1515 E 13th St · Hibbing, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Many updates: Fresh paint and floor coverings. Main floor laundry. Bath on every floor. Over size two stall garage. Newer appliances. Some plumbing and electrical upgrades.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1915
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath other listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $281 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.4% in Hibbing — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#103 in MN, #2,307 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Hibbing Public School District (town): math 43% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #150 of 301 in MN (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 96 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $130k implies a 952% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.26%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,206
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $20,117
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55746
- Home prices YoY
- -18.7%
- Active inventory
- 96
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,399 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,070/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $281
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Southview Dr Hibbing, MN | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 833 | $1,072 | $1.29 | 13d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1605 E 29th St Hibbing, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,160 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1606 E 29th St Hibbing, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,160 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1627 E 29th St Hibbing, MN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,535 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1643 E 29th St Hibbing, MN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,160 | $1.16 | 13d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-02days on market $129,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $129,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $129,900 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Many updates: Fresh paint and floor coverings. Main floor laundry. Bath on every floor. Over size two stall garage. Newer appliances. Some plumbing and electrical upgrades.
-
2026-03-27price $149,900 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Many updates: Fresh paint and floor coverings. Main floor laundry. Bath on every floor. Over size two stall garage. Newer appliances. Some plumbing and electrical upgrades.
-
2026-02-11$159,900 Active 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Many updates: Fresh paint and floor coverings. Main floor laundry. Bath on every floor. Over size two stall garage. Newer appliances. Some plumbing and electrical upgrades.
-
2014-12-01soldstatus $12,350 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
Good solid home in need of a few repairs. The main floor has a large Living Room, kitchen with dining area and a formal dining room. One room finished in the basement could be a family room or another bedroom but no egress window. There is also a nice workshop area in the basement. Large deck, screen porch and a newer garage. This home qualifies for HomePath or Homepath renovation financing with as little as 3% down. www.homepath.com
-
2014-11-10soldstatus $22,000
-
2014-08-11$38,900
-
2014-08-08$38,900 440-char remark
Show marketing remark (440 chars)
Good solid home in need of a few repairs. The main floor has a large Living Room, kitchen with dining area and a formal dining room. One room finished in the basement could be a family room or another bedroom but no egress window. There is also a nice workshop area in the basement. Large deck, screen porch and a newer garage. This home qualifies for HomePath or Homepath renovation financing with as little as 3% down. www.homepath.com
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,070 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,262 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$192/yr (+$16/mo · 18.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,785
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$1,070
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,343
- − Management
- −$1,343
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable income
- $1,325
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$318
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,048/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hibbing Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2713980
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,666
- Composite
- 40.7/100
- National rank
- #3667
- State rank
- #150 of 301 in MN
Livability — Hibbing
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #103
- US rank
- #2307
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hibbing, MN
- County
- Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
- City population
- 16,730
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,730
- Household income
- $55,823
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 623.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -50.85%
- Current HPI
- 220.7198
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+233.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $129,900 RAOR
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $149,900 RAOR
- 2026-02-11 Listed $159,900 RAOR
- 2014-12-01 Sold (MLS) $12,350 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-11-10 Sold (MLS) $22,000 RAOR
- 2014-08-11 Listed $38,900 RAOR
- 2014-08-08 Listed $38,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,070 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…