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7200 Geyer Springs Rd
B- Composite 69.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$55,200

7200 Geyer Springs Rd · Little Rock, AR 72209
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,605 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1967 7,840 sqft lot $34/sqft · 53% below area ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located at 7200 Geyer Springs Road, this property presents an opportunity for an investor with a vision. For the right buyer, this residence serves as a blank slate. Whether your goal is to create a high-yield long-term rental or a budget-conscious entry point for a local family, the potential for a strong return on investment is anchored in the low entry cost. This is a HUD owned property and is being sold as-is. No HVAC. Agents see remarks.

Key facts

  • Hud owned property
  • Low entry cost
  • Detached

Tags

HUD OWNED PROPERTYLOW ENTRY COSTDETACHED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $524 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Recommended offer: $54k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 4.1% in Little Rock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#22 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Little Rock School District (urban): math 23% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #183 of 238 in AR (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 81 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,006 units permitted in Pulaski County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($40k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $382 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pulaski County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.8% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $53,544 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.08%
Cap rate
17.68%
Cash-on-cash
40.66%
DSCR
2.81
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$117,738
List price
$55,200
Delta
-53.12%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7200 Geyer Springs Rd 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,605 (0%) 1mo $50,000 $31 99
5900 Windamere Dr 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,684 (+5%) 1mo $160,000 $95 59
21 Hanover Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,560 (-3%) 17mo $154,900 $99 54
5306 Dreher Ln 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,564 (-3%) 12mo $105,000 $67 52
13 Wanda Ln 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,444 (-10%) 11mo $50,000 $35 44
6214 W 83 Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,731 (+8%) 13mo $165,000 $95 43
6804 Lancaster Rd 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,828 (+14%) 11mo $96,100 $53 42
5405 Dreher Ln 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,389 (-14%) 10mo $178,000 $128 36
7601 Denise Dr 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,768 (+10%) 11mo $119,500 $68 35
6 Trent Dr 0.75mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,400 (-13%) 4mo $112,000 $80 34
1002 Stardust Trl 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,370 (-15%) 12mo $97,000 $71 32
14 Hanover Dr 0.61mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,830 (+14%) 16mo $132,000 $72 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
39.2%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$26,530
Equity at exit
$8,230
10-year hold
IRR
46.4%
Equity multiple
5.86×
Total profit
$75,062
Equity at exit
$4,773

Cash invested: $15,456 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72209

Rents YoY
4.8%
Active inventory
81
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,151 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$289
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $874/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$242
Net cashflow
$524

Break-even live

Break-even rent $488
Max offer price $55,200
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,800
Closing costs
$1,656
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6815 Forbing Rd Unit 26 Little Rock, AR 2.0 2.0 1170 $950 $0.81 44d 1 0.55mi
5709 Windamere Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1213 $1,075 $0.89 23d 1 0.76mi
29 Rugby Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,150 $1.00 14d 1 0.88mi
6120 Butler Rd Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1447 $1,050 $0.73 23d 1 0.88mi
1 W Windsor Dr Little Rock, AR 4.0 2.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 44d 1 0.96mi
7305 E Wakefield Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1056 $1,150 $1.09 44d 1 1.03mi
76 W Windsor Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 2.0 1395 $1,190 $0.85 19d 1 1.05mi
15 Rolling Ln Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,000 $0.91 44d 1 1.18mi
5216 Gum Springs Rd Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.0 1128 $1,050 $0.93 44d 1 1.27mi
5806 Southwick Dr Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1116 $1,295 $1.16 14d 1 1.32mi
6111 Queensboro Dr Unit D Little Rock, AR 3.0 1.5 1100 $825 $0.75 23d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-03
    status Under Contract 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Located at 7200 Geyer Springs Road, this property presents an opportunity for an investor with a vision. For the right buyer, this residence serves as a blank slate. Whether your goal is to create a high-yield long-term rental or a budget-conscious entry point for a local family, the potential for a strong return on investment is anchored in the low entry cost. This is a HUD owned property and is being sold as-is. No HVAC. Agents see remarks.

  2. 2026-05-01
    price $55,200 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Located at 7200 Geyer Springs Road, this property presents an opportunity for an investor with a vision. For the right buyer, this residence serves as a blank slate. Whether your goal is to create a high-yield long-term rental or a budget-conscious entry point for a local family, the potential for a strong return on investment is anchored in the low entry cost. This is a HUD owned property and is being sold as-is. No HVAC. Agents see remarks.

  3. 2026-03-17
    listed $60,000 New Listing 446-char remark
    Show marketing remark (446 chars)

    Located at 7200 Geyer Springs Road, this property presents an opportunity for an investor with a vision. For the right buyer, this residence serves as a blank slate. Whether your goal is to create a high-yield long-term rental or a budget-conscious entry point for a local family, the potential for a strong return on investment is anchored in the low entry cost. This is a HUD owned property and is being sold as-is. No HVAC. Agents see remarks.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$874 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$874 · $73/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,809
− Mortgage interest
−$3,092
− Property taxes
−$874
− Insurance
−$276
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,105
− Management
−$1,105
− Depreciation
−$1,606
Taxable income
$5,751
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,380
After-tax cash flow
$4,905/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Little Rock School District
NCES district ID
0509000
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$43,346
Composite
21.0/100
National rank
#8457
State rank
#183 of 238 in AR

Livability — Little Rock

Score
73/100
State rank
#22
US rank
#5295

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Little Rock, AR
County
Pulaski County · 372,764 people
City population
218,896
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
Population (ZIP)
31,607
Household income
$40,231
Rent vs Own
61.5% rent · 38.5% own
Severe rent burden
1510.0

Population outlook (Pulaski County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
415,378 people
By 2030
423,720 · +2.0%
By 2040
435,182 · +4.8%
By 2050
440,904 · +6.1%
By 2075
445,521 · +7.3%
By 2100
419,173 · +0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 57% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 15% White 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 29%

Political lean MEDSL · Pulaski

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.1) · D 59.8% · R 37.7% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
+10.6pp toward D · 2008: 11.6pp · 2024: 22.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.1 2020: D+22.5 2016: D+17.9 2012: D+11.4 2008: D+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.75%
Current HPI
176.4492
Rent YoY
▲ 4.78%
Metro
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Pending CARMLS
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $55,200 CARMLS
  • 2026-03-17 Listed $60,000 CARMLS

Property tax history

-0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $874 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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