 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (2.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (2.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.2% in Bedford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#137 in VA, #4,371 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Bedford County Public School District (rural): math 55% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #41 of 131 in VA (top 31%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Bedford Primary (293 students, 100% FRL); Staunton River Middle (math 45% / reading 65%, grade B-, #189 of 342 statewide, top 56%, 627 students, 86% FRL); Liberty High (math 41% / reading 68%, grade C-, #281 of 319 statewide, top 90%, 726 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 30% district-wide (55 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 238 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in Bedford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bedford County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $66k; list at $130k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,539 (2.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.51%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,016
List price
$129,900
Delta
-20.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-6,616
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$12,663
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24523

Home prices YoY
-31.0%
Active inventory
238
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,265 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$37 /mo · $442/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$228

Break-even live

Break-even rent $977
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $301 -5% $264 +0% $228 +5% $191 +10% $154
Rent -10% $128 -5% $178 +0% $228 +5% $278 +10% $327
Rate -1.0pp $293 -0.5pp $261 base $228 +0.5pp $194 +1.0pp $160

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    listed $129,900 Active 655-char remark
  2. 2002-12-27
    soldstatus $66,000 146-char remark
    Show marketing remark (146 chars)

    GREAT HOME AT A REASONABLE PRICE, LIKE NEW DOUBLEWIDE, CONVENIENT TO BEDFORD, ROANOKE & SML. COUNTRY VIEWS WITH ROOM FOR A GARDEN OR GARAGE.

  3. 2002-10-31
    listed $69,900 146-char remark
    Show marketing remark (146 chars)

    GREAT HOME AT A REASONABLE PRICE, LIKE NEW DOUBLEWIDE, CONVENIENT TO BEDFORD, ROANOKE & SML. COUNTRY VIEWS WITH ROOM FOR A GARDEN OR GARAGE.

  4. 2002-01-10
    historical
  5. 2001-07-11
    listed $68,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$442 · $37/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,065 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$624/yr (+$52/mo · 141.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,185
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$442
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,215
− Management
−$1,215
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$609
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$146
After-tax cash flow
$2,584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bedford County Public School District
NCES district ID
5100360
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -29.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$56,288
Composite
54.92/100
National rank
#1310
State rank
#41 of 131 in VA

Livability — Bedford

Score
74/100
State rank
#137
US rank
#4371

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
21,447
Population (ZIP)
21,447

Population outlook (Bedford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
83,194 people
By 2030
85,499 · +2.8%
By 2040
88,834 · +6.8%
By 2050
90,060 · +8.3%
By 2075
94,131 · +13.1%
By 2100
89,832 · +8.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 10% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 0%

Political lean MEDSL · Bedford

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.4) · D 24.4% · R 74.8%
2008→2024 swing
-13.0pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -50.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.4 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+49.4 2012: R+45.0 2008: R+37.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -118.68%
Current HPI
263.7765
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+89.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-26 Pending MLSRV
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $129,900 MLSRV
  • 2002-12-27 Sold (MLS) $66,000 MLSRV
  • 2002-10-31 Listed $69,900 MLSRV
  • 2002-01-10 Listing Removed MLSRV
  • 2001-07-11 Listed $68,500 MLSRV

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $442 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…