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32 Custer St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B Composite 71.12
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,999

32 Custer St · Buffalo, NY 14214
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,016 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1925 2,775 sqft lot $89/sqft · 56% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent investment opportunity in University District! 4 bdrm 1 bath very well maintained. Newer vinyl windows (3yrs), newer siding, roof - 7yrs, newer HWT, newer stove and fridge included. Newer front/rear porches and steps. Owner has been renting for 17 years. Current rent at $800 per month. Show & Sell!

Key facts

  • 2,775 sq ft lot
  • Built 1925
  • Listed 8 days

Tags

MAINTENANCE-FREE EXTERIORUPDATED VINYL WINDOWSSPACIOUS LIVING AREAS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; No driveway
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-story property; Existing condition
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas hot water heating
  • Interior features: Separate/formal living room; Open living/dining area; Bedroom on main level; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $89,999 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$202,524) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $945 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 90 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $46k; list at $90k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $89,999

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.09%
Cap rate
18.89%
Cash-on-cash
44.99%
DSCR
3.00
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$202,524
List price
$89,999
Delta
-55.56%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
44 Custer St 0.03mi 4/1.0 918 (-10%) 11mo $165,000 $180 74
22 Bruce St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,106 (+9%) 11mo $180,000 $163 61
96 Winspear Ave 0.30mi 3/1.0 (-1) 918 (-10%) 10mo $175,000 $191 56
33 Nicholson St 0.52mi 4/1.0 1,119 (+10%) 8mo $230,000 $206 53
160 Nicholson St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,080 (+6%) 4mo $239,900 $222 52
19 Seattle St 0.68mi 3/1.5 (-1) 988 (-3%) 10mo $211,150 $214 49
135 Tyler St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (-1) 882 (-13%) 13mo $100,000 $113 48
195 Merrimac St 0.35mi 4/2.0 1,149 (+13%) 14mo $228,000 $198 46
116 Dunlop Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 (-1) 962 (-5%) 13mo $180,000 $187 46
133 Dunlop Ave 0.69mi 3/1.0 (-1) 962 (-5%) 12mo $115,000 $120 44
296 Parkridge Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,155 (+14%) 7mo $175,000 $152 39
155 Hewitt Ave 0.74mi 4/1.0 1,168 (+15%) 9mo $195,000 $167 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.81% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.1%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$51,044
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
52.1%
Equity multiple
6.78×
Total profit
$145,626
Equity at exit
$7,781

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14214

Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
90
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,881 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$32 /mo · $383/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$395
Net cashflow
$945

Break-even live

Break-even rent $685
Max offer price $89,999
Occupancy floor 45%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $996 -5% $970 +0% $945 +5% $919 +10% $894
Rent -10% $796 -5% $871 +0% $945 +5% $1,019 +10% $1,094
Rate -1.0pp $990 -0.5pp $968 base $945 +0.5pp $922 +1.0pp $898

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 17 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
65 Northrup Pl Buffalo, NY 5.0 2.0 1467 $2,500 $1.70 15d 1 0.25mi
60 Englewood Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1400 $1,650 $1.18 2d 1 0.30mi
89 Lasalle Ave Buffalo, NY 1.0–4.0 1.0–4.0 1024 $2,997 $2.93 2d 10 0.32mi
163 Carmel Rd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,800 $1.29 3d 1 0.45mi
222 Lisbon Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1300 $1,400 $1.08 24d 1 0.46mi
222 Lisbon Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,400 $1.00 44d 1 0.46mi
263 Minnesota Ave Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1242 $1,500 $1.21 15d 1 0.54mi
265 Lisbon Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 44d 1 0.55mi
33 Tillotson Pl Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1143 $2,095 $1.83 15d 1 0.73mi
140 Parkridge Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 990 $1,500 $1.52 44d 1 0.86mi
76 Vernon Pl Unit Upper Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,595 $1.34 15d 1 1.00mi
76 Vernon Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1190 $1,445 $1.21 15d 1 1.00mi
414 Taunton Pl Unit Lowet Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1232 $1,700 $1.38 15d 1 1.06mi
348 Capen Blvd Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.5 1424 $2,200 $1.54 2d 1 1.17mi
189 Westminster Ave Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.5 1065 $1,595 $1.50 11d 1 1.26mi
97 Davidson Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 925 $1,495 $1.62 2d 1 1.31mi
151 Lamson Rd Buffalo, NY 4.0 2.0 1382 $2,350 $1.70 17d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $89,999 Active 517-char remark
  2. 2022-09-07
    historical
  3. 2022-08-09
    status Active
  4. 2022-05-26
    status Pending Sale
  5. 2022-05-17
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
  6. 2022-04-15
    listed $129,000 Active
  7. 2013-04-26
    soldstatus $46,000
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in University District! 4 bdrm 1 bath very well maintained. Newer vinyl windows (3yrs), newer siding, roof - 7yrs, newer HWT, newer stove and fridge included. Newer front/rear porches and steps. Owner has been renting for 17 years. Current rent at $800 per month. Show & Sell!

  8. 2013-04-26
    soldstatus $46,000
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in University District! 4 bdrm 1 bath very well maintained. Newer vinyl windows (3yrs), newer siding, roof - 7yrs, newer HWT, newer stove and fridge included. Newer front/rear porches and steps. Owner has been renting for 17 years. Current rent at $800 per month. Show & Sell!

  9. 2013-03-13
    listed $44,900
    Show marketing remark (315 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in University District! 4 bdrm 1 bath very well maintained. Newer vinyl windows (3yrs), newer siding, roof - 7yrs, newer HWT, newer stove and fridge included. Newer front/rear porches and steps. Owner has been renting for 17 years. Current rent at $800 per month. Show & Sell!

  10. 1996-07-19
    soldstatus $23,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$383 · $32/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$952 · $79/mo
Expected delta
+$569/yr (+$47/mo · 148.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,576
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$383
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,806
− Management
−$1,806
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$10,471
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,513
After-tax cash flow
$8,825/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
21,314
Household income
$58,228
Rent vs Own
57.7% rent · 42.3% own
Severe rent burden
1820.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 31% Asian 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, China
Languages at home
81% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -282.52%
Current HPI
373.377
Rent YoY
▲ 5.81%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+283.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $89,999 WNYREIS
  • 2022-09-07 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2022-08-09 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2022-05-26 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2022-05-17 Contingent WNYREIS
  • 2022-04-15 Listed $129,000 WNYREIS
  • 2013-04-26 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
  • 2013-04-26 Sold (MLS) $46,000 WNYREIS
  • 2013-03-13 Listed $44,900 WNYREIS
  • 1996-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $23,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $383 · -3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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