424 Southview Dr · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Very clean South Toledo home offering 3 bedrooms, new carpet in the living room and newer vinyl windows throughout. 1 car garage with additional workshop attached. Newer GFA furnace & c/a. Spacious eat-in kitchen. Fenced in back yard. Freshly painted on the inside. Extra closet space for storage.
Key facts
- Updated interiors
- Full basement
- Strong rental market
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located in Southway Park subdivision; Located in Lucas County
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family house; One story; Entry level: Main; No common walls
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation; Built as residential single family residence
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (main level)
- Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (main level); Bedroom 3 (main level)
- Flooring: Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Other interior details
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $538 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 19.5% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Burroughs Elementary School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,337 of 1,584 statewide, top 86%, 311 students, 0% FRL); Bowsher High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #596 of 781 statewide, top 76%, 1,240 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 72% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 41% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $706 of equity ($339 loan paydown + $367 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 47.07%
- DSCR
- 3.09
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $96,956
- List price
- $49,000
- Delta
- -49.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 532 Colima Dr | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,052 (-7%) | 4mo | $56,500 | $54 | 80 |
| 535 Thad St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 1,096 (-3%) | 10mo | $45,000 | $41 | 80 |
| 551 Andora Dr | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,146 (+2%) | 10mo | $127,000 | $111 | 75 |
| 2828 South Ave | 0.20mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (+7%) | 7mo | $58,500 | $49 | 74 |
| 2437 Airport Hwy | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,190 (+6%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $88 | 73 |
| 725 S Westwood Ave | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,148 (+2%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $109 | 71 |
| 576 Bronx Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 | 1,016 (-10%) | 8mo | $64,350 | $63 | 67 |
| 436 Danberry St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,179 (+5%) | 10mo | $95,000 | $81 | 62 |
| 2244 Dunham St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,028 (-9%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $92 | 57 |
| 638 Foredale Ave | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,078 (-4%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $70 | 54 |
| 226 Somerset St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,186 (+5%) | 5mo | $53,000 | $45 | 53 |
| 2333 Dana St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 968 (-14%) | 10mo | $69,475 | $72 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.75% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 54.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.96×
- Total profit
- $40,584
- Equity at exit
- $16,092
- IRR
- 58.2%
- Equity multiple
- 9.39×
- Total profit
- $115,064
- Equity at exit
- $20,901
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43609
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,173 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax from tax record
- −$111 /mo · $1,333/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $538
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $566 | -5% $552 | +0% $538 | +5% $524 | +10% $510 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $446 | -5% $492 | +0% $538 | +5% $585 | +10% $631 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $563 | -0.5pp $551 | base $538 | +0.5pp $525 | +1.0pp $513 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 569 Colima Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1253 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 581 Colima Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 619 Durango Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1276 | $1,350 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 2314 Airline Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1123 | $1,478 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 307 Danberry St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $950 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2044 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3349 Airport Hwy Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 791 | $885 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3406 Gibraltar Heights Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 678 | $919 | $1.35 | 14d | 14 | 1.08mi |
| 3310 Arlington Ave Unit 4 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $795 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3310 Arlington Ave Unit 8 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $850 | $1.00 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3320 Arlington Ave Apt 2 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $795 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 3313 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 778 | $900 | $1.16 | 14d | 8 | 1.19mi |
| 3348 Arlington Ave Apt 10 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $795 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1734 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 916 S Byrne Rd Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $899 | $1.00 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1255 S Byrne Rd Toledo, OH | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1080 | $1,529 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1223 Oak Hill Ct Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $989 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 932 Turner Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1510 Watova Rd Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1197 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1785 Tecumseh St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $900 | $0.97 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 523 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,350 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 705 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $900 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 532 Carlton St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 319 N Detroit Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1341 | $845 | $0.63 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3776 Hill Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $735 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 915 Woodstock Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 724 Spencer St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1127 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-11$49,000 Active 1104-char remark
-
2025-10-14price $31,900 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Very clean South Toledo home offering 3 bedrooms, new carpet in the living room and newer vinyl windows throughout. 1 car garage with additional workshop attached. Newer GFA furnace & c/a. Spacious eat-in kitchen. Fenced in back yard. Freshly painted on the inside. Extra closet space for storage.
-
2016-08-05soldstatus $31,900 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Very clean South Toledo home offering 3 bedrooms, new carpet in the living room and newer vinyl windows throughout. 1 car garage with additional workshop attached. Newer GFA furnace & c/a. Spacious eat-in kitchen. Fenced in back yard. Freshly painted on the inside. Extra closet space for storage.
-
2016-07-28price $34,900 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Very clean South Toledo home offering 3 bedrooms, new carpet in the living room and newer vinyl windows throughout. 1 car garage with additional workshop attached. Newer GFA furnace & c/a. Spacious eat-in kitchen. Fenced in back yard. Freshly painted on the inside. Extra closet space for storage.
-
2016-07-05$34,900 301-char remark
Show marketing remark (301 chars)
Very clean South Toledo home offering 3 bedrooms, new carpet in the living room and newer vinyl windows throughout. 1 car garage with additional workshop attached. Newer GFA furnace & c/a. Spacious eat-in kitchen. Fenced in back yard. Freshly painted on the inside. Extra closet space for storage.
-
1985-05-14soldstatus $42,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,333 · $111/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,333 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,075
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$1,333
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,126
- − Management
- −$1,126
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $6,075
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,458
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,000/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,404
- Household income
- $42,313
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1603.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Current HPI
- 235.2515
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.80%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+78.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Sold (MLS) $75,000 NORIS
- 2026-05-28 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $49,000 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $31,900 NORIS
- 2016-08-05 Sold (MLS) $31,900 NORIS
- 2016-07-28 Price Changed $34,900 NORIS
- 2016-07-05 Listed $34,900 NORIS
- 1985-05-14 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,333 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…