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306 Davis St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C+ Composite 61.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$107,900

306 Davis St · Greeneville, TN 37743
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 846 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1935 8,276 sqft lot Est $146k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investors looking to Invest! Great in-town location. Zoned B4 Just off the main entrance to Greeneville. Newer roof proximity 4 years old. Previous rental property. Rents for $500 per month. The home is being painted. More pictures to come! buyer's agent or buyers to verify Information!

Key facts

  • 8,276 sq ft lot
  • Built 1935
  • Listed 31 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 56 x 150 (0.19 acre)
  • Financial info: No financial or investor-specific details listed
  • HOA & community: No HOA information listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; no garage
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected; Cable available and connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; One level; B4 zoning
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a house (year not provided)
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Level to sloped topography

Interior

  • Kitchen: Other appliances (details not specified)
  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (bedroom breakdown not specified)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No cooling (no central air listed)
  • Interior features: Other interior features (see remarks); Two fireplaces (details/remarks)
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry details listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $107,900 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$145,512) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $106k (1.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $105k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.7% in Greeneville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#125 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Greeneville (town): math 31% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #45 of 139 in TN (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Highland Elementary (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #709 of 952 statewide, top 77%, 159 students, 0% FRL); Greeneville Middle School (math 28% / reading 26%, grade F, #128 of 333 statewide, top 40%, 571 students, 0% FRL); Greeneville High School (math 42% / reading 55%, grade D, #13 of 332 statewide, top 4%, 958 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 252 active listings in the ZIP; 333 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $746 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Greene County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $8k; list at $108k implies a 1339% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1935 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $104,663 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1935 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.49%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$145,512
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
714 Floral St 0.26mi 2/1.0 843 (-0%) 8mo $145,000 $172 80
304 Highland Ave 0.45mi 2/1.0 905 (+7%) 2mo $62,000 $69 66
327 Floral St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (+1) 924 (+9%) 20mo $35,000 $38 57
816 Carson St 0.63mi 2/1.0 800 (-5%) 7mo $152,000 $190 56
320 Highland Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 903 (+7%) 6mo $55,000 $61 54
104 Clem St 0.17mi 2/1.0 750 (-11%) 22mo $128,000 $171 54
330 Church St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 860 (+2%) 3mo $210,000 $244 54
700 Church St 0.43mi 2/2.0 872 (+3%) 21mo $168,750 $194 54
211 Home St 0.40mi 2/1.0 912 (+8%) 23mo $170,000 $186 49
822 Carson St 0.64mi 2/1.0 825 (-2%) 24mo $194,000 $235 46
128 Unaka Aly 0.74mi 2/1.0 910 (+8%) 17mo $152,000 $167 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.9%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-5,511
Equity at exit
$16,088
10-year hold
IRR
4.7%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$10,501
Equity at exit
$9,329

Cash invested: $30,212 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37743

Home prices YoY
-8.5%
Active inventory
252
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,063 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$566
Tax from tax record
$40 /mo · $483/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$223
Net cashflow
$189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $824
Max offer price $107,900
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,975
Closing costs
$3,237
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $107,900 Active 32 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $107,900 Active 31 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $107,900 Active 30 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $107,900 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $107,900 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $107,900 Active 26 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $107,900 Active 25 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $107,900 Active 22 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $107,900 Active 21 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $107,900 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $107,900 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $107,900 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $107,900 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $107,900 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $107,900 Active 12 DOM
  16. 2026-05-18
    listed $107,900 Active
  17. 2005-11-14
    soldstatus $7,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$483 · $40/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$766 · $64/mo
Expected delta
+$283/yr (+$24/mo · 58.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,755
− Mortgage interest
−$6,044
− Property taxes
−$483
− Insurance
−$540
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,020
− Management
−$1,020
− Depreciation
−$3,139
Taxable income
$509
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$122
After-tax cash flow
$2,142/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greeneville
NCES district ID
4701500
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$32,683
Composite
26.62/100
National rank
#7176
State rank
#45 of 139 in TN

Livability — Greeneville

Score
66/100
State rank
#125
US rank
#11825

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greeneville, TN
County
Greene County · 45,638 people
City population
45,638
Metro
Greeneville, TN
Population (ZIP)
24,548
Household income
$54,566
Rent vs Own
23.3% rent · 76.7% own
Severe rent burden
390.0

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,624 people
By 2030
68,114 · -0.7%
By 2040
66,167 · -3.6%
By 2050
63,038 · -8.1%
By 2075
55,274 · -19.5%
By 2100
45,527 · -33.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Solid R (+65.7) · D 16.6% · R 82.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-25.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -65.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+65.7 2020: R+60.7 2016: R+61.0 2012: R+46.0 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -28.08%
Current HPI
303.4589
Rent YoY
Metro
Greeneville, TN
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1338.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $107,900 TVRMLS
  • 2005-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $7,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $483 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…