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97 Robin Ln
D Composite 41.37
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +0.7/10.0

$150,000

97 Robin Ln · Millcreek, PA 16258
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 780 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 60 Days on market
Built 1956 1.00 ac lot $192/sqft · 33% below area Est $225k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming country retreat offering a peaceful setting and plenty of potential! This well-maintained 2-bedroom, 1-bath home features a newer metal roof and has been cared for with pride. Whether you're looking for a weekend getaway, hunting camp, or a full-time residence, this property fits the bill. The two-stall garage provides ample storage for vehicles, tools, or recreational equipment. . Ready for its next owner—come enjoy the simplicity and serenity of country living!

Key facts

  • Two stall garage
  • Newer metal roof
  • Extra .5 acre lot

Tags

NEWER METAL ROOFTWO STALL GARAGEEXTRA .5 ACRE LOT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Off-street parking
  • Utilities: Septic tank; Cistern water source
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; Metal roof
  • Construction: Metal roof
  • Exterior features: 1-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Oil heating
  • Interior features: Walk-out basement; Wood-burning fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-211 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $113k (24.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (43.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (43.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Clarion-Limestone Area SD (rural): math 48% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #116 of 539 in PA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Clarion-Limestone El Sch (math 47% / reading 69%, grade C+, #430 of 1,518 statewide, top 29%, 425 students, 53% FRL); Clarion-Limestone Area Jshs (math 52% / reading 52%, grade D+, #115 of 437 statewide, top 27%, 353 students, 39% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Clarion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
  • Clarion County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $85,396 (43.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 43% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.57%
Cap rate
4.61%
Cash-on-cash
-6.02%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
14.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$224,555
List price
$150,000
Delta
-33.20%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.9%
Equity multiple
1.11×
Total profit
$4,559
Equity at exit
$67,446
10-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.83×
Total profit
$34,967
Equity at exit
$103,943

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16258

Active inventory
8
Price-to-rent
14.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$854 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $437/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$179
Net cashflow
$-211

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,121
Max offer price $112,749
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-126 -5% $-168 +0% $-211 +5% $-253 +10% $-296
Rent -10% $-278 -5% $-245 +0% $-211 +5% $-177 +10% $-143
Rate -1.0pp $-135 -0.5pp $-173 base $-211 +0.5pp $-250 +1.0pp $-289

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 60 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $150,000 Active 59 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 52 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $150,000 Active 51 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $150,000 Active 44 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 39 DOM
  17. 2026-04-22
    listed $150,000 Active 482-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$437 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,403 · $117/mo
Expected delta
+$967/yr (+$81/mo · 221.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,248
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$437
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$820
− Management
−$820
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$5,345
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,283
After-tax cash flow
$-1,248/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Clarion-Limestone Area SD
NCES district ID
4206090
Math proficiency
48% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
65% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$40,876
Composite
47.24/100
National rank
#2313
State rank
#116 of 539 in PA

Livability — Millcreek

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
1,870

Population outlook (Clarion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
37,796 people
By 2030
36,830 · -2.6%
By 2040
34,113 · -9.7%
By 2050
31,092 · -17.7%
By 2075
24,200 · -36.0%
By 2100
18,737 · -50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 8% Danish 6% Italian 4%
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Clarion

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.1) · D 23.1% · R 76.2%
2008→2024 swing
-30.7pp toward R · 2008: -22.4pp · 2024: -53.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.1 2020: R+50.8 2016: R+47.4 2012: R+36.1 2008: R+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
Current HPI
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $150,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+20.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $437 · +738.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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