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8653 Hollyhock Ln
B Composite 70.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

8653 Hollyhock Ln · Harrisburg, OH 43146
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,038 sqft · Manufactured · 7 Days on market
Built 1977 $575/mo HOA · 31% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome home to Foxlair Farms! This well maintained mobile home sits on a corner lot that backs up to woods giving you a bigger yard and more privacy. The front deck provides a sitting area, walk inside to a large living room with a 4ft bump out, to the right is a bedroom and full bath, the kitchen provides ample storage space with a built in pantry and laundry off of the kitchen. You'll find the primary suite off the kitchen tucked at the back with a full bath, and walk-in closet. Outback you'll find another patio and space for entertaining. * All potential buyers must be approved through the park *

Key facts

  • Ample storage space
  • Front deck
  • Built in pantry

Tags

CORNER LOTBACKS UP TO WOODSFRONT DECKAMPLE STORAGE SPACEBUILT IN PANTRYWALK IN CLOSET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Foxlair Farms MHP, Darby township
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $575; HOA covers sewer and trash

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Private sewer; Well water
  • Home design: Single-story home; 1977 construction; Other residential without deeded land; No common walls
  • Construction: Slab foundation; Mobile unit dimensions: 67 ft long by 14 ft wide
  • Exterior features: Patio; Deck

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Fireplace (one); Living area approx. 1,038

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $432 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#942 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Westfall Local (rural): math 49% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #304 of 656 in OH (top 46%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 312 units permitted in Pickaway County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pickaway County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 31% of rent.
Recommended offer $65,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.84%
Cap rate
14.26%
Cash-on-cash
28.46%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.1%
Equity multiple
1.95×
Total profit
$17,343
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
31.3%
Equity multiple
3.86×
Total profit
$52,054
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43146

Home prices YoY
-26.8%
Active inventory
24
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,843 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax est. 1.5%
$81 /mo · $975/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$575
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$432

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,296
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$575 · $6,900/yr

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $65,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    remarks 610-char remark
  7. 2026-06-12
    listed $65,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,115
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$975
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,769
− Management
−$1,769
− HOA
−$6,900
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$4,845
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,163
After-tax cash flow
$4,018/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westfall Local
NCES district ID
3904910
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$63,733
Composite
50.25/100
National rank
#1891
State rank
#304 of 656 in OH

Livability — Harrisburg

Score
61/100
State rank
#942
US rank
#18192

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Pickaway · 57,589 people
City population
360
Metro
Columbus, OH
Population (ZIP)
13,325
Household income
$73,904
Rent vs Own
13.1% rent · 86.9% own

Population outlook (Pickaway County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,488 people
By 2030
60,400 · +1.5%
By 2040
61,498 · +3.4%
By 2050
61,478 · +3.3%
By 2075
59,696 · +0.3%
By 2100
51,458 · -13.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pickaway

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.5) · D 25.3% · R 73.8%
2008→2024 swing
-26.8pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -48.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.5 2020: R+47.0 2016: R+42.6 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+21.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.05%
Current HPI
271.1768
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+243.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-10 Listed $65,000 CBRMLS
  • 2007-01-02 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2006-09-01 Listed $8,500 CBRMLS
  • 2005-10-08 Listing Removed CBRMLS
  • 2005-04-07 Listed $18,900 CBRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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