126 Rainmaker Dr · Half Moon, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +9.3/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.
Key facts
- Welcoming kitchen
- Open floor plan
- Cul-de-sac
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoning: R-8M
- Financial info: Annual tax amount listed (see agent for details)
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete and paved parking areas
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Shed(s); Located on a cul-de-sac; Has view; Paved roads
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric cooktop; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
- Flooring: Carpet; See remarks
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; Ceiling fans; Window coverings; Crawl space
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dedicated laundry room; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (12.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $182k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.4% in Half Moon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#552 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Onslow County Schools (other): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #84 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Stateside Elementary (math 43% / reading 46%, grade F, #574 of 1,410 statewide, top 43%, 564 students, 41% FRL); Northwoods Park Middle (math 34% / reading 46%, grade F, #222 of 475 statewide, top 49%, 688 students, 52% FRL); Jacksonville High (math 52% / reading 66%, grade C+, #233 of 535 statewide, top 44%, 1,423 students, 44% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,246 units permitted in Onslow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($190k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.04%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $217,620
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124 Rainmaker Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-10%) | 10mo | $197,000 | $130 | 74 |
| 484 Briarneck Rd | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,674 (0%) | 3mo | $235,000 | $140 | 72 |
| 302 Hybrid Ct | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-3%) | 20mo | $189,900 | $117 | 70 |
| 201 Treetop Ct | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,725 (+3%) | 14mo | $195,000 | $113 | 63 |
| 108 Kayla Ct | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,728 (+3%) | 22mo | $205,000 | $119 | 59 |
| 125 Magnolia Gardens Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-10%) | 8mo | $205,000 | $136 | 56 |
| 306 Windy Branch Way | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-10%) | 21mo | $204,900 | $136 | 48 |
| 121 Old Beechtree Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-6%) | 23mo | $189,900 | $121 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.47% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-18,690
- Equity at exit
- $31,163
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $11,039
- Equity at exit
- $18,071
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28540
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 386
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,822 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $710/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $197
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $315 | -5% $256 | +0% $197 | +5% $138 | +10% $79 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $53 | -5% $125 | +0% $197 | +5% $269 | +10% $341 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $302 | -0.5pp $250 | base $197 | +0.5pp $143 | +1.0pp $88 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 Saw Briar Ct Jacksonville, NC | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2004 | $2,100 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 138 Briar Hollow Dr Jacksonville, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1785 | $1,895 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $209,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $209,000 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $209,000 Active 90 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $209,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $209,000 Active 88 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $209,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $209,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-13pricedays on market $209,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $214,900 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $214,900 Active 81 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $214,900 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $214,900 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $214,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $214,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $214,900 Active 73 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $214,900 Active 72 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $214,900 Active 71 DOM
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2026-03-20$214,900 Active
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2024-11-14soldstatus $194,000 Closed 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.
-
2024-11-14soldstatus $194,000
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.
-
2024-10-20status Pending 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.
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2024-10-15price $188,000 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.
-
2024-10-07price $192,000 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.
-
2024-09-19price $193,000 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.
-
2024-08-30status Active 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.
-
2024-08-07status Pending 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.
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2024-08-03$193,550 Active 580-char remark
Show marketing remark (580 chars)
This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.
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2021-11-29soldstatus $129,000 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
This beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath home is looking for someone to give it a little love. Come view this home to make make it yours.
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2021-09-15$135,000 128-char remark
Show marketing remark (128 chars)
This beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath home is looking for someone to give it a little love. Come view this home to make make it yours.
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2016-06-16soldstatus $53,500
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2016-02-25$53,500
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2011-07-11soldstatus $115,500
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2003-04-01soldstatus $87,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $710 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,714 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,004/yr (+$84/mo · 141.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,860
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$710
- − Insurance
- −$1,045
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,749
- − Management
- −$1,749
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable loss
- −$1,179
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$283
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,646/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Onslow County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703450
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▲ 6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,076
- Composite
- 38.66/100
- National rank
- #4148
- State rank
- #84 of 178 in NC
Livability — Half Moon
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #552
- US rank
- #20341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Onslow County · 164,453 people
- Metro
- Jacksonville, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,141
- Household income
- $65,625
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1304.0
Population outlook (Onslow County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,789 people
- By 2030
- 194,463 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 193,629 · +2.0%
- By 2050
- 193,248 · +1.8%
- By 2075
- 196,995 · +3.8%
- By 2100
- 201,513 · +6.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onslow
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.5% · R 67.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -35.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+34.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+21.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.11%
- Current HPI
- 219.5571
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.47%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+145.6% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-20 Listed $214,900 Hive MLS
- 2024-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $194,000 Public Records
- 2024-11-14 Sold (MLS) $194,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-10-20 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2024-10-15 Price Changed $188,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-10-07 Price Changed $192,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-09-19 Price Changed $193,000 Hive MLS
- 2024-08-30 Relisted — Hive MLS
- 2024-08-07 Pending — Hive MLS
- 2024-08-03 Listed $193,550 Hive MLS
- 2021-11-29 Sold (MLS) $129,000 Hive MLS
- 2021-09-15 Listed $135,000 Hive MLS
- 2016-06-16 Sold (MLS) $53,500 Hive MLS
- 2016-02-25 Listed $53,500 Hive MLS
- 2011-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $115,500 Public Records
- 2003-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $710 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…