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126 Rainmaker Dr
C- Composite 50.18
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.3/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$209,000

126 Rainmaker Dr · Half Moon, NC 28540
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,674 sqft · Manufactured public records · 93 Days on market
Built 2003 0.42 ac lot Est $218k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.

Key facts

  • Welcoming kitchen
  • Open floor plan
  • Cul-de-sac

Tags

CUL-DE-SACOPEN FLOOR PLANWELCOMING KITCHENCENTER ISLANDDEEP SOAKING TUBREAR DECK

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: R-8M
  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed (see agent for details)

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete and paved parking areas
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Water connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Frame construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Shed(s); Located on a cul-de-sac; Has view; Paved roads

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric cooktop; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 6
  • Flooring: Carpet; See remarks
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-in closets; Ceiling fans; Window coverings; Crawl space
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dedicated laundry room; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $209k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $197 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (12.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.4% in Half Moon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#552 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
  • Onslow County Schools (other): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #84 of 178 in NC (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Stateside Elementary (math 43% / reading 46%, grade F, #574 of 1,410 statewide, top 43%, 564 students, 41% FRL); Northwoods Park Middle (math 34% / reading 46%, grade F, #222 of 475 statewide, top 49%, 688 students, 52% FRL); Jacksonville High (math 52% / reading 66%, grade C+, #233 of 535 statewide, top 44%, 1,423 students, 44% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,246 units permitted in Onslow County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($190k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,170 (12.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.04%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$217,620
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
124 Rainmaker Dr 0.05mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-10%) 10mo $197,000 $130 74
484 Briarneck Rd 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,674 (0%) 3mo $235,000 $140 72
302 Hybrid Ct 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,620 (-3%) 20mo $189,900 $117 70
201 Treetop Ct 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,725 (+3%) 14mo $195,000 $113 63
108 Kayla Ct 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,728 (+3%) 22mo $205,000 $119 59
125 Magnolia Gardens Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-10%) 8mo $205,000 $136 56
306 Windy Branch Way 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,512 (-10%) 21mo $204,900 $136 48
121 Old Beechtree Ln 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-6%) 23mo $189,900 $121 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.47% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.6%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-18,690
Equity at exit
$31,163
10-year hold
IRR
2.5%
Equity multiple
1.19×
Total profit
$11,039
Equity at exit
$18,071

Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28540

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
386
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,822 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,096
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $710/yr
Insurance
$87
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$383
Net cashflow
$197

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,572
Max offer price $209,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $315 -5% $256 +0% $197 +5% $138 +10% $79
Rent -10% $53 -5% $125 +0% $197 +5% $269 +10% $341
Rate -1.0pp $302 -0.5pp $250 base $197 +0.5pp $143 +1.0pp $88

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,250
Closing costs
$6,270
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
203 Saw Briar Ct Jacksonville, NC 4.0 2.0 2004 $2,100 $1.05 14d 1 0.69mi
138 Briar Hollow Dr Jacksonville, NC 3.0 2.5 1785 $1,895 $1.06 22d 1 0.81mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $209,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $209,000 Active 91 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $209,000 Active 90 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $209,000 Active 89 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $209,000 Active 88 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $209,000 Active 87 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $209,000 Active 85 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $209,000 Active 84 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $214,900 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $214,900 Active 81 DOM
  11. 2026-06-09
    days on market $214,900 Active 80 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $214,900 Active 79 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $214,900 Active 75 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $214,900 Active 74 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $214,900 Active 73 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $214,900 Active 72 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $214,900 Active 71 DOM
  18. 2026-03-20
    listed $214,900 Active
  19. 2024-11-14
    soldstatus $194,000 Closed 580-char remark
    Show marketing remark (580 chars)

    This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.

  20. 2024-11-14
    soldstatus $194,000
    Show marketing remark (580 chars)

    This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.

  21. 2024-10-20
    status Pending 580-char remark
    Show marketing remark (580 chars)

    This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.

  22. 2024-10-15
    price $188,000 580-char remark
    Show marketing remark (580 chars)

    This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.

  23. 2024-10-07
    price $192,000 580-char remark
    Show marketing remark (580 chars)

    This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.

  24. 2024-09-19
    price $193,000 580-char remark
    Show marketing remark (580 chars)

    This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.

  25. 2024-08-30
    status Active 580-char remark
    Show marketing remark (580 chars)

    This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.

  26. 2024-08-07
    status Pending 580-char remark
    Show marketing remark (580 chars)

    This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.

  27. 2024-08-03
    listed $193,550 Active 580-char remark
    Show marketing remark (580 chars)

    This lovely manufactured home is situated on a spacious cul-de-sac lot, offering plenty of room to enjoy. The interior features both a living room and a family room, providing ample space for relaxation and entertaining. The large kitchen boasts plenty of counter space, perfect for meal prep and hosting gatherings. You'll also find a convenient separate laundry/mud room. The primary bedroom is generously sized, and the en-suite bathroom includes both a tub and a shower. Outside, the backyard features a large deck and a storage shed, offering additional space for your needs.

  28. 2021-11-29
    soldstatus $129,000 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    This beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath home is looking for someone to give it a little love. Come view this home to make make it yours.

  29. 2021-09-15
    listed $135,000 128-char remark
    Show marketing remark (128 chars)

    This beautiful 3 bedroom 2 bath home is looking for someone to give it a little love. Come view this home to make make it yours.

  30. 2016-06-16
    soldstatus $53,500
  31. 2016-02-25
    listed $53,500
  32. 2011-07-11
    soldstatus $115,500
  33. 2003-04-01
    soldstatus $87,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$710 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,714 · $143/mo
Expected delta
+$1,004/yr (+$84/mo · 141.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,860
− Mortgage interest
−$11,707
− Property taxes
−$710
− Insurance
−$1,045
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,749
− Management
−$1,749
− Depreciation
−$6,080
Taxable loss
−$1,179
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$283
After-tax cash flow
$2,646/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Onslow County Schools
NCES district ID
3703450
Math proficiency
42% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$46,076
Composite
38.66/100
National rank
#4148
State rank
#84 of 178 in NC

Livability — Half Moon

Score
59/100
State rank
#552
US rank
#20341

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Onslow County · 164,453 people
Metro
Jacksonville, NC
Population (ZIP)
49,141
Household income
$65,625
Rent vs Own
38.2% rent · 61.8% own
Severe rent burden
1304.0

Population outlook (Onslow County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
189,789 people
By 2030
194,463 · +2.5%
By 2040
193,629 · +2.0%
By 2050
193,248 · +1.8%
By 2075
196,995 · +3.8%
By 2100
201,513 · +6.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onslow

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.9) · D 31.5% · R 67.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.5pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -35.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.9 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+34.6 2012: R+27.0 2008: R+21.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.11%
Current HPI
219.5571
Rent YoY
▲ 4.47%
Metro
Jacksonville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+145.6% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $214,900 Hive MLS
  • 2024-11-14 Sold (Public Records) $194,000 Public Records
  • 2024-11-14 Sold (MLS) $194,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-10-20 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2024-10-15 Price Changed $188,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-10-07 Price Changed $192,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-09-19 Price Changed $193,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-08-30 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2024-08-07 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2024-08-03 Listed $193,550 Hive MLS
  • 2021-11-29 Sold (MLS) $129,000 Hive MLS
  • 2021-09-15 Listed $135,000 Hive MLS
  • 2016-06-16 Sold (MLS) $53,500 Hive MLS
  • 2016-02-25 Listed $53,500 Hive MLS
  • 2011-07-11 Sold (Public Records) $115,500 Public Records
  • 2003-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $710 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…