7401 Buhr St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sale to settle an estate - good solid home
Key facts
- 6,970 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1953
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $493 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($38k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $550 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $65k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.56%
- DSCR
- 2.18
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $93,130
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6839 Drake St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (-6%) | 16mo | $62,000 | $48 | 63 |
| 18811 Rogge St | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 | 1,343 (-3%) | 10mo | $125,000 | $93 | 59 |
| 6721 Buhr St | 0.28mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,212 (-13%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $78 | 56 |
| 7575 Quinn St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,504 (+8%) | 16mo | $40,000 | $27 | 51 |
| 18888 Concord St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,417 (+2%) | 18mo | $95,000 | $67 | 50 |
| 18665 Helen St | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-10%) | 9mo | $98,000 | $79 | 48 |
| 7525 E Robinwood St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,253 (-10%) | 13mo | $105,000 | $84 | 48 |
| 8135 E Hildale St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 | 1,221 (-12%) | 10mo | $72,000 | $59 | 47 |
| 18686 Helen St | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,254 (-10%) | 19mo | $30,000 | $24 | 44 |
| 19131 Cliff St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-7%) | 11mo | $90,000 | $69 | 39 |
| 19152 Helen St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,302 (-6%) | 15mo | $35,000 | $27 | 34 |
| 19143 Cliff St | 0.69mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,195 (-14%) | 15mo | $75,000 | $63 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $18,501
- Equity at exit
- $11,854
- IRR
- 28.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.54×
- Total profit
- $56,547
- Equity at exit
- $6,874
Cash invested: $22,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48212
- Home prices YoY
- -34.2%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,297 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$417
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $988/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $493
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $538 | -5% $515 | +0% $493 | +5% $470 | +10% $448 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $390 | -5% $441 | +0% $493 | +5% $544 | +10% $595 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $533 | -0.5pp $513 | base $493 | +0.5pp $472 | +1.0pp $451 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,875
- Closing costs
- $2,385
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7600 Dobel St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1234 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 17d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 19171 Cliff St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 17d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 18431 Teppert St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 2d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 11074 Kennebec St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 19415 Gable St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,373 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 11513 Greiner St Unit 11521 Greiner Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 942 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 18947 Runyon St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1614 | $1,100 | $0.68 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $975 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 979 | $975 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 18677 Moenart St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1470 | $1,200 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 20042 Rogge St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1232 | $1,394 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 2d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 17241 Rowe St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1316 | $1,450 | $1.10 | 18d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 5d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 19162 Conley St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 11700 Engleside St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,175 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2024-12-17status Pending
-
2023-05-09soldstatus $65,000
-
2023-02-28status Pending 42-char remark
Show marketing remark (42 chars)
Sale to settle an estate - good solid home
-
2023-02-28status Pending
Show marketing remark (42 chars)
Sale to settle an estate - good solid home
-
2023-01-25status Active 42-char remark
Show marketing remark (42 chars)
Sale to settle an estate - good solid home
-
2023-01-25status Active
Show marketing remark (42 chars)
Sale to settle an estate - good solid home
-
2023-01-16status Pending 42-char remark
Show marketing remark (42 chars)
Sale to settle an estate - good solid home
-
2023-01-16status Pending
Show marketing remark (42 chars)
Sale to settle an estate - good solid home
-
2023-01-13price $79,500 42-char remark
Show marketing remark (42 chars)
Sale to settle an estate - good solid home
-
2023-01-12price $79,500
-
2023-01-06$85,000 Active
Show marketing remark (42 chars)
Sale to settle an estate - good solid home
-
2023-01-06$85,000 Active 42-char remark
Show marketing remark (42 chars)
Sale to settle an estate - good solid home
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $988 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,106 · $92/mo
- Expected delta
- +$118/yr (+$10/mo · 12.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,569
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,453
- − Property taxes
- −$988
- − Insurance
- −$398
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,245
- − Management
- −$1,245
- − Depreciation
- −$2,313
- Taxable income
- $4,927
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,182
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,729/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,384
- Household income
- $38,186
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1175.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 43% Asian 29% Black 19% Two or more races 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Subsaharan African 1% American 1%
- Foreign-born
- 41%
- Languages at home
- 36% English-only · Other Indo-European 28% Arabic 28% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.41%
- Current HPI
- 292.9126
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-23.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2024-12-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $65,000 Public Records
- 2023-02-28 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-02-28 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-01-25 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-01-25 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2023-01-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-01-16 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-01-13 Price Changed $79,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-01-12 Price Changed $79,500 REALCOMP
- 2023-01-06 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-01-06 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-0.4%/yrLatest (2025): $988 · -10.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…