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17 Christy St Duplex
B- Composite 69.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

17 Christy St · Silver Creek, NY 14136
5 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,881 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 153 Days on market
Built 1900 5,630 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Great income property. You'll want to see this very nice duplex apartment house--live in one unit and let the other pay your mortgage. It's located in a quiet Silver Creek neighborhood and features newer windows and 30 year roof; 2-bedroom/1-bath unit rents for $575/mo. plus gas, electric & sewer; 3-bedroom/1.5-bath unit rents for $650/mo. plus gas, electric & sewer; full basement, all new exterior doors, both units have newer 100 amp breaker boxes and newer hot water tanks. Stove and refrigerator stay in one unit, refrigerator only stays in the other unit. Unit 1 has walk-up attic with two large rooms that could be another bedroom, playroom or office. Call soon.

Key facts

  • Separate utilities
  • Close to restaurants
  • Two-family duplex

Tags

TWO-FAMILY DUPLEXCORNER LOTSEPARATE UTILITIESPEACEFUL NEIGHBORHOODCLOSE TO SUNSET BAYCLOSE TO RESTAURANTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.2-bath units multifamily listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $695 ($8k/yr) — positive. Per door: $348/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $128k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#698 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Silver Creek Central School District (rural): math 43% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #435 of 590 in NY (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($128k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $68k; list at $145k implies a 113% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $127,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
12.05%
Cash-on-cash
20.56%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
1.51×
Total profit
$20,864
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$75,485
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14136

Home prices YoY
-4.1%
Active inventory
29
Price-to-rent
10.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,239 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$254 /mo · $3,043/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$470
Net cashflow
$695

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,359
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 64%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,239

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-17
    price $144,900
  3. 2026-01-14
    price $159,900
  4. 2025-11-12
    listed $164,900 Active
  5. 2019-05-24
    soldstatus $68,100 Closed Sale or Rented 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Great income property. You'll want to see this very nice duplex apartment house--live in one unit and let the other pay your mortgage. It's located in a quiet Silver Creek neighborhood and features newer windows and 30 year roof; 2-bedroom/1-bath unit rents for $575/mo. plus gas, electric & sewer; 3-bedroom/1.5-bath unit rents for $650/mo. plus gas, electric & sewer; full basement, all new exterior doors, both units have newer 100 amp breaker boxes and newer hot water tanks. Stove and refrigerator stay in one unit, refrigerator only stays in the other unit. Unit 1 has walk-up attic with two large rooms that could be another bedroom, playroom or office. Call soon.

  6. 2019-05-24
    soldstatus $68,100
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Great income property. You'll want to see this very nice duplex apartment house--live in one unit and let the other pay your mortgage. It's located in a quiet Silver Creek neighborhood and features newer windows and 30 year roof; 2-bedroom/1-bath unit rents for $575/mo. plus gas, electric & sewer; 3-bedroom/1.5-bath unit rents for $650/mo. plus gas, electric & sewer; full basement, all new exterior doors, both units have newer 100 amp breaker boxes and newer hot water tanks. Stove and refrigerator stay in one unit, refrigerator only stays in the other unit. Unit 1 has walk-up attic with two large rooms that could be another bedroom, playroom or office. Call soon.

  7. 2019-04-21
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Great income property. You'll want to see this very nice duplex apartment house--live in one unit and let the other pay your mortgage. It's located in a quiet Silver Creek neighborhood and features newer windows and 30 year roof; 2-bedroom/1-bath unit rents for $575/mo. plus gas, electric & sewer; 3-bedroom/1.5-bath unit rents for $650/mo. plus gas, electric & sewer; full basement, all new exterior doors, both units have newer 100 amp breaker boxes and newer hot water tanks. Stove and refrigerator stay in one unit, refrigerator only stays in the other unit. Unit 1 has walk-up attic with two large rooms that could be another bedroom, playroom or office. Call soon.

  8. 2019-01-09
    listed $69,900 Active 683-char remark
    Show marketing remark (683 chars)

    Great income property. You'll want to see this very nice duplex apartment house--live in one unit and let the other pay your mortgage. It's located in a quiet Silver Creek neighborhood and features newer windows and 30 year roof; 2-bedroom/1-bath unit rents for $575/mo. plus gas, electric & sewer; 3-bedroom/1.5-bath unit rents for $650/mo. plus gas, electric & sewer; full basement, all new exterior doors, both units have newer 100 amp breaker boxes and newer hot water tanks. Stove and refrigerator stay in one unit, refrigerator only stays in the other unit. Unit 1 has walk-up attic with two large rooms that could be another bedroom, playroom or office. Call soon.

  9. 2017-04-10
    listed $69,900
  10. 2014-04-10
    soldstatus $60,500
  11. 2014-04-04
    soldstatus $60,500
  12. 2014-04-04
    soldstatus $57,000
  13. 2013-09-16
    listed $59,900
  14. 2013-09-13
    listed $59,900
  15. 2012-02-01
    listed $55,900
  16. 2004-10-19
    soldstatus $56,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,043 · $254/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,043 · $254/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,868
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$3,043
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,149
− Management
−$2,149
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable income
$6,470
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,553
After-tax cash flow
$6,787/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Silver Creek Central School District
NCES district ID
3626880
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$48,212
Composite
40.1/100
National rank
#3804
State rank
#435 of 590 in NY

Livability — Silver Creek

Score
65/100
State rank
#698
US rank
#13141

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Silver Creek, NY
Population (ZIP)
5,274

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
123,454 people
By 2030
118,509 · -4.0%
By 2040
107,311 · -13.1%
By 2050
96,703 · -21.7%
By 2075
76,757 · -37.8%
By 2100
60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 9% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

2024 margin
Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -12.33%
Current HPI
291.4708
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+158.8% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-03-17 Price Changed $144,900 UNYREIS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $159,900 UNYREIS
  • 2025-11-12 Listed $164,900 UNYREIS
  • 2019-05-24 Sold (Public Records) $68,100 Public Records
  • 2019-05-24 Sold (MLS) $68,100 UNYREIS
  • 2019-04-21 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2019-01-09 Listed $69,900 UNYREIS
  • 2017-04-10 Listed $69,900 UNYREIS
  • 2014-04-10 Sold (MLS) $60,500 UNYREIS
  • 2014-04-04 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
  • 2014-04-04 Sold (MLS) $60,500 WNYREIS
  • 2013-09-16 Listed $59,900 WNYREIS
  • 2013-09-13 Listed $59,900 UNYREIS
  • 2012-02-01 Listed $55,900 UNYREIS
  • 2004-10-19 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,043 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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