3394 SE 147th Pl · Belleview, FL 34491

$155,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,996 sqft · Manufactured public records · 2 Days on market

Built 1990 0.43 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +8.4/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

NEW HEAT PUMP, MICROWAVE, DISHWASHER (1YR OLD) CORNER FIREPLACE IN FAM ROOM, LRG MASTER SUITE W/ SPACIOUS BATH WALK-IN CLOSET PLUS 10X10 CONCRETE STORM SHELTER OFF MASTER BEDROOM. EXTERIOR HAS GUTTERS ALL AROUND, ROOF IS 3-4 YRS OLD AND SIDING REPLACED IN 1999, CHAIN LINK FENCE ALL AROUND.

Key facts

• Safe room
• Outdoor amenities
• Walk-in closet

Tags

• LARGE PRIMARY SUITE
• WALK-IN CLOSET
• SAFE ROOM
• STORM SHELTER
• ELECTRIC FIREPLACE
• OUTDOOR AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Unfurnished; Zoned R1; Lot dimensions approximately 150 x 125 (0.43 acres); Dirt road access

Exterior

• Parking: Covered parking; Carport (1 space); Garage with workshop
• Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
• Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One story; Faces west; Crawlspace foundation
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Built as a manufactured home
• Exterior features: Storage shed; Workshop; Corner lot

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Laminate
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Electric fireplace
• Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry inside

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $678 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
• Cap rate 11.5% vs local median 4.6% in Belleview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#458 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Marion Oaks Elementary School (math 38% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,575 of 2,144 statewide, top 74%, 939 students, 65% FRL); Belleview Middle School (math 49% / reading 50%, grade C, #259 of 571 statewide, top 46%, 1,573 students, 60% FRL); Belleview High School (math 31% / reading 46%, grade F, #321 of 667 statewide, top 49%, 1,783 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 713 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $90k; list at $155k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $155,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.34% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.54%
• Cash-on-cash: 18.74%
• DSCR: 1.83
• GRM: 6.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 10.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.41×
• Total profit: $18,005
• Equity at exit: $23,111

10-year hold

• IRR: 19.6%
• Equity multiple: 2.64×
• Total profit: $71,101
• Equity at exit: $13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 34491

• Home prices YoY: -35.0%
• Active inventory: 713
• Price-to-rent: 6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,072 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$813
• Tax from tax record: −$82 /mo · $987/yr
• Insurance: −$65
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$435
• Net cashflow: $678

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,215

Max offer price $155,000

Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $765	-5% $722	+0% $678	+5% $634	+10% $590
Rent	-10% $514	-5% $596	+0% $678	+5% $759	+10% $841
Rate	-1.0pp $756	-0.5pp $717	base $678	+0.5pp $637	+1.0pp $597

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $38,750
• Closing costs: $4,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3384 SE 138th St Summerfield, FL	3.0	2.0	1265	$1,745	$1.38	23d	1	0.92mi
3820 SE 136th Pl Summerfield, FL	3.0	2.0	1265	$1,745	$1.38	23d	1	1.16mi

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-06-03
   status $155,000 Pending 2 DOM
2. 2026-06-02
   days on market $155,000 Active 2 DOM
3. 2026-06-01
   remarks 699-char remark
4. 2026-06-01
   listed $155,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $987 · $82/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,286 · $107/mo
• Expected delta: +$300/yr (+$25/mo · 30.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,870
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,682
• − Property taxes: −$987
• − Insurance: −$775
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,990
• − Management: −$1,990
• − Depreciation: −$4,509
• Taxable income: $5,938
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,425
• After-tax cash flow: $6,707/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Marion
• NCES district ID: 1201260
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -7.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $40,015
• Composite: 35.61/100
• National rank: #4890
• State rank: #61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Belleview

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #458
• US rank: #8314

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Marion County · 315,796 people
• City population: 19,167
• Metro: Ocala, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,318
• Household income: $66,679
• Rent vs Own: 13.2% rent · 86.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 256.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 365,905 people
• By 2030: 376,768 · +3.0%
• By 2040: 396,555 · +8.4%
• By 2050: 412,723 · +12.8%
• By 2075: 446,090 · +21.9%
• By 2100: 436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 8% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -107.67%
• Current HPI: 200.0792
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Ocala, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+163.2% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-31 Listed $155,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2006-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
• 2006-02-03 Sold (MLS) $90,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2005-10-10 Listed $92,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2004-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $53,500 Public Records
• 2004-03-12 Sold (MLS) $53,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2004-01-12 Listed $58,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $987 · +28.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.